What’s going on everyone. Alex here, and these are my DraftKings NBA Picks for February 9th. For Saturday night, we get an eight game slate, that is filled with value. As always, if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Also, I recommend following me, because if anything changes with these plays below or if any injury news effects the slate, I try to address the situations I find important before tip off. @Hunta512.
PG: Russell Westbrook: (11,200)
Westbrook’s price has dropped $200 over his last two games, even though he has generated 65 DK PPG during this span. Furthermore, he has recorded an impressive eight triple doubles in a row, which has resulted in 64.5 DK PPG. Without a doubt, Westbrook should continue this streak tonight, vs his old teammate, James Harden, and The Rockets.
This matchup has the highest O/U game total of Saturday night, by a notable eight points, and it also owns the smallest spread of the slate. (HOU -2) Westbrook has played very well against Harden in the past (64.21 DK PPG in L19) and when the total has been 230 points or higher this season, he has been exceptional. (57.19 DK PPG in eight games) Westbrook is the strongest value over $9,000 tonight and is an absolute steal in this type of game environment.
PF/C: Lauri Markkanen: (7,500)
The Markkanen era in Chicago is officially in full swing. In his last eight games, he is scoring 43.65 DK PPG, and in these first two since The Bulls traded away Bobby Portis and Jabari Parker, Markkanen has produced huge numbers as Chicago’s primary big man. (54 DK PPG) He has seen 39.37 MPG in these past two and should continue to see this type of playing time for the rest of the season, especially when Robin Lopez finally gets bought out.
Tonight, The Bulls will be at home, playing up in pace vs The Wizards (3.0 possession increase), who are also the 5th worst defense in the league. (2.03 opponent +/-) Plus, they allow the 2nd most made 3PPG this season, which is great news for Markkanen, who has attempted a whopping 17 threes in his last two games. He is an outstanding value at this price and this is most likely the last time we will see Markannen under $8,000 for the rest of the season.
PF/C: Bobby Portis: (5,400)
On the other side of the ball, Portis is definitely excited to play the team that just traded him away. He has already tweeted multiple times since being dealt, specifically mocking Bulls’ GM John Paxson and his thoughts on the trade. Last night, in his first game with The Wizards, Portis was dominant vs The Cavs, scoring 30 points, to go along with six rebounds, two assists, and a steal, in 27.28 minutes off the bench. (43.5 DK points) This was his second straight game of 30 or more real points (46.6 DK PPG in L2) and Portis is going to be needed for 25+ minutes on a nightly basis for this Washington team, that just traded away Markieff Morris, and is still without Dwight Howard. (out, back)
He has always been an extremely productive fantasy player (1.15 DK PPM this season) and with 25-30 minutes of work, Portis should return at least five times value vs this Bulls’ defense (1.15 opponent +/-), with huge upside, considering the revenge factor. In the last five games he has logged 25 minutes or more, Portis is supplying 37.15 DK PPG.
SG/SF: Kenrich Williams: (4,700)
The return of Anthony Davis didn’t effect Williams in anyway (33 DK points and 36.58 minutes vs The Wolves last night) and he should play 35+ minutes going forward as The Pelicans’ new starting PF, with Nikola Mirotic out of town. (traded to MIL) AD isn’t expected to play in any back to back situations for the rest of the season, so he shouldn’t be available tonight vs The Grizzlies. Williams has logged 30+ minutes in five straight games and is averaging 32.35 DK PPG during this run.
The Grizzlies traded away their defensive back bone Marc Gasol and will have five new players tonight. Their season rank of being the 8th best defense in the league is irrelevant right now and Williams should smash value at this ridiculous price.
PG/SG: James Harden: (12,200)
After playing four games on the road, Harden finally returns home (4.8 more DK PPG this season), just in time for this huge tilt vs The Thunder. His usage has taken a hit with Chris Paul back (under 40% in four straight), but Harden is still scoring 1.7 DK PPM in these first five with CP3 back. Westbrook is the better value, but Harden should exceed 60 DK points, and obviously presents the highest ceiling of the slate.
SF/PF: Paul George: (10,000)
With Westbrook and Harden taking all the attention, PG13 may go under owned. (9-12% projected ownership via Fantasy Labs) Prior to Thursday night (48.25 DK points vs The Grizzlies), George was scoring 60.39 DK PPG in his previous seven, and when the total has been 230 points or more this year, he is averaging 51.25 DK PPG.
PG: Kemba Walker: (9,100)
Walker is criminally underpriced at $9,100. He has been incredible in his last three (61.16 DK PPG) and is playing against The Hawks, who are the fastest team in the league, on top of being the 4th worst defense. (2.65 opponent +/-) In three meetings with them this season, Walker is averaging 45.2 DK PPG.
PG/SG: Jrue Holiday: (8,600)
Holiday scored 52 DK points in the win over The Wolves last night and his usage should be even higher, with AD expected to be rested. He is scoring 49.25 DK PPG in his last three and The Grizzlies should be messy on defense, with so many new faces.
