What’s up everyone. Alex here, and these are my DraftKings NBA Picks for February 7th. For Thursday night’ slate, we get six games to target. As always, if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Also, I recommend following me, because if anything changes with these plays below or if any injury news effects the slate, I try to address the situations I find important before tip off. @Hunta512.
*Please note with the trade deadline this afternoon (3:00 PM EST), it is almost certain that there will be deals involving the teams in action tonight. If any of these trades have fantasy implications for this evening’s slate, I will be sure to tweet out my thoughts and opinions before roster lock. @Hunta512.
PG: Russell Westbrook: (11,300)
It is always the case with Westbrook, but with tons of uncertainty surrounding the trade deadline, Russ is by far the safest spend on the board. He has successfully notched seven triple doubles in a row (64.75 DK PPG), but his price has actually dropped $100 since his last start. (63.75 DK points vs The Magic) He will be at home (57.9 DK PPG this season), facing off against The Grizzlies, who will be without their defensive quarterback, Marc Gasol.
With the center sitting on Tuesday, The Grizzlies allowed The Wolves to score 106 points, and The Thunder have a healthy implied team total of 113.25 points. Yes, they are favored by 14 points, but when OKC has been the favorited by double digits this season, Westbrook has still dominated. (60.82 DK PPG in seven games) He should approach 60 DK points, with further upside if this game is closer than expected.
PG: Damian Lillard: (8,600)
Lillard struggled vs The Heat on Tuesday (34.25 DK points), but this is a nice bounce back spot for him, vs The Spurs. They currently rank 23rd in defensive efficiency and have been at their weakest against guards. (2.71 opponent +/-) Lillard has already exposed this defense twice this season (53.8 DK PPG) and in his previous nine before Tuesday, he was supplying 49.1 DK PPG.
This game has a higher O/U game total (226 points) and a small spread. (POR -6) When the total has been 225 points or more and the line has been under ten, Lillard is averaging 45.77 DK PPG this season. (24 games) There is no way he should cost under $9,000 and Dame Dollah is one of the strongest values of the night.
C: Myles Turner: (6,500)
Turner was a GTD on Tuesday with a bruised thigh, but ended playing, and scoring 32.75 DK points across only 22 minutes of work, in the blowout win over The Lakers. In the three prior, Turner played over 30 minutes in each game, and was supplying 35.9 DK PPG. With tonight’s tilt vs The Clippers presenting a spread of only six points, Turner should get back to logging 30+ minutes, in this gorgeous matchup.
The Clippers have arguably been the worst interior defense in The NBA this season and their current opponent +/- of 4.15 points is the best possible matchup for a player on Thursday night. Last, but certainly not least, Turner will be at home, where he is scoring a notable 6.7 more DK PPG this season. In the 23 homes games that Turner has faced a positive opponent +/- this year, he is producing 34.95 DK PPG, which would be a 5.4 value return at his current salary.
PG: Rajon Rondo: (6,500)
Like all The Lakers, Rondo had an awful night vs The Pacers on Tuesday (13 DK points in 28.25 minutes), but he should rebound in a big way tonight vs his original team, The Celtics. Before Tuesday’s embarrassing loss, he was scoring 39 DK PPG in his last five, with Lonzo Ball (ankle) out, and in his last 11 games vs Boston, Rondo is averaging 34.36 DK PPG.
Furthermore, in the seven of those games that have been on the road in Boston, Rondo is generating 39.54 DK PPG, and exceeding expectations by a large 10.06 DK PPG. Finally, as I always like to mention with Rondo, this game will be nationally televised, on TNT. Assuming he isn’t traded, which seems unlikely at the moment, Rondo should top 35 DK points, with a ceiling close to 50 in this revenge situation.
SF/PF: LeBron James: (10,400)
James also enjoys playing in Boston. In his last 14 tilts vs in The TD Garden, The King is scoring 57.23 DK PPG. (2.69 DK +/-) The Lakers could end up being without multiple players from their young core tonight, if a trade goes down, which would be a boost in LeBron’s value, but nonetheless, he is still a nice target in this first meeting with The Lakers’ arch rival.
SF/PF: Paul George: (10,000)
PG13 has simply been magnificent (60.39 DK PPG in L7) and could easily still retain five times value, even if The Thunder do blowout Memphis.
PG: Kyrie Irving: (9,500)
Irving will be back tonight (was rested Tuesday) just in time for this matchup with his old pal, LeBron. Uncle Drew has been on fire recently (57.5 DK PPG in L7) and much more effective at home this season. (5.9 more DK PPG) This is a big pace increase for The Celtics (+3.9 possessions) and in the 12 home games that Irving has seen a possessions increase of 2.0 or greater this season, he has produced 47.79 DK PPG.
