What’s up guys. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA picks for March 18th, 2017. Tonight we get a solid slate with six games on tap. From now on I will be including an expensive player I like with my sleeper/value picks. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 7:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Hunta512.
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PG: Chris Paul: (8,200) Paul’s price has dropped $600 at the perfect time with him taking on The Cavs tonight, who have struggled defending PGs recently, with a high current opponent +/- of 3.37 points. Deandre Jordan and Blake Griffin will return tonight after being rested last game, but Paul is still underpriced if he sees heavy minutes in this matchup. He disappointed Wednesday vs The Bucks (22.25 DK points), but overall he has been great over his last four games, averaging 43 DK points per game during this stretch.
With The Clippers still chasing The Jazz for the four seed in The West, Paul should log 35+ minutes tonight, assuming this game stays close, with its tight 3.5 point spread, and O/U of 218.5 points. Also it’s not a huge difference, but Paul should benefit with this game being played at home in LA, where he is averaging 1.7 more DK points compared to when he has played on the road so far this season. With this kind of playing time in an important game, Paul should put up 40-45 DK points, and is one of my favorite overall plays of the night.
C: Nene: (3,900) After being rested last night, Nene should be fresh and ready to go for tonight’s tilt with The Nuggets. He doesn’t start, but Head Coach Mike D’Antoni has made this rotation tighter as the season winds down, with Clint Capela and Nene playing all the center minutes. He is obviously is an older player (34 years old), but he still gets it done when he plays, averaging 0.98 DK points per minute this season. He is basically a point per minute producer, and with around 20 minutes tonight, he has a great chance of returning five times value with 25 point upside, in this excellent matchup against vs The Nuggets who have allowed the 11th most DK points to centers this year, with a current opponent +/- 2.48 points.
This is by far the best game of Saturday night to target with its ridiculously high O/U total of 239.5 points, and small spread of 2.5 points in favor of The Rockets. Obviously, the floor is low for a player who doesn’t play that much, but at only $3,900, Nene makes a lot of sense if you want to get an extra share of this very high total in GPPs. (5-8% projected ownership via Fantasy Labs)
PF: Nikola Mirotic: (4,400) Mirotic has been hot off the bench for The Bulls in his last three games, scoring 41.25 DK points vs The Hornets, 27.75 DK points vs The Grizzlies, and 37.25 DK points vs The Wizards. The Bulls are fighting for their playoff lives, currently sitting two games out of eight seed in The East, which has led to a tighter rotation, with Mirotic as their primary PF, averaging 28.3 minutes in these three games. He also has been more involved on offense, seeing a 24.2% usage rate, which is a 4.5% increase from his average usage this year.
Tonight he is in a very difficult spot playing against The Jazz, who rank 3rd vs PFs this season. But if his new role continues, he still has a chance, regardless of the very ugly matchup, with him averaging 1.17 DK points per minute in his last three games. With a projection of 25-30 minutes he should put up 20+ DK points with 30 point upside tonight. I hate playing anyone against this Jazz defense, but Mirotic is just simply underpriced for the minutes he should play, and he is a nice GPP play tonight, that may get overlooked because of his difficult matchup.
SG/SF: Joe Ingles: (4,400) With starting SG Rodney Hood remaining out tonight (knee), Ingles will draw the start again vs The Bulls. He started for Hood on Thursday night, and was very solid playing with the starting five, scoring 24 DK points in a high 36 minutes, which is a huge difference from his usual 22.8 minutes a game this season.
As I said on Thursday, Ingles has always been ready to step up this year when Hood is out, as he is now averaging 22.9 DK points and 30.5 minutes in the 20 games that Hood has missed this season. The matchup is decent for him tonight vs The Bulls who have allowed the 13th most DK points to SGs this season. If he plays 30+ minutes again, he should score 20-25 DK points. There isn’t much upside here, but at $4,400 Ingles is one of the safer cheap values of this six game slate.
Also Consider: Mason Plumlee, Gary Harris, Lou Williams, Jameer Nelson, Clint Capela, Rajon Rondo (matchup is gross vs The Jazz, but he is also is just too cheap at $5,800), Frank Kaminsky (31 minutes last game), Denzel Valentine, Joe Johnson, Vince Carter, and Ian Mahinmi.