What’s up everyone. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA picks for February 6th, 2018. Tuesday night, we get a full slate with eight games on tap. Be sure to follow all of the injury news tonight, all the way up until the 7:00PM EST lock, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. @Hunta512.
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PG: Russell Westbrook: (11,500) With a good amount of value out there tonight, I think it is wise to target a stud in this Thunder Warriors matchup, that has the highest O/U game total of Tuesday night. (230.5 points) Even though he is the highest priced of all the big names in this game, Westbrook is the best value in my opinion. The 10.5 point spread in favor of The Warriors isn’t ideal, but I think this game stays close enough that all the starters see their regular minutes. The Warriors really haven’t been playing that great recently, getting dominated by 30 points by The Jazz last Tuesday and only winning by an average of eight points in their last three wins. Also, Westbrook always takes playing against his former teammate Kevin Durant and The Warriors personally, as he is averaging 59.6 DK PPG in his last five against the defending champs, including 67 DK point outburst back in November.
Furthermore, Russ has been a beast when the game is expected to be very high scoring, with him averaging a whopping 74.9 DK PPG in his last ten tilts that have had an O/U game total of at least 225 points. I understand that he has failed to meet value in his last two starts, but $11.500 is a very nice price for Westbrook in this spot. At this salary he needs to score 57.5 DK points, which is right at his season average of 57.2 DK PPG. Throw in the extra motivation against KD and the defending champs and Westbrook is the top overall play of this slate, and my preferred high end option to build around.
PG: Tyler Ulis: (4,200) Tonight, Ulis is line for a big workload with Suns dealing with many injuries in their backcourt. Not only will they be without back up PG Isaiah Canaan, who is done for the year after a brutal leg injury last week, but starting SG Devin Booker will also be out with a hip injury. There has been no games that these two have missed, along with former Suns’ PG Mike James, who was waived a few months ago, but in the 517 minutes Ulis has logged without these three and PG Eric Bledsoe (traded to MIL), center Greg Monroe (just released and signed with BOS), and SF Derick Jones Jr. (waived earlier in the year), his usage increases 4.9%, his assist percentage jumps 4.7% and he is scoring 26.6 DK points per 36 minutes of action. The Suns do have newly signed back up PG Josh Gray, so it’s hard to say that Ulis will see 36 minutes, but he should start and have to play 30+, as this will only be Gray’s second game with the team.
He is scoring 0.74 DK PPM when he is on the court without all these players and, with a modest projection of 30 minutes, Ulis should be able to score 20-25 DK points, in this terrific matchup vs The Lakers, who have given up the 3rd most DK points to PGs this season. (3.8 opponent +/-) Both of these squads rank inside the top five in pace this season and this game should be a back and fourth shootout, with very little defense played. (218.5 O/U) He is averaging 24.5 DK PPG in his last five games that he has played 30 or more minutes and he is the strongest point per dollar play of this eight game slate.
PG/SG: Mario Hezonja: (4,500) He hadn’t drawn the start in the two prior games, but on Monday night, Hezonja started at PF in place of the injured Aaron Gordon (hip) and played great with the starting five, filling up the stat sheet with 20 points, five rebounds, three assists, two steals, and a block across 32 minutes in the win over The Heat. (38.75 DK points) Starter or not, he has been very consistent with Gordon sidelined, averaging 29.5 DK PPG in these last four without the PF. After picking up the win last night with him as a starter, Hezonja should keep his spot in the starting five tonight, with Gordon already confirmed out.
He will be playing in a gorgeous matchup, going against the second worst rated defense in The NBA this season, The Cavs. This is a very high opponent +/- of 7.52 points and he should see 30+ minutes once again, as The Cavs like to play a good amount of small lineups, with undersized players like Jae Crowder at PF. He is averaging a nice 1.07 DK PPM in these past four contests and with 30-35 minutes of work, Hezonja should exceed five times value against this weak defense that he has already played well against this season. (24.2 DK PPG in last three vs CLE)
PG/SG: Andrew Harrison: (5,000) With The Grizzlies holding out Tyreke Evans because they intend to deal him, Harrison has stepped up to the plate as the starting PG, averaging 32.5 DK PPG in these past two games. The minutes have also been up, with him playing 32.5 MPG. These weren’t the first games he has started with Evans and PG Mike Conley (heel) out, and he is averaging 26 DK PPG in the six full games that these two guards have sat this season. Tonight, he will get another start in a very strong matchup vs The Hawks, who have been the third worst defense in the league over their last three games.
Hawks’ PG Dennis Schroder is a very weak defender and this matchup is sitting at an opponent +/- of 3.99 points for starting PGs. He should score 25-30 DK points, with solid upside, depending on how many defensive stats he can manage. The price has slowly crept up to $5,000, but he is still too cheap in my opinion. He can be utilized as either a PG or SG and is a solid mid tier target that can be used in all formats.
Also Consider: Clint Capela (upside is great vs this Nets defense, that is a high opponent +/- of 7.15 points), Otto Porter Jr. (The Wizards should bounce back tonight after the low numbers they produced last night. Before yesterday, Porter was averaging 38 DK PPG in the last four without Wall), Klay Thompson (nice price tag for him here. He sucked in their first matchup of the season, but that was with The Thunder having a healthy Andre Roberson. With Roberson now out, this matchup is a solid 3.01 opponent +/- for starting two guards), Marquese Chriss (if he starts this a great spot vs The Lakers, who are a 4.07 opponent +/-, but he didn’t play last game due suspension placed on him by the team), Josh Jackson (usage will rise with Booker out and he has been great, averaging 33.3 DK PPG in last four), Wayne Selden (if he is active, would play 30+), T.J. Warren, Tyson Chandler (34 minutes last game with Monroe gone. Didn’t explode, but this is an awesome spot vs The Lakers, who are a 4.55 opponent +/- and he is averaging 27 DK PPG vs them this season), and Jonas Valancuinas. (Been excellent averaging 36.3 DK PPG in his last seven starts and the matchup is solid vs The Celtics, who can be had inside, at an opponent +/- of 2.99 points)