DraftKings NBA Picks – January 19th

It’s the weekend and these are my DraftKings NBA Picks for January 19th. For Saturday night, we get a full eight game slate. As always, if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Also, I recommend following me, because if anything changes with these plays below or if any injury news effects the slate, I try to address the situations I find important before tip off. @Hunta512.

Top Pick:

PG/SG: James Harden: (13,400)

It’s just another night of NBA DFS and another opportunity to roster The Beard during this remarkable run. Since Chris Paul (hamstring) got hurt, Harden has scored 73 DK PPG. (14 games) Eric Gordon (knee) is back, but in these past two without Clint Capela (out, hand), Harden has produced 81.63 DK PPG. He has posted a 52.45% usage rate and has scored 115 real points in these last two games, with none of those baskets being assisted by his teammates. Think about that for a second, Harden has scored over 50 points in two straight games and it’s all been via him playing isolation. Insane. Now, this hasn’t led to great team success (HOU is 4-4 in 2019), but for DFS purposes, Harden’s absurd production is something you simply can’t go without.

He will be at home (7.2 more DK PPG this season), taking on The Lakers, which is a huge pace bump for The Rockets. (HOU is 23rd in pace, while LA is 3rd, which is a 6.2 possession increase) This game presents the highest O/U game total of Saturday night (226.5 points) and in two meetings vs LA this season, Harden is averaging 72.1 DK PPG. His price keeps going up (+$400 since his last game), but Harden should still return over six times value in this gorgeous situation.

Value Picks:

SF/PF: Omir Cassipi: (3,700)

Cassipi has taken advantage of Kyle Anderson (ankle) being out. He scored 23 DK points last night vs The Celtics and is averaging 24.1 DK PPG in these last three. On Friday night, The Grizzlies competed with Boston (116-122), which put Cassipi at 20.4 minutes off the bench, but in the previous game, he played 35.46 minutes (27.5 DK points), in a blowout loss to The Bucks.

Tonight ‘s tilt vs The Raptors is projected to be a lopsided contest (TOR -12.5), which should lead to 25+ minutes for Cassipi. He scores 0.9 DK PPM and should exceed 20 DK points for the fourth straight contest. I doubt we see Cassipi under $4,000 after tonight and he is a primary value for this eight game slate.

SF/PF: P.J. Tucker: (5,300)

There is no word of it yet, but Tucker should start at center again for The Rockets. On Wednesday, playing as an undersized center, Tucker was great vs The Nets, notching a 20/10 double double in 41 minutes. (42.5 DK points) This was his second double double of the season and his 15.5% usage rate was the highest he has seen in 14 games.

He produces 0.76 DK PPM when Capela, Paul, Carmelo Anthony, Danuel House (back in The G League), and Brandon Knight (out, knee) are all off the floor and he will play 35-40 minutes tonight vs The Lakers, who have allowed the 7th most RPG. Tucker’s salary has hit its peak, but if he is starting at center again, I think you have to go right back to him tonight.

SG/SF: Gerald Green: (4,600)

Green has also been big for The Rockets (29.37 DK PPG in L2) and he played 36 regulation minutes last game, with Danuel House back in The G League. James Ennis also missed this contest and will be back tonight (probable), but Green is still looking at 30+ minutes, vs this fast Lakers’ squad.  (1.41 opponent +/-) In the five games Green has logged over 30 minutes this season, he has supplied 26.55 DK PPG.

Furthermore, when he has played at home, with a pace increase, and a minutes projection of at least 20 minutes, Green has a 2.67 DK point +/-. Green has attempted 13 3PPG in these past two and he should continue to gun, and provide value on Saturday night.

Also Consider:

SF/PF: Giannis Antetokounmpo: (10,700)

This is just a crazy price for The Greak Freak. He is scoring 54.5 DK PPG in his last four and this should be a decently tight game, on the road, vs The Magic. (MIL -9.5)

C: Nikola Jokic: (10,100)

Jokic scores 51.8 DK PPG at home and The Cavs are the worst defense in The NBA. (dead last in efficiency) A blowout is very possible (DEN -17.5), but The Joker could post a big line, even in limited minutes, especially if Tristan Thompson (questionable, foot) is out again for Cleveland. Last night, with Thompson out, Rudy Gobert put up 53.25 DK points in only 27 minutes vs The Cavs.

PG: Kyrie Irving: (9,400)

Irving has been outstanding with his usage at a higher 31.5% in his last three games. (58.9 DK PPG in L3) This has helped him to 1.67 DK PPM and tonight, he is playing against The Hawks, who are the fastest team in the league. (2.05 opponent +/- and 5.1 possession increase) If The Hawks can keep this close on their home floor (BOS -9), Uncle Drew should continue this impressive run.

