DraftKings NBA Picks – March 14th

What’s up guys. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA picks for March 14th, 2017. Tuesday night’s slate is a difficult slate with only five games to attack. From now on I will be including an expensive player I like with my sleeper/value picks. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 7:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Hunta512.

If you want help with NBA research for FanDuel and DraftKings check out the best fantasy tools out there at FantasyLabs.com

Top Pick:

PG: Russell Westbrook: (13,400) The biggest decision you will make playing this five game slate, will be to roster or to not roster Westbrook. His price may have hit its ceiling at $13,400, but the safety and upside he presents is just too good for me to ignore in this matchup vs The Nets. He should have a field day vs this Nets team that plays at the fastest pace in The NBA, allowing the 4th most DK points to PGs, with a current opponent +/- of 2.44 points. He is also arguably playing on the best team of the night to target, with The Thunder having a 115.5 point implied team total and in this game that having a slate high O/U game total of 223.5 points. At his current salary, he needs 67 DK points to return five times value, which is something he has done at a consistent rate this season when he has competed in high scoring games like tonight.

In the seven games this season, that The Thunder have had an implied team total of at least 110 points and The Vegas game total is at least 220 points, Westbrook is averaging a ridiculous 75.1 DK points per game. The main worry about playing him is that this game could end up becoming a blow out (Thunder -7.5), but even though this crazy to say, The Nets have actually been playing better over the last week, winning two of their last four games, and not losing by double digits in both of these last two losses. With this game being played in Brooklyn, I think The Nets will put up a fight and keep this game competitive enough that Westbrook plays his normal 35+ minutes. I understand the logic of fading him in GPPs, but his floor and ceiling in this matchup are something I want to take advantage of in cash games tonight.

Value Picks:

PG: Isaiah Whitehead: (3,300) Whitehead has been pretty consistent for The Nets lately, scoring over 20 DK points in three of his last four games. His minutes have been also been consistent over these four contests, playing 24.5 minutes a game off the bench, compared to his usual 22 minute average this season. This isn’t a huge difference, but the slight uptick in playing time has helped his usage increase to 21.8%, which is a 2.2% bump from his 19.6% usage this year.

The match up is neutral for him tonight with The Thunder allowing the 17th most DK points to PGs this season and he is so cheap that he only needs 16.5 DK points to hit value at his current price tag. I think he has a great chance of scoring 20+ DK points for the third straight game in this excellent game situation, with this Thunder Nets game having the highest total of Tuesday night at 223.5 points.  There isn’t much upside here with him playing behind PG Jeremy Lin, but at only $3,300, he seems like a necessary punt play if you want to fit in Russell Westbrook.

SG/SF: Allen Crabbe: (4,100) Crabbe’s role has increased off the bench, averaging 29 regulation minutes over his last four games. He struggled with his shot Sunday vs The Suns (3/8 from the field), but he is still averaging a great 25.6 DK points a night over these last four. Tonight he will look to bounce back in an average matchup vs The Pelicans, who present a current opponent +/- of 0.5 points.

He has been playing as The Blazers sixth man and he should play 25-30 minutes again tonight off the bench. The matchup obviously isn’t perfect, but with this kind of playing time he should score 20+ DK points. His fantasy production does rely on his shot is falling, but at $4,100 he is worth a shot for this ugly slate just based on the amount minutes he should play. (5-8% projected ownership via Fantasy Labs)

SG: Jordan Crawford: (3,900) Crawford has been an effective scorer off the bench in his first three games with The Pelicans, averaging 26.9 DK points per game. This is his first NBA action since 2014, but he hasn’t been shy on offense as he tries to get himself another ten-day contract, posting a 23.3% usage rate, which is the third highest rate on the team in this span, only trailing Demarcus Cousins and Anthony Davis. Obviously, this usage may be a little dramatic, but it is clear he is going to be gunning up shots whenever he is on the floor.

Tonight he should continue to see a 20-25 minute role off the bench in a difficult matchup vs The Blazers who give up the 6th fewest DK points to SGs this season. Just like with Crabbe, this isn’t the best matchup by the numbers, but given the lack of cheap plays for this slate, Crawford is a viable cheap option regardless of the defensive matchup. In these first three games, he is averaging just over 1.0 DK point per minute and if the heavy usage continues, he has a great chance of hitting five times value with some upside if he gets hot.  Crawford is a tough pill to swallow, but is a player who is worth a flier in GPPs tonight, with his low projected ownership of 5-8%. (via Fantasy Labs)

Also Consider: Steve Adams, Enes Kanter, Trevor Booker, Jeremy Lin, Thaddeus Young, Guillermo Hernangomez (best value at center if he is confirmed starting, was benched in the second half last game), Andre Roberson, Lance Thomas (if he is starting over Hernangomez), Timothe Luwawu, Iman Shumpert, Caris Levert, Myles Turner, and Reggie Jackson.