PG: Mike Conley: (8,200)
Conley has posted a 33.75% usage rate in these past two without Gasol and that rate should stay very high for the rest of the season. Tonight, he will be at home (1.1 more DK PPG), playing way up in pace vs The Pelicans. (6.9 possession increase and 2.87 opponent +/-)
PF/C: Julius Randle: (8,100)
If Randle starts at center and Jahill Okafor (questionable, ankle) is out, he should easily surpass five times value. When AD, Okafor, Elfrid Payton (out, ankle), and Mirotic have been off the court, Randle has supplied a team high 1.48 DK PPM.
PG: Chris Paul: (7,000)
With at least 29 minutes in his last three, CP3 has scored 37.5 DK PPG. He played 33 minutes two games ago and if The Rockets didn’t blow out The Kings on Wednesday (127-101), Paul would have most certainly played close to 35 minutes. He should approach that number tonight and produce 35+ DK points.
PG/SG: Eric Bledsoe: (6,800)
Bledsoe is underpriced for the role he will have tonight, with Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) out. He has scored 41.25 DK PPG in these last five with a healthy Giannis in the lineup and is leading The Bucks with 39.8 DK PPG in the three Antetokounmpo has sat this season. (27.1% usage) Bledsoe, just like many of The Bucks listed below, is viable in all formats tonight.
PG/SG: Zach LaVine: (6,600)
LaVine has also been an immense value in these last two (47.3 DK PPG) and should have no issues at home (3.3 more DK PPG this season), playing against Wizards. (1.17 opponent +/-)
SG/SF: Khris Middleton: (6,100)
Middleton is one of the best values on the board at $6,100. He should be fresh after being rested last night and in the three Giannis has missed this season, Middleton is producing 34.08 DK PPG.
PG: Dennis Smith Jr.: (5,900)
DSJ has been let off the leash in these last two with The Knicks (43.87 DK PPG and 36.98 MPG) and is clearly underpriced, regardless if they are playing The Raptors. (7th in defensive efficiency)
PF/C: Larry Nance Jr.: (5,700)
After Kevin Love (toe) only played six minutes last night, Nance flirted with a triple double vs The Wizards. (50.25 DK points) Love is out tonight and if Nance starts at center, he should be considered vs The Pacers. (1.47 opponent +/-)
PG/SG: Malcolm Brogdon: (5,600)
Brogdon has topped 30 DK points in four straight games and is averaging 29.5 DK PPG in the three without Giannis this year. Like I said last night, he lacks serious upside, but Brogdon is such a safe bet to return value, especially with Giannis sitting.
PG/SG: Jordan Clarkson: (5,200)
The Pacers are very tough guards (0.28 opponent +/-), but Clarkson should post a really nice usage rate tonight. Last night, he saw a 31.1% usage, and scored 38 DK points vs The Wizards. It’s an extremely long list, but when Love, Alec Burks (traded), Andrew Harrison (waived), Cameron Payne (waived), Cedi Osman (out, ankle), George Hill (with MIL), Kyle Korver (with Utah), J.R. Smith (not with the team), and Rodney Hood (traded) are all off the floor, Clarkson is supplying 1.17 DK PPM.
PG: Colin Sexton: (4,800)
Sexton is in the same situation. With The Cavs so shorthanded in their backcourt, the rookie has played 39.43 MPG in these last two, leading to 39.125 DK PPG. No matter the matchup, it is hard to find this type of volume at this cheap of a cost.
PF/C: Daniel Theis: (3,900)
If active (questionable, knee), Theis is a really intriguing GPP play. He has been great with Aaron Baynes (foot) out in these last three (25.4 DK PPG) and the matchup vs The Clippers is just awesome. (4.03 opponent +/-) Plus, The Celtics are favored by 12 points, and Theis is a player that would see a good chunk of garbage time, if they do run away it.
SG/SF: David Nwaba: (3,700)
After being limited for many games due to a knee injury, Nwaba logged 29 minutes last night, and scored 33.5 DK points vs The Wizards. If newly acquired Brandon Knight (questionable) isn’t available yet, Nwaba should play close to 30 minutes. (0.8 DK PPM this season)
C: Ivica Zubac: (3,500)
Zubac will make his Clippers’ debut tonight and should jump right into a 20+ minute role. With HC Doc Rivers preferring to bring Montrezl Harrell off the bench, Zubac may even start in this game. Either way, this is a huge price cut from his time with The Lakers ($4,950 average salary in his L5), and 20+ minutes will be more than enough time for Big Z to provide value. (1.12 DK PPM this season) With a value like Ilyasova (below) available, Zubac should go very under the radar.
PF/C: Ersan Ilyasova: (3,200)
Sova is a must play at this price. Mirotic is doubtful to play and Ilyasova should start for Giannis. He started in each of the first three without The Greek Freak and provided 28 DK PPG. He scores 0.92 DK PPM when Giannis is off the floor and has a chance of returning close to 10 times value.
PF/C: Marquese Chriss: (3,000)
In his first game with The Cavs, Chriss played 22.4 minutes off the bench, and scored 23 DK points vs The Wizards. He averages 0.82 DK PPM and should have to play 20+ minutes again, with Love out. The floor is very shaky, but Chriss is a viable pure punt.
*Please note some of these stats are from FantasyLabs.com