What’s going on everybody. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA picks for March 29th, 2017. Tonight’s slate is a full slate with ten games to attack. From now on I will be including an expensive player I like with my sleeper/value picks. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 7:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Hunta512.
C: Al Horford: (6,900) After hitting a really tough stretch at the end of February and in the beginning of March, Horford has looked like the max player The Celtics expected when they signed him this past summer, averaging a terrific 42 DK points a game over the last two weeks. Not only is he scoring more averaging 16.2 points a game, but he is also chipping in with 7.4 rebounds and 6.4 assists a night, which has been a big difference for him fantasy wise, with him now scoring 1.28 DK points a minute vs his 1.02 DK point per minute average this season. It’s odd saying this for a player who has been in the league for nine years now, but he really has looked like a much more confident player on both ends of the floor, helping The Celtics a win eight of their last nine games.
Every game is important for Horford and The Celtics from here on out, with them currently sitting at the #1 seed in The East with a half game lead over The Cavs. Tonight, he is in a very nice spot to continue this run, with him taking on The Bucks, who have allowed the 10th most DK points to opposing centers this season, with a current opponent +/- of 2.1 points. He has yet to take on this Bucks team this season, but he should do just fine, especially with this game being played at home in Boston where Horford is scoring 5.3 more DK points a night compared to when he is on the road this year. Barring a blowout (Celtics -8), Horford should play 30+ minutes and score 35-40 DK points tonight. Even though he has been extremely consistent, hitting at least five times value in eight straight games, DraftKings has yet to bring his salary over $7,000. I don’t think this will price will last long and I think we need to take advantage of Horford’s $6,900 price tag in both cash games and GPPs tonight vs this Bucks defense.
PG: T.J. McConnell: (5,500) Last night McConnell took advantage of some extra playing time with back up PG Sergio Rodriguez out with a hamstring injury, putting up 32 DK points across 35 minutes in a win over The Nets. Rodriguez has already been ruled out for tonight’s tilt vs The Hawks, which should push McConnell to playing around 35 minutes again. McConnell and Rodriguez have been splitting all the PG minutes for The Sixers as of late, which has pushed McConnell down to around 25 minutes recently, but with 30+ minutes he has a great shot of producing value, with him averaging 32.8 DK points in the last five games that he has logged at least 30 minutes.
The matchup is also excellent for him with Dennis Schroder and The Hawks, currently presenting a high 3.29 opponent +/- vs starting PGs, which is the best overall matchup for any PG in action tonight in terms of opponent +/-. The Hawks are a very beat up team right now so this game should remain close throughout (Hawks -2), and I am expecting McConnell to meet five times value with a 30 DK point upside in this great matchup.
C: Enes Kanter: (5,100) Foul trouble held Kanter back last game (7.0 DK points in 17 minutes vs The Mavs), but he should bounce back tonight going against a very weak Magic defense that has a current opponent +/- of 3.18 points vs back up centers. Before Monday night, Kanter was on a roll, scoring 29 DK points vs The Warriors, 43.25 DK points vs The Sixers, and 32.5 DK points vs The Rockets. We all know the story with Kanter and whenever he is on the floor, he usually produces, with him averaging 1.23 DK points per minute this season. He has already played very well against this Magic defense once this season, scoring 29.5 DK points in 23 minutes off the bench back in November.
Kanter also has been effective whenever he faces a weak defensive unit like tonight, with him averaging 27.06 DK points in the 13 games this season that he has faced a defense that has an opponent +/- of 2.5 or more points. The minutes are never going to be very high with him being a defensive liability, but he should play 20-25 minutes tonight, which is just enough for him to return value at his $5,100 price tag. There is 30-40 point upside here for Kanter in this matchup, and at only $5,100, he is one of my favorite GPP targets of this ten game slate with his low expected ownership of 5-8%. (via Fantasy Labs)
SG: Troy Daniels: (3,000) Daniels is an extremely risky play, but all season he has benefited when The Grizzlies play smaller lineups when either center Marc Gasol or PF Zach Randolph are out. It is nothing spectacular, but in these last two games with Gasol sidelined (foot), Daniels is averaging 13.25 DK points, and actually played a high 29 minutes off the bench in his last game. There has not been any games this year that both bigs have missed, but over the 12 games this season that one of them has been out, Daniels is posting a 22.7% average usage rate and 17.4 DK points a game off the bench.
He is a very good shooter and when he is on, Daniels is hard player to take out of the game. His matchup is solid tonight, with The Pacers giving up the 11th most DK points to SGs and also 10.1 three pointers made per game by their opponents this season. It is really hard to guess his minutes because his playing time mostly revolves around his shooting, but with Gasol already confirmed out, he has a shot of scoring 15-20 DK points in around 20-25 minutes off the bench. Daniels has an extremely low floor, but with his bare minimum $3,000 salary, I think he is worth gamble in GPPs, if you need the extra cap space to fit in multiple studs.
Also Consider: Nik Stauskas (better if Henderson remains out), Rodney Hood/Joe Ingles (if Gordon Hayward is out), Avery Bradley, Monta Ellis, Ersan Ilyasova, Taurean Prince, Mindaugas Kuzminskas (if Carmelo Anthony is out), Justin Anderson/Timothe Luwawu (if Henderson is out), JaMychal Green (if active) Branden Wright (if JaMychal Green is out), Malcom Brogdon, E’Twaun Moore/Dante Cunningham (if Solmon Hill and Demarcus Cousins are both out), Tony Allen, Kelly Olynyk, and Greg Monroe.