PF/C: Blake Griffin: (9,000)

Andre Drummond (questionable, face) could only play seven minutes last night before exiting, which pushed Griffin into a huge role vs The Heat. (61.75 DK points) If Drummond is out tonight, Griffin would be a must play. Drummond has yet to miss a game this season, but when he has been off the floor, Griffin has seen a 5.8% usage bump, and a 3.8% rebound percentage increase.  (both team highs) He scores 1.39 DK PPM sans Drummond and would easily score 50+ DK points tonight, playing way up in pace vs The Kings. (1.35 opponent +/- and a 4.6 possession increase)

C: Nikola Vucevic: (8,600)

The Bucks are a strong defense (1st in efficiency), but Vuc’s $800 price drop since last night (50.25 DK points vs The Nets and 47.4 DK PPG L3), is just ridiculous. Plus, he could see a nice bump in value, if Aaron Gordon (questionable, back) was out. When Gordon is off the floor, Vuc receives a 1.7% usage increase.

SF/PF: Kyle Kuzma: (7,500)

Kuzma scored 55.5 DK points vs The Thunder on Wednesday (2nd in defensive efficiency) and his ceiling is even higher tonight vs The Rockets. (23rd in efficiency) Overall, he is one of the best ways to gain exposure to this high scoring affair.

PG: Lonzo Ball: (6,900)

Since HC Luke Walton changed The Lakers’ starting five, Ball has been more involved (43 DK PPG and a 24% usage rate), and I think we see at least a double double from him on Saturday.

 

SG/SF: Terrence Ross: (5,300)

Ross has had an awesome season (23.2 DK PPG) and has been even better in his last four. (30.87 DK PPG) If Gordon was out, Ross would be one of the main beneficiaries. (+2.6% usage and 0.96 DK PPM W/O Gordon)

C: Ante Zizic: (4,600)

If Thompson remains out, Zizic needs to be considered again. Even in a blowout vs The Jazz, Zizic was needed for 34.24 minutes (33 DK points), and he would play 30+ again, no matter if Denver kills them or not. (2.54 opponent +/-) Zizic scores 0.96 DK PPM and is contributing 34.68 DK PPG in the four he has gone over 20 minutes this season.

C: Ivica Zubac: (4,300)

When the report was released that Walton was going to make a change to The Lakers’ first unit, I thought it would be Zubac starting at center. Instead they went with the veteran Tyson Chandler, but that hasn’t stopped Zubac from contributing. On Thursday night, Zubac had a 26/12 double double and scored 42 DK points in 28.1 minutes vs The Thunder. This was a big win for LA and OKC is the #2 rated defense in the league. If Walton was smart and would like to keep his job safe, he would put Zubac in the starting five tonight vs The Rockets. Even if he doesn’t, which is the most likely scenario, Zubac has earned himself 20+ minutes off the bench. He scores 1.15 DK PPM this season and is a fine GPP play if still a reserve, but would become an elite value play if promoted to the starting five.

SG/SF: Justin Holiday: (3,800)

In his second start in a row, Holiday cooked up 32.5 DK points vs The Celtics last night. He played 35.4 minutes and most likely would still see solid playing time if this game vs The Raptors got out of hand. Casspi is the better fantasy player, compared to Holiday (0.73 DK PPM), but playing both is certainly viable.

SF/PF: Jonathan Isaac: (3,700)

Isaac has played 30+ minutes in two straight games (19.6 DK PPG) and he sees a 0.1 DK PPM increase when Gordon is missing. Even if Gordon is active, Isaac is a solid punt play to attack, that should get you over 20 DK points.

C: Zaza Pachulia: (3,300)

After Drummond exited last night, Pachulia was The Pistons’ main center, playing 28 minutes vs The Heat. (20.25 DK points) He averages 1.05 DK PPM this season and would start if Drummond was out, in this beautiful matchup vs The Kings, who have given up the second most RPG. Just like with Griffin, if Drummond isn’t active, Pachulia would be a core play.

*Please note some of these stats are from FantasyLabs.com

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Alex Hunter / Author

Alex is an experienced and successful daily fantasy sports player that has been competing since DFS began. He specializes in picks for NBA, NFL and PGA. He has been writing for TheSportsGeek.com since 2016. During this time, his picks have won many of his readers big prizes and have helped him become a trusted name in the DFS industry. Not only does he give in depth picks on The SportsGeek.com, but Alex is also an active and reliable Twitter source who gives out updates about his picks and is always there for questions or advice. @Hunta512