What’s up guys. Alex here, and these are my DraftKings NBA Picks for January 22nd. For Tuesday night, we get a smaller four game slate. As always, if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Also, I recommend following me, because if anything changes with these plays below or if any injury news effects the slate, I try to address the situations I find important before tip off. @Hunta512.
PG: Russell Westbrook: (11,000)
Westbrook has failed to provide value in back to back games (44 DK PPG in L2), but before this, he was scoring 63.5 DK PPG in his last nine. Yesterday vs The Knicks was a blowout (127-109 and only 28.4 minutes for Westbrook), but tonight’s tilt vs The Blazers should tight from start to finish. (OKC -5.5)
In the 15 Thunder games that have come with a single digit spread and total of 225+ points (tonight is 227.5), Westbrook has scored 56.13 DK PPG. His current Vegas props are projecting him for a triple double and even if The Blazers are a difficult matchup for PGs (0.37 opponent +/-), I still believe Westbrook will grind out value in this type of game environment.
PF/C: Dragan Bender: (4,000)
With Deandre Ayton (ankle) and Richaun Holmes (foot) both out on Sunday, Bender drew the start at center for The Suns, and scored 30.5 DK points across 29.21 minutes vs The Wolves. With both of those centers expected to be out again tonight (Ayton has already been ruled out and Holmes is “unlikely”), Bender will start and should play close to 30 minutes again, in the same matchup he saw Sunday against Minnesota. Bender produced 1.04 DK PPM in that game and in the last seven that he has logged over 20 minutes, the former 4th overall pick is averaging 28.46 DK PPG.
Obviously, foul trouble is always a concern going against Karl-Anthony Towns, but they need Bender desperately right now, and he should still play a good amount, even if he gets in early foul trouble. I am expecting at least 20 DK points from Bender, with a decent ceiling above 30, if he can manage another double double.
C: Deandre Jordan: (6,400)
The Clippers are arguably the best fantasy matchup for centers this season. Their 4.24 current opponent +/- rating is the best matchup for a player on Tuesday night. Oh, and let’s not forget, The Clippers are Jordan’s only former team. In his first two games vs them this season, DJ supplied 51.1 DK PPG.
Plus, he is averaging 34.5 DK PPG in his last four and he will be at home in Dallas, where Jordan has produced 2.7 more DK PPG in this season. In the eight home games this year that DJ has gone against an opponent +/- of 3.0 points or greater, he is averaging 38.22 DK PPG. At only $6,400, Jordan is a stone cold lock for Thursday night.
PG: Damian Lillard: (8,100)
Considering how well he is playing right now (45.58 DK PPG in L6), it is very odd DraftKings keeps cutting Lillard’s price. He was just $9,000 for last Wednesday’s matchup vs The Cavs (46.5 DK points) and even though Lillard has scored 45.88 DK PPG in his past two, DraftKings has decreased his price all the way down to $8,100 for tonight vs The Thunder. Yes, The Thunder are a strong defensive unit (3rd in efficiency), but they are still a positive spot for PGs (1.29 opponent +/-), and large pace increase for The Blazers. (4.0 possession increase)
When Lillard has seen a pace bump of 1.0 possessions or more this season, Dame Dollah has generated 45.26 DK PPG (18 games), which would be a 5.59 value return at his current price. This game is expected to be a back and forth contest (OKC -5.5) and Lillard should score 40+ DK points for the 7th straight game.
C: Karl-Anthony Towns: (10,600)
I never like playing Towns on the road (-10.6 DK PPG this season), but this matchup against The Suns is just too appetizing to ignore. (3.24 opponent +/-) Phoenix is the 3rd worst rated defense, they allow the 3rd most points in the paint, the 5th most RPG, and are down their top two centers. Towns is averaging 60 DK PPG vs The Suns in two meetings this year and he just scored 60 DK points against them on Sunday. He should feast on Bender for another 55+ DK point outing and would be a must play, if Jeff Teague (“uncertain” with an illness) is out. When Teague, Jimmy Butler (traded), and Robert Covington (out, knee) have all been off the floor this season, KAT has scored 1.62 DK PPM. (0.2 DK PPM increase)
SF/PF: Paul George: (9,700)
PG13 is averaging 50.94 DK PPG in his last four and in his lone game vs The Blazers this year, he scored 53 DK points. The price is correct, but George is a decent bet to top 50 DK points.
SF/PF: Tobias Harris: (8,000)
Lou Williams (hamstring) is expected to return, but Danilo Gallinari (back) will still be out. When Galo is off the court, Harris is scoring 1.26 DK PPM. Williams being back hurts Harris’ ceiling, but he still has a chance of exceeding five times value vs The Mavs.
PG: Kyle Lowry: (7,600)
Kawhi Leonard (rest) is out tonight and in the 12 he has missed this season, Lowry has contributed 42.79 DK PPG. At $7,600, Lowry is a really nice value against The Kings, who are the 4th fastest team in The NBA. (1.45 opponent +/- and 3.5 possession increase)
C: Jusuf Nurkic: (7,500)
Nurkic is on a tear right now (49.17 DK PPG in L3) and The Thunder are actually rating as a solid spot for centers. (1.37 opponent +/-) In his first matchup vs OKC this season, Nurkic scored 40.5 DK points in 30.1 minutes.
PG/SG: Lou Williams: (6,600)
Before missing these last two, Williams was playing very well (35.68 DK PPG in L10), and he is averaging 39 DK PPG across two games vs Dallas this year. Lou Will should be slightly under owned and is a really sneaky play at this reasonable cost.
PF/C: Pascal Siakam: (6,300)
Siakam is scoring 35.75 DK PPG in these last two without Leonard and he is averaging 32.19 DK PPG in the 12 total without The Klaw this season. With Leoanrd officially out, Siakam should have no issues cracking 30 DK points against this fast Kings’ team. (1.28 opponent +/-)
PG/SG: Derick Rose: (6,300)
Rose has looked awesome in his last two (37.6 DK PPG) and he would be a core play if Teague is out. The Suns are 3rd worst defense in The NBA and in the six full games without Teague and Butler, D Rose is averaging 39.38 DK PPG.
PF/C: Serge Ibaka: (5,900)
Ibaka is averaging 35.27 DK PPG in all the games Leonard has missed. This is a $300 price drop since his last game and this matchup vs The Kings is extremely strong for Ibaka. (3.05 opponent +/-) Him, Lowry, and Siakam are all viable tonight.
SF/PF: T.J. Warren: (5,700)
Warren played 37.4 minutes with both Ayton and Holmes out on Sunday (31.5 DK points) and he remains viable, given he should play 35+ minutes.
SG/SF: Kelly Oubre Jr.: (5,600)
Oubre is scoring 36.6 DK PPG in his last five and the minutes should be right around 30 again, with The Suns lacking depth. (33 DK points vs The Wolves on Sunday)
PF/C: Qunicy Acy: (3,500)
As The Suns’ backup center, Acy recorded 22.25 DK points in 18.32 minutes on Sunday. He will stay in this role tonight and even if the floor is extremely shaky (only 0.57 DK PPM this season), Acy is a decent punt for this small of a slate.
*Please note some of these stats are from FantasyLabs.com