Welcome back everyone. Alex here, and these are my DraftKings NBA Picks for January 2nd. Tonight, we get back to a full slate, with nine games to attack. As always, if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Also, I recommend following me, because if anything changes with these plays below or if any injury news effects the slate, I try to address the situations I find important before tip off. @Hunta512.
C: Karl-Anthony Towns: (9,600)
Towns has been absolute monster in his last three games. (75.5 DK PPG) In the past two, The Wolves have been without Derick Rose (ankle) and Jeff Teague (ankle), putting KAT’s usage at a team high 34.1%, and helping him to score 2.04 DK PPM. Now, Robert Covington (ankle) will also be out and Towns’ usage should grow even more. When these three players and Jimmy Butler (traded) have been off the court this season, Towns has led the offense with a ridiculous 37.6% usage rate, which is a 11% increase from his usual rate.
Plus, even though Al Horford is back for The Celtics, his minutes have been limited, and their frontcourt is very beat up right now, with Aaron Baynes (hand), and Robert Williams (groin) both sidelined. (1.12 opponent +/-) In his last seven games vs The Celtics, Towns has exceeded expectations by 7.05 DK PPG, and I am expecting at least 55 DK points from him on Wednesday night, with a ceiling above 80.
SF/PF: DeMarre Carroll: (4,000)
Carroll should be the main beneficiary with Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (hip) out. With RHJ only playing three minutes on Saturday, Carroll scored 31.75 DK points in 35.1 minutes vs The Bucks, which is the most he has played in nearly a month. This was the second game in a row that Carroll has seen 30+ minutes and he should see similar playing time tonight vs The Pelicans, with Hollis-Jefferson, Allen Crabbe (knee), and Caris LeVert (knee) all sidelined.
Carroll scores 0.72 DK PPM when all three of these players are off the floor and with a projection 35 minutes, he should easily score over 20 DK points, with New Orleans being the 5th worst defense, and 9th fastest team in the league. (1.28 opponent +/-) He will be chalky (36-40% projected ownership via Fantasy Labs), but the value Carroll brings at only $4,000, is hard to overlook on Wednesday night.
C: Guillermo Hernangomez: (3,800)
With Cody Zeller (hand) officially out, Hernangomez is expected to draw the start at center vs The Mavs. This will be the second game that Zeller has missed this season and in the first contest, Hernangomez scored 21 DK points in only 14 minutes. I am expecting a little over 20 minutes for him tonight, which would be plenty of time for Hernangomez to smash value at his low price tag. When both Zeller and Jeremy Lamb (out, hamstring) have been off the court this season, Hernangomez has scored a strong 1.34 DK PPM.
On top of being an extremely effective fantasy producer, the matchup is also in Hernangomez’s favor, with Dallas being a terrible road team (2-16), that always struggles with opposing centers. (1.89 opponent +/-) We can’t expect big minutes, but Hernangomez should be able to score over 25 DK points and possibly notch a double double as the starting center.
PG/SG: Terry Rozier: (5,300)
Scary Terry will start tonight vs The Wolves, with Kyrie Irving (eye) ruled out. In the other two games that Irving missed this season, Rozier started, and averaged 33 DK PPG in 33.8 MPG. Overall, Rozier is averaging 33.6 DK PPG in the 36 games Irving has missed the last two years. Not only will Boston be without Irving, but Baynes and Williams will also be missing. When all three of them have been off the floor, Rozier has supplied 0.98 DK PPM, which is a team high 0.2 DK PPM jump from his season average.
The Wolves rank 19th in defensive efficiency and they are also down their two top PGs (Rose and Teague), making this an even softer matchup than usual. In 35-40 minutes of work, Rozier should eclipse 30 DK points, with a ceiling over 40. He will be a core play for me in all formats.
PF/C: Anthony Davis: (11,800)
Davis let everyone down by being a late scratch on Monday night, but he is listed as probable for this evening. Assuming no freak accidents prevent this fragile player from suiting up, AD should have a big game vs this Nets’ frontcourt. (4.65 opponent +/-) This is the best possible matchup for a starting player tonight and in his first matchup with Brooklyn this season, Davis scored 59.5 DK points.
C: Joel Embiid: (10,600)
After being questionable with knee soreness, Embiid showed no signs of an injury, and scored 64.25 DK points vs The Clippers last night. He is in another great spot on Wednesday, going against The Suns, who are the 4th worst defense this year. (3.39 opponent +/-) He has exceeded 60 DK points in three consecutive games and when Embiid has taken on an opponent +/- of 3.0 points or better this season, he has been a beast. (58.9 DK PPG)
PG: Kemba Walker: (9,000)
Walker scores 1.26 DK PPM without Zeller and Lamb this season. Plus, he will be at home, playing against The Mavs, who always struggle on the road. (1.45 opponent +/-)
SG: Bradley Beal: (8,600)
With John Wall (heel) done for the year, this is now Beal’s offense. In the five games Wall and Dwight Howard (out, back) have missed this season, Beal is averaging 53.8 DK PPG. Oh, and to put a cherry on top, The Wizards are playing The Hawks, who are the 6th worst defense, and fastest team in The NBA. (1.95 opponent +/-) In their first two meetings of the season, Beal scored 54.5 DK PPG.
SF/PF: Kyle Kuzma: (7,500)
LeBron James (groin) will be out again and in these past three without The King, Kuzma is scoring 42.3 DK PPG. He remains viable, even though his opponent, The Thunder, are the #1 ranked defense this season.
PG/SG: Brandon Ingram: (6,400)
Ingram has also produced with James out of the lineup (35.6 DK PPG) and should approach five times value tonight.
PG: Tyus Jones: (5,600)
Jones has been great as The Wolves’ starting PG, sans Teague and Rose. (37.5 DK PPG) He will play very high minutes (37.2 MPG in L2) and is one the better mid-tier values once again.
PF/C: Thomas Bryant: (4,700)
Even with Otto Porter back, Bryant should stay in a large role, with Markieff Morris (neck) and Howard still out. In these past two, Bryant is scoring 37.25 DK PPG and the matchup can’t get much better. (ATL is a 2.37 opponent +/-)
PG/SG: Tomas Satoranksy: (4,600)
Satoransky is averaging 29.75 DK PPG with Wall out and he should surpass five times value again, in this dream spot vs The Hawks. (1.8 opponent +/-)
SG/SF: Josh Okogie: (3,700)
Okogie isn’t the best fantasy player (0.74 DK PPM), but he will start in place of Covington, and should play 30+ minutes. Based off playing time alone, he joins the punt conversation.
PG/SG: Malik Monk: (3,600)
Monk would be a really nice value if he starts for Lamb. After Lamb exited last game, Monk popped off for 35.75 DK points in only 24 minutes vs The Magic. He scores 0.96 DK PPM without Lamb and Zeller and should log 20+ minutes, starter or not.
*Please note some of these stats are from FantasyLabs.com