PG: Mike Conley: (8,400)
Conley’s name has been in trade rumors for weeks now, but he traveled with the team to OKC, vs Gasol, who was told to stay home. With Gasol sitting on Tuesday, Conley posted his second highest usage rate of the season (34.5%) and scored 50.25 DK points in the win over The Wolves. If he isn’t dealt by the 3:00 PM EST deadline, Conley should easily surpass five times value vs The Thunder. (48.5 DK PPG in L6)
PG/SG: Lou Williams: (7,400)
He is already a huge part of The Clippers’ offense, but Williams’ role should grow even further with Tobias Harris traded to The Sixers. When Harris and Boban Marjanovic (also traded to Philly) have been off the court this season, Williams has led LAC with 1.37 DK PPM. (+2.2% usage) The matchup vs The Pacers is tough (0.38 opponent +/-), but Lou Will has obvious upside.
PF/C: Montrezl Harrell: (7,200)
With Boban and Harris off the floor, Harrell scores 1.3 DK PPM and The Pacers are decently weak up front. (2.04 opponent +/-)
PG: Kyle Lowry: (7,100)
Lowry scored 35.25 DK points vs The Sixers in his return to the lineup on Tuesday and is averaging 52 DK PPG vs The Hawks this season. (2 games) This number is a little inflated, given Kawhi Leonard only played in one of these games, but either way, this is a prime spot for a PG. (2.22 opponent +/- and a 4.2 possession increase)
PF/C: Al Horford: (6,700)
Horford’s price just isn’t correct for how well he is currently playing (40.9 DK PPG in L7) and this is a prime matchup vs The Lakers (2.69 opponent +/-), especially at home. (6.3 more DK PPG this season)
PF/C: Serge Ibaka: (6,300)
Jonas Valancuinas will make his return to the court, but his minutes will be limited. Barring a huge blowout (TOR -9), Ibaka should exceed five times value vs The Hawks, who are the fastest team in the league. (1.83 opponent +/- and Ibaka is averaging 35.8 DK PPG in his L7)
SF/PF: Danilo Gallinari: (6,000)
Galo will be active tonight after missing the last ten games and he should jump right into a huge role, with Harris out of town. This is a $600 price cut since his last game and when both Harris/Marjanovic are missing, Gallinari receives a team high 3.1% usage bump.
PF/C: Jaren Jackson: (6,000)
With Gasol, JaMychal Green (questionable, knee), and Joakim Noah (questionable, heel) all out on Tuesday, Jackson was huge in the win over The Wolves, with 41.5 DK points in 38 minutes. This is the second highest minute total Jackson has seen in his rookie season and if these three are all out again, JJ will be a plug in play value at only $6,000.
PF/C: Domantas Sabonis: (5,900)
This matchup vs The Clippers is so strong for centers that both Turner and Sabonis should have productive nights. (3.37 opponent +/- and 31 DK PPG in his L3)
PG/SG: Jerryd Bayless: (5,800)
Bayless was a huge letdown Tuesday vs The Grizzlies (19.5 DK points), but the minutes remained very high (37), and that should be the case again, with Derick Rose (out, ankle), and Jeff Teague (questionable, but closer to doubtful, foot) both expected to miss another game. In his previous six before Tuesday, Bayless was playing awesome with these two PGs banged up. (36.79 DK PPG)
SG/SF: Terrence Ross: (5,100)
Ross is just always too cheap. Outside of a 9.5 DK point clunker vs The Nets, he is scoring 35.05 DK PPG in his last five, and The Wolves are a beat up backcourt right now. (1.02 opponent +/-)
PF/C: Ivan Rabb: (5,000)
If Noah and Green are out again, Rabb will start at center, and play big minutes. On Tuesday, as the starting center, he supplied 41.75 DK points in 33 minutes vs The Wolves. If this situation unfolds again, Rabb will be an easy play.
SG/SF: Tyreke Evans: (4,300)
Evans got the start at SG over Cory Joesph on Tuesday and helped The Pacers blowout The Lakers. (26 DK points in 25 minutes) He should play 25-30 minutes tonight vs The Clippers, which should be enough time for him to outproduce this price tag. (0.97 DK PPM)
SF/PF: Davis Bertans: (4,100)
Bertans should start with Derick White (foot) sidelined and in the first game without White on Monday, Bertans started, and scored 27.5 DK points across 33 minutes vs The Kings.
PF/C: Daniel Theis: (3,700)
If Robert Williams (questionable, back) misses his third straight game, Theis will be a viable punt (20.6 DK PPG in L2 W/O Baynes and Williams) in this great spot vs The Lakers. (2.7 opponent +/-)
*Please note some of these stats are from FantasyLabs.com