DraftKings NBA Picks – December 17th

<p>Welcome back guys. Alex here, and these are my DraftKings NBA Picks for December 17th. Monday is a full slate, with eight games on tap. As always, if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Also, I recommend following me, because if anything changes with these plays below or if any injury news effects the slate, I try to address the situations I find important before tip off. @<a href=Hunta512.

Top Pick:

C: Karl-Anthony Towns: (10,000)

KAT has been solid during this most recent road trip (49.5 DK PPG in his last four) and he is now back at home (6.3 more DK PPG), in a great spot vs The Kings. (2.93 opponent +/-) He is averaging a whopping 56.3 DK PPG vs Sacramento this season (two games) and in the seven previous home contests that Towns has faced an opponent +/- of 2.0 points or better, he is scoring 58 DK PPG.

Additionally, in his four most recent home games, KAT is also averaging 59 DK PPG. He should get us over 50 DK points once in again in this slate high total (233 points) and Towns is my favorite high spend of this six game slate.

Value Picks:

SF/PF: Neman Bjelica: (4,400)

With Marvin Bagley (knee) out of the lineup, Bjelica went off for 40 DK points in 34.4 minutes yesterday vs The Mavs. This is the most he has played since late October and he should continue to log heavy minutes, with Bagley out for at least two weeks. Bjelica scores 1.04 DK PPM this season and whenever he plays higher minutes, he has produced, with him averaging 29 DK PPG in the last seven he has topped 25 minutes.

Tonight, he is competing in the highest O/U game total of Monday night (233 points), vs his former team, The Wolves. (1.63 opponent +/-) He has already played them twice this season and the revenge factor has been very real for Bjelica, with him scoring 35.9 DK PPG across those two meetings with Minnesota. Without a doubt, Bjelica is the best point per dollar value of the night.

PF: Lauri Markkanen: (6,500)

In the first Bulls’ game with Jabari Parker out of the rotation, Markkanen was outstanding, scoring 41.75 DK points in 36.4 minutes vs The Spurs on Saturday night. Zach LaVine (ankle) was also out and he will be sidelined again on Monday. Without these two on the floor, Markkanen posted a 26.8% usage rate and logged his highest minutes total of the season. Overall, in all the minutes he has played without LaVine and Parker this year, Markkanen is scoring 1.2 DK PPM.

He should play 30+ again tonight vs The Thunder and even though they are a very tough defense (1st in efficiency), I think Markkanen’s current role outweighs any possible matchup concern, considering his price. He should approach 35 DK points, with a ceiling close to 50, and this is probably the last time we will see Markkanen priced under $7,000 this season.

PF: Dario Saric: (4,900)

Saric will most likely shift back to the bench with Taj Gibson returning from a personal matter, but I am still expecting right around 30 minutes for the former Sixer. Even with Gibson in the lineup, Saric was seeing more playing time than Gibson, logging 31 MPG in the prior two, compared to Gibson, who was only logging 17 MPG. He is averaging 31.4 DK PPG in these last three and with 30+ minutes, as a starter or reserve, Saric should out produce his salary once again. (0.84 DK PPM)

The individual matchup doesn’t rate well vs The Kings (0.86 opponent +/-), but they are still the 10th worst defense in the association, and we should see at least a five times value return from Saric.

Also Consider:

C: Andre Drummond: (9,300)

Drummond struggled in his first meeting with The Bucks this year (22 DK points), but I am willing to give him another chance tonight. He has been excellent as of late (53 DK PPG in his last four) and being on his home has been a huge advantage for Drummond. (9.2 more DK PPG in DET this year)

SG/SF: DeMar DeRozan: (8,100)

DeRozan has produced three down games in a row (28 DK PPG), but two of those were blowouts, and he is now the cheapest he has been in seven games, in a very competitive environment, vs The Sixers. (SA -1) In the 13 games Spurs’ games that have had a spread under three points this season, DeRozan has supplied 44.3 DK PPG. At only $8,100, this seems like the perfect time to buy low on Derozan.

C: Rudy Gobert: (7,400)

This matchup vs The Rockets is strong (2.61 opponent +/-) and in the 11 games he has gone against an opponent +/- of at least 2.0 points this season, Gobert is scoring 37 DK PPG. After getting thrown out in only three minutes the last time these two teams played, Gobert should approach 40 DK points on Monday night.

C: Enes Kanter: (6,700)

I hate rostering Kanter, but tonight’s matchup vs The Suns is just too appetizing. (3.34 opponent +/-) In the eight games this season he has taken on an opponent +/- of 3.0 points or greater, Kanter has scored 37.5 DK PPG.

SF/PF: T.J. Warren: (6,700)

Warren is close to being priced correctly, but he should still exceed five times value tonight vs The Knicks. They are the second worst defense in The NBA (1.47 opponent +/-) and Warren has been effective in his last three. (36 DK PPG)

PG/SG: Kris Dunn: (6,200)

As the starter for LaVine, Dunn scored a season high 40.75 DK points in 35.5 minutes vs The Spurs. He will start again tonight, however, the matchup is much worse vs The Thunder. (0.35 opponent +/-) Still, I think Dunn tops 30 DK points again, just based off volume and playing time. (27.4% usage on Saturday)

SF/PF: Kevin Knox: (5,700)

The rookie has been a nice value with a starting role. (31.2 DK PPG in last three) Tonight, he is at home, facing The Suns, who are the third worst defense in the league.

SG/SF: Mikal Bridges: (4,100)

In the first game without Trevor Ariza (traded to WAS), Bridges played 40 minutes and scored 31.75 DK points against The Wolves. Neither Austin Rivers or Kelly Oubre will be available tonight, which should lead to another heavy workload for Bridges, in this positive spot vs The Knicks. (1.1 opponent +/-)

SG: Avery Bradley: (3,700)

Bradley has scored 25.5 DK PPG in these last without Lou Williams. (hamstring) In this tight matchup vs The Blazers (LAC -2), Bradley should log 30-35 minutes, and score over 20 for the third straight game.

*Please note some of these stats are from FantasyLabs.com


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Alex Hunter / Author

Alex is an experienced and successful daily fantasy sports player that has been competing since DFS began. He specializes in picks for NBA, NFL and PGA. He has been writing for TheSportsGeek.com since 2016. During this time, his picks have won many of his readers big prizes and have helped him become a trusted name in the DFS industry. Not only does he give in depth picks on The SportsGeek.com, but Alex is also an active and reliable Twitter source who gives out updates about his picks and is always there for questions or advice. @Hunta512

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