Welcome back everyone. I hope everybody had a nice holiday and these are my DraftKings NBA Picks for December 26th. Following The Christmas day slate, we get a full night, with ten games to attack. As always, if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Also, I recommend following me, because if anything changes with these plays below or if any injury news effects the slate, I try to address the situations I find important before tip off. @Hunta512.
C: Andre Drummond: (9,200)
Drummond should eat this Wizards’ frontcourt alive on Wednesday night. Not only have they allowed the most RPG this season, but Washington is also the 3rd worst rated defense, and they play at the 3rd fastest pace. (2.7 opponent +/-) To put some more gas on the fire, Drummond will be on his home court, where he is scoring 7.8 more DK PPG this year.
In the eight home games he has faced an opponent +/- of 2.0 points or better this season, Drummond is averaging 49.41 DK PPG. Furthermore, in the five of those matchups, that have also come with a pace increase (WAS is a 1.8 possession bump), Drummond has scored 50.3 DK PPG. He usually isn’t someone that is on my radar, but this just too good of a spot for Drummond tonight.
SF/PF: Neman Bjelica: (4.800)
In these last two competitive games, Bjelica has logged 32.42 minutes as a starter. He has scored 25.5 DK PPG in this pair and is contributing 1.01 DK PPM this season. Tonight, The Kings are expected to be in a tight game vs The Clippers (LAC -5.5), which should keep Bjelica in a 30+ minute role, with back up PF Marvin Bagley (knee) already confirmed out.
In this positive matchup (Clippers are 26th in defensive efficiency and a 1.24 opponent +/-), Bjelica should top five times value, with a solid ceiling of around 35-40 DK points. At only $4,800, Bjelica is one of the better values to target from this slate high total. (237.5 O/U game total)
SF/PF: Trevor Ariza: (5,400)
Ariza only played 27.4 minutes in The Wizards’ last game, but this was the second night of a back to back, with them coming off a triple overtime win the night before. Ariza logged a hefty 54 minutes in that win over The Suns and it was inevitable for him and the other starters to be limited the next night.
Now, with two days of rest under his belt, Ariza should get back to playing 35-40 minutes tonight, vs The Pistons. (DET -5) He has averaged 0.84 DK PPM since joining Washington and he should approach 30 DK points, even if this matchup vs The Pistons isn’t the greatest. (0.44 opponent +/-)
SF/PF: James Johnson: (3,700)
Johnson has been much more productive lately, scoring over 20 DK points in four of his last five games. He has scored 25.8 DK PPG in his past three and tonight, he gets to take on his former club, The Raptors. Johnson may not be a “revenge” kind of player, but he is supplying 0.96 DK PPM in his last five, and there should be at least a little extra motivation going against his former team.
In 25-30 minutes of work, Johnson should achieve five times value, and is one of the most viable options under $4,000 for this full slate.
PF/C: Anthony Davis: (11,700)
AD has been a beast (65.54 DK PPG in his L6) and Dallas is always a nice spot for opposing bigs. (1.69 opponent +/-) This game is on the road (-5.5 DK PPG), but Davis is just playing at too high of a level right now for that to be a concern.
PF/C: Blake Griffin: (9,000)
Griffin is in the same boat as Drummond, but Griffin has just surprisingly been better on the road this year (-6.0 DK PPG), making me favor Drummond on their home court. Either way, Griffin is also a great target, that should come close to five times value in this dream spot. (1.93 opponent +/-) Stacking this Pistons’ front-court is definitely a viable strategy for GPPs.
C: Nikola Vucevic: (8,900)
Prior to the blowout loss on Sunday (17.25 DK points vs The Heat), Vuc was scoring 53.2 DK PPG in his past three. He should rebound in a big way tonight, going against a putrid Suns’ defense. (27th in efficiency and 3.64 opponent +/-) In their first meeting of this year, Vuc went off for 53.8 DK points.
PG/SG: Jrue Holiday: (8,800)
Holiday has been great in his last three (50.2 DK PPG) and overall, he has been awesome when Nikola Mirotic (out, ankle) is missing. (46.8 DK PPG in the eight games without Mirotic)
PG: De’Aaron Fox: (8,200)
If we forget about that awful showing from this entire Kings’ team last Monday (0.75 DK points vs The Wolves), Fox has been tearing it up, averaging 47.6 DK PPG in his last five. He should score over 40 DK points again tonight, with this Clippers’ defense slipping all the way down to 26th in efficiency, after a hot start. (1.26 opponent +/-)
PF: Lauri Markkanen: (7,700)
Markkanen has cracked 40 DK points in four of his last five and this is a positive spot vs The Wolves. (1.9 opponent +/-)
PF/C: John Collins: (7,600)
Collins will return from missing one game, while back up center Alex Len (doubtful, back) is expected to be out. This is just a small boost for Collins, who has scored at least 41 DK points in seven of his last eight.
PG/SG: Derick Rose: (6,800)
Rose is the ultimate GPP play for tonight. He has missed the last 1.5 games with an ankle injury, which should keep his ownership low (5-8% projected ownership via Fantasy Labs), for this revenge spot vs The Bulls. Jeff Teague (knee) has already been ruled out and in the four total games Rose has started, without Teague and Jimmy Butler (traded), the former MVP is averaging 38.13 DK PPG. Lastly, in his three career meetings with Chicago, Rose is exceeding expectations by 6.08 DK PPG.
C: Willie Cauley-Stein: (6,500)
This is one of the best possible spots for a starting player tonight (LAC is a 4.09 opponent +/-) and WCS has logged at least 30 minutes in three straight. (41.25 DK PPG)
SF/PF: T.J. Warren: (6,100)
Just like with Ariza, Warren was bad the following the triple OT game between The Suns and Wizards. (15 DK points vs The Nets) Before this down game, Warren was scoring 39.5 DK PPG in his previous six.
PF/C: Montrezl Harrell: (5,700)
Before Sunday’s game vs The Warriors (18.75 DK points), Harrell had scored 30+ DK points in four straight. He has a positive correlation with Lou Williams being back in this second unit and The Kings are weak inside. (2.48 opponent +/-)
PG: Monte Morris: (4,600)
Morris has been outstanding off the bench (31.6 DK PPG in L6) and The Spurs present a great matchup for PGs. (2.7 opponent +/-)
SF/PF: Jeff Green: (4,200)
With Otto Porter (knee) still sidelined, Green will start, and should play over 30 minutes. He is averaging a solid 24.3 DK PPG in the eight contests that Porter and Dwight Howard (back, glute) have missed this year.
PG: Jalen Brunson: (3,600)
Dennis Smith Jr. (wrist) will not play tonight and Brunson has been better as the starting PG in these last two. (23.5 DK PPG) He played 33 minutes in their last game and if Brunson can see close to 30 minutes again, he should return five times value. (NO is a 1.55 opponent +/-)
*Please note some of these stats are from FantasyLabs.com