How’s it going guys. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA picks for March 22nd, 2018. Tonight, we get a six game slate. Be sure to follow all of the injury news tonight, all the way up until the 7:00PM EST lock, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. @Hunta512.
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C: Rudy Gobert: (8,300) Every single game matters for The Jazz right now with them sitting as the eighth seed in The West. The Nuggets and Clippers are right at their heels and they will be looking to bounce back tonight vs The Mavs, after a disappointing loss to The Hawks on Tuesday night. Before this loss, The Jazz were winners of nine straight games and Gobert has been a huge part of their success. In their last ten games, he is averaging 44.8 DK PPG and 35.9 MPG. He has scored 40+ DK points in eight of those ten and tonight he should have another 40+ DK point performance vs a very weak Mavs’ interior defense.
As a unit, they rank as the 3rd worst in the league over their last three games and are a high 4.29 current opponent +/- for starting centers. There’s no doubt he will post a double double in this game and he could approach 50 DK points depending how many blocks he can manage. He is the best value on DraftKings based on his current Vegas props with an implied score of 44.45 fantasy points. Gobert is a great option in all formats on Thursday night.
C: Gullermo Hernangomez: (3,400) Hernangomez let many people down last night, but he must be considered tonight with starting center Dwight Howard out due to suspension and backup center Cody Zeller most likely missing his seventh straight game with a knee injury. Nothing is official at the moment, but Hernangomez seems like the most logical choice to start at center tonight. Starter or not, he will have to play 25+ minutes with this Hornets team so thin up front. At a first glance, his matchup vs The Grizzlies is extremely difficult with them allowing the least DK points to centers this season, but they will be resting the player who is the main reason for this great ranking, in former Defensive Player of The Year, center Marc Gasol. They are a completely different defensive team with Gasol out of the picture and their low current opponent +/- of 0.27 points can be ignored this evening.
Hernangomez scores an efficient 1.08 DK PPM this season and with a projection of 25 minutes, which could be a modest one, he should smash value at his $3,400 price tag. Before last night, he topped 20 DK points in back to back games in a small reserve role off the bench. Tonight, we should see a 25+ DK point game from him with ceiling around 40 DK points. No matter if Zeller is in or out, Hernangomez rates as the best point per dollar value of this six game slate.
SG/SF: Jeremy Lamb: (5,700) It isn’t official, but I think it is safe to assume starting SF Nicholas Batum will miss another game tonight with the Achilles injury. In these last two games as the starter for Batum, Lamb has been great, topping 30 DK points and playing over 30 minutes in each game. Last night was the 16th game Batum has sat out this year and Lamb is now averaging 28.95 DK PPG, 30.9 MPG, and a 23.3% usage rate for those games. Assuming Batum is out, Lamb will get another start tonight vs The Grizzlies. As I just touched on above with Hernangomez, this matchup is scary by their rankings, but with Gasol out, this is a completely different defense. Even with Gasol playing in most of their recent games, this defense has still struggled defending wing players with a current opponent +/- of 2.99 points for starting SFs.
The ten point spread in favor of The Hornets isn’t ideal, but Lamb should still play roughly 30 minutes in this game and score 30+ DK points. He is scoring 35.28 DK points per 36 minutes with Howard, Zeller, and Batum off the floor this season. His price has gone up $300 since last night’s 30.25 DK point game vs The Nets, but he remains underpriced at $5,700 and is still a very strong target in all formats.
PF/C: Deyonta Davis: (3,300) Last night, Davis was excellent off the bench, putting up a double double of 16 points and 11 rebounds, while also chipping in with two assists vs The Sixers. (34.25 DK points) Now, with Gasol being rested, Davis should draw the start at center vs The Hornets. He was a disappointment in his last start for Gasol (10.25 DK points vs The Nets on Monday), but he is so cheap that he doesn’t need to do much to reach value.
Also, coming off last night’s game he should be more confident in himself and so should this coaching staff on giving him heavier minutes sans Gasol. Plus, very much how like The Grizzlies will be a weaker defense without Gasol, The Hornets will be a softer unit without Howard. Even with Howard missing no games, this defense has struggled recently, allowing an average of 106.3 points over their last 12 games, so its safe to say with Howard out of the equation, this will be a very good matchup for The Grizzlies. Davis is averaging 0.92 DK PPM this season and in 25-30 minutes of work, he should easily get us five to six times value at this price.
Also Consider: Eric Gordon (Chris Paul is “unlikely” to play tonight. Gordon should start at the two moving Harden to point. In the 17 games he has been active for without CP3, Gordon is averaging 29.74 DK PGG and 33.2 MPG), JaMychal Green (averaging 36.85 DK PPG in the five games both Gasol and Conley have missed this season. His minutes have been tough to predict, but he is very much in play at this price), Frank Kaminksy (if Zeller is out, he is going to have to log some minutes at center. His shooting has been dreadful, but he would be viable if Zeller is confirmed out), Mike Muscala (21.25 DK points as the starter for Collins last game. He played 30 minutes in this game and Collins will be out again. His matchup is great vs The Kings who are a high 4.35 current opponent +/-), Blake Griffin (blowout concerns are very real tonight with The Pistons facing off against The Rockets on their home floor, but Griffin has been a monster, scoring over 50 DK points in his last two games. He will benefit from playing up in pace and he has a current Vegas prop score of 43.8 fantasy points), Dennis Schorder (went ballistic for 58.25 DK points in a very tough spot vs The Jazz on Tuesday night. He was averaging 32.8 DK PPG in his prior three. The matchup isn’t ideal vs The Kings, but he has chance of exceeding value again tonight with a Vegas prop score of 33.15 points), Taurean Prince (as expected, he came back down to earth in a tough spot vs The Jazz on Tuesday, only scoring 20.75 DK points. Before this, he was averaging 51.6 DK PPG in his last four. If the usage comes back up, he should rebound and is a very nice GPP target that shouldn’t be highly owned after his game on Tuesday), Buddy Hield (Bogdan Bogdanovic will return, most likely putting Hield back with the second unit, but he was still on fire before starting, averaging 42.6 DK PPG in the three before Bogdan was out. He has led this team with a high 27.2% usage rate in their last four and he remains an awesome GPP target that might be lower owned with Bogdanovic back), Jrue Holiday (I don’t understand why his usage has dropped so much in his last two games, but this is a perfect spot to target a bounce back game. He is playing The Lakers and both of these teams rank in the top five in pace this season and this game has the highest O/U game total of the night by far, at 229.5 points. If he doesn’t play well in this spot, something has dramatically changed with Holiday), Rajon Rondo (nice matchup with The Lakers sitting at a 3.39 opponent +/- and he will have a chip on his shoulder playing against Lakers’ guard Isaiah Thomas. The last time these two teams played against each other, Rondo was messing with Thomas so much he was ejected in the second quarter. Before exiting in that game, Rondo was scoring 2.04 DK PPM), E’Twaun Moore (playing high minutes right now and is a decent way of getting exposure to this high total), Isaiah Thomas (has been bad in his last two games, but is GPP viable given the game setting), Julius Randle (very strong matchup, as The Pelicans are rating as a high opponent +/- of 4.92 points. He has a prop score of 39.38 fantasy points), and Brook Lopez. (38.2 DK PPG and 35.16 MPG in these past three. The matchup is awesome at a 4.28 opponent +/-)