Welcome back everyone. Alex here, and these are my DraftKings NBA Picks for December 3rd. For Monday night, we get seven games to attack. As always, if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Also, I recommend following me, because if anything changes with these plays below or if any injury news effects the slate, I try to address the situations I find important before tip off. @Hunta512.
PF/C: Anthony Davis: (11,500)
Last night, Davis exploded for 80.25 DK points in a road win over The Hornets. Now, he heads back home (4.9 more DK PPG), for a tremendous matchup vs The Clippers, who are currently presenting an opponent +/- of 4.26 points for starting centers. Even with seven games in action, this is the best possible matchup for a player on Monday night. This is also the best game of the night to target, with it’s small spread of two points, and high total of 236 points. (tied for highest of the slate)
AD is averaging 67.3 DK PPG in his last four and in the four Pelicans’ home games that have had a total of 230 points or more, Davis is supplying 60 DK PPG. Additionally, in the two home games that have had a spread of under five points this season, The Brow is scoring 64.75 DK PPG and in his first meeting with The Clippers this year, Davis scored 67.8 DK points. Everything is lining up for AD to have a huge night and I will be making him a building block in all formats.
C: Tristan Thompson: (6,500)
Thompson has been excellent recently. He just produced 49.75 DK points against The Raptors on Saturday night and is now averaging 37.2 DK PPG in his last seven. He has tallied a double double in six of these games and tonight, he should notch another one, going against The Nets, who rank 21st in defensive efficiency, and have yielded the 10th most RPG this season. (3.84 opponent +/-)
He has played over 30 minutes in five of his last six and with game having a single digit spread (BKN -6), Thompson should log 30-35 minutes and score 35+ DK points. (1.04 DK PPM this season)
PG: Emmanuel Mudiay: (5,000)
After Trey Burke exited the game with a knee injury on Saturday (only played one minute), Mudiay took full advantage of the extra opportunity, scoring 44.75 DK points in a big win over The Bucks. Without Burke, Mudiay logged a season high 35.5 minutes in this game (went to overtime), while also posting a 28.4% usage rate. Burke has already been confirmed out for Monday night’s home matchup vs The Wizards, which should hopefully keep Muiday in close to a 30 minute role.
I say hopefully, because HC David Fizdale’s rotations have been tough predict all season, but with Burke out, this backcourt becomes much thinner, and you have to believe they will to attempt to ride Mudiay’s hot hand, coming off arguably their biggest win of the season. He is scoring a solid 0.96 DK PPM and if he can manage to see at least 30 minutes of work, Mudiay should shine once again, with this Wizards’ team being a perfect spot for opposing PGs. (27th in defensive efficiency and 8th in pace, resulting in a 3.27 opponent +/-) Like with any Knicks’ player, the floor is low, but the upside Mudiay has outweighs the risk at this reasonable price.
PG/SG: Lou Williams: (4,900)
Last night, Williams dropped 36.25 DK points in 26.3 minutes off the bench vs The Mavs. His production has been up and down over the last week, but overall, the two time six man of the year has been great this season. (28.6 DK PPG) Tonight, he comes in at only $4,900, which is the lowest we have seen Williams priced this year.
Playing in this up tempo contest vs The Pelicans, is ideal for his scoring (both teams rank in the top seven in pace and The Pelicans are a 1.04 opponent +/-) and he has been excellent when The Clippers have played in high totals this season. In the first six Clippers’ game that have come with an O/U game total of at least 230 points, Williams is scoring 28 DK PPG. He should get us over 25 DK points and is an awesome cheap way to gain exposure to this Clippers Pelicans tilt.
C: Karl-Anthony Towns: (9,000)
Right now, Towns is an extremely frustrating player to own, but he remains underpriced for playing on his home floor. (46.8 DK PPG in Minnesota this season) Plus, the matchup is great vs The Rockets (3.54 opponent +/-), and in the three other home games he faced an opponent +/- of 3.0 points or greater, KAT scored 56.4 DK PPG.
PG/SG: Jrue Holiday: (8,300)
Holiday has only cracked 40 DK points in one of his last five games, but in the 14 Pelicans’ games that have had a total over 230 points this season, Holiday avwraged 41.7 DK PPG.
SF/PF: Tobias Harris: (8,100)
Harris is averaging 38.9 DK PPG in his past seven and already has a 44.3 DK point game vs The Clippers this season. The matchup remains strong (2.65 opponent +/-) and Harris has a chance to top 40 DK points in this high scoring affair.
PF/C: Montrezl Harrell: (7,600)
Harrell has been extremely consistent (40.7 DK PPG in his last seven) and The Pelicans are plus matchup for bigs. (3.02 opponent +/-)
PF/C: Markieff Morris: (5,900)
Morris has topped 30 DK points in five of his last six games. He comes off the bench now, but is playing starter like minutes (30 MPG in last five), with Dwight Howard (glute) still out. Expect another 30+ DK point night vs this Knicks’ defense, that is the 5th worst unit in the league. (2.27 opponent +/-)
PF/C: John Collins: (5,300)
Collins is averaging 30 DK PPG in his last five and if he can see over 30 minutes, which is something he has done in three of his last five, he should produce close to a double double, vs this Warriors’ frontcourt that will still be without Draymond Green (toe), but now also Damian Jones. (pectoral)
PG/SG: Tim Frazier: (4,700)
Since joining the starting five, Frazier is playing 33 MPG and scoring 30.4 DK PPG. He scores 0.8 DK PPM and with 30+ minutes, in this elite game setting, Frazier should generate over 25 DK points.
SF/PF: Jeff Green: (3,700)
If Otto Porter (questionable, toe) is out, Green would likely start in his place and have to log heavy minutes. The Knicks are always a strong spot to target (2.38 opponent +/-) and in the last five games Green has logged 25+ minutes, he is averaging 30.6 DK PPG.
PF/C: Kevon Looney: (3,700)
Looney is expected to start at center with Jones out. Without both Jones and Green, Looney should take on a 25-30 minute role. His usage is always going to be low, but he is scoring a serviceable 0.9 DK PPM and the matchup is gorgeous, against The Hawks, who are 23rd in defensive efficiency, and 1st in pace.
*Please note most of these stats are from FantasyLabs.com