Welcome back everyone. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA picks for March 26th, 2018. Tonight, we get a decent slate with five games to attack. Be sure to follow all of the injury news tonight, all the way up until the 7:00PM EST lock, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. @Hunta512.
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PG: Lonzo Ball: (7,800) Tonight, I think building a more balanced lineup is the way to go. Ball’s price is up, but he is playing extremely high minutes right now. In these last two games, which is including one without back up PG Isaiah Thomas (hip), who will be out again tonight, Ball has played 44 minutes and 42 minutes, which is only ten total minutes of sitting in these past two. The Lakers may be out of the playoff race, but with them not owning the rights to their first round pick this year, unless it lands first or past number five, they have playing to win down the stretch. Head Coach Luke Walton has no issues giving his younger players a ton of playing time and Ball should see 40+ minutes again tonight, with this matchup vs The Pistons having a tight spread of only 4.5 points.
His usage goes up 1.2% with Thomas, SF Brandon Ingram (doubtful, groin), PG Jordan Clarkson (traded), PF Larry Nance Jr. (traded), and SG Josh Hart (hand) all off the floor this season and with this type of playing time, Ball should score close to 40 DK points, with nice upside in decent spot vs The Pistons. (2.18 opponent +/-) Yes, The Lakers technically having nothing to play for right now, but the high minutes will be there for Ball and I like relying on this factor for tonight’s slate.
PG/SG: Andrew Harrison: (5,200) In his return after missing one game with a wrist injury, Harrison played great in a big role, scoring 20 points, nine assists, four rebounds, and a steal in 37 minutes of work vs The Lakers. (40 DK points) The Grizzlies were without starting PG Tyreke Evans in this game and he will be out again tonight for personal reasons. This is going to be the 15th game Harrison has played in with both Evans and PG Mike Conley out, and in the first 14, he averaged 27.34 DK PPG. The Grizzlies are in full tank mode right now, as losers of 23 of their last 24 games and no one on this team’s playing time is guaranteed, but Harrison should play at least 30 minutes again with Evans not with the team.
His matchup is a positive one vs The Wolves, who are currently an opponent +/- of 2.68 points for starting PGs. He has averaged 0.92 DK PPM in all the games without Evans and Conley, and in roughly 30 minutes, which could be a tentative projection, Harrison should score 25+ DK points in this spot, with decent upside. There is a risk in rostering any of The Grizzlies’ player right now, but the price is just too friendly to ignore Harrison on Monday night.
PG/SG: Trey Burke: (4,800) After a 34 DK point performance vs The Wolves on Friday night, The Knicks Coaching Staff decided to give Burke the start vs The Wizards on Sunday night. He didn’t disappoint, scoring 31 DK points, while shooting 53% from the field and leading The Knicks to a quality win over The Wizards who are playoff bound. After two productive games, Burke should remain the starting PG for The Knicks tonight vs The Hornets. They aren’t the greatest matchup for opposing PGs (1.17 opponent +/-), but in close to 30 minutes of action, Burke should be able to exceed value once again as the starter.
He is pure gunner right now and his usage improved with the starting five, rising to 30.3%. He has already played well against this defense once this season, scoring 26.3 DK points in a much smaller role of only 19.1 minutes, which is a great 1.4 DK PPM when you do the math. His price actually dropped $100 since his game last night and at only $4,800 is an excellent value play to target tonight, with his PG/SG eligibility.
C: Brook Lopez: (6,000) Just like with Ball, Lopez is a very strong option with the high minutes he should play. Earlier in the year his playing time was tough to predict, but Lopez has now see over 30 minutes in eight of his last nine games. He struggled in one of the toughest matchups for centers vs The Grizzlies in his last game (18.25 DK points), but before this he was averaging 36.5 DK PPG in his prior four. Tonight, he should bounce back in a much easier matchup vs The Pistons, who are rating as a higher 3.77 opponent +/- for starting centers.
He scores 1.04 DK PPM this season and in 30-35 minutes, Lopez should produce 30+ DK points in this spot. His salary has dropped $400 since his last game and Lopez is a fine value play that can be used in all formats tonight.
Also Consider: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (if you haven’t noticed, I am very fond of The Lakers tonight. All of their starters have been logging very high minutes and KCP has now logged 43 minutes in back to back games. Thomas and Ingram will remain out and KCP should see 40+ again), Kyle Kuzma (41 DK PPG and 40.1 MPG in his last three. The matchup could be better, but we are targeting him because of the opportunities he will see with this Lakers team so thin), Julius Randle (40.5 DK PPG and 36.4 MPG in his last six. His minutes aren’t as high as Ball, KCP, and Kuzma, but Randle possess the biggest upside of the group. This matchup is a solid 2.98 opponent +/- and he should approach 40 DK points in this game), Ben Simmons (49.1 DK PPG in his last two and this is a nice spot for him, with The Nuggets rating as a 2.98 opponent +/- for PGs), Dwight Howard (been a monster scoring over 50 DK points in back to back games. This matchup is excellent vs The Knicks, who are a high 3.67 opponent +/-. This matchup would be even better if back up center Kyle O’Quinn was out again), Dillon Brooks (35 minutes last game with Evans sitting. Only scored 20 DK points, but the price is too cheap for someone who is going to play this much), Blake Griffin (has one of the best matchups on the board vs The Lakers, who are a 4.53 opponent +/-), Troy Daniels (if Devin Booker is out again. This matchup vs The Celtics is bad, but he would start and is averaging 25.1 DK PPG in these last four without Booker), Josh Jackson (if Booker is out and you believe this game can stay close. He hasn’t been the stud option we expected with Booker out these last few games, but he is back home, where he is averaging 2.4 more DK PPG and if this game is striking distance, he will play close to 40 minutes), Alex Len/Marquese Chriss (tough spot, but whoever starts would be in play at their cheap price tags), Al Horford (rebounded last night with 34.25 DK points vs The Kings after struggling for a few games. The matchup is very good playing up in pace vs The Suns), and Greg Monroe. (had a down game last night, but he scored 30+ in four of his previous five. Also, don’t forget The Suns are his former team. They made him ride the bench for no reason basically his whole time in Phoenix. I am sure Monore would like to have a big game against them tonight)