gravatar

DraftKings NBA Picks – November 10th

How’s it going everyone. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA picks for November 10th, 2017. Friday night’s slate is full slate with eight games on tap. Be sure to follow all of the injury news tonight, all the way up until the 7:00 PM EST lock, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter.@Hunta512.

If you want help with NBA research for FanDuel and DraftKings check out the best fantasy tools out there at FantasyLabs.com

Top Pick:

C: Andre Drummond: (8,800) Drummond’s price is at a season high $8,800, but he is still underpriced for the way he has been playing. After two duds to open the year, he has posted a double double and surpassed five times value in eight of his last nine games. He has been even better over his last three starts, averaging 51 DK points a night. His rebound rate has increased 1.8% this season and his playing time has been rather consistent, playing 32.5 minutes a game.

His improved play has been a huge factor in why this team is off to an 8-3 start, and he has a chance to dominate once again vs The Hawks, who are currently presenting a very high opponent +/- of 10.22 points to starting centers, which is the best matchup of any player suiting up on Friday night, in terms of opponent +/-. This Hawks team allows the second most rebounds a game, and Drummond is in great position to log his fifth straight double double. Even at this new high price, Drummond is still one of the better spends of this eight game slate.

Value Picks:

PG/SG: Lou Williams: (5,200) Williams will start at PG tonight for The Clippers, with PG Patrick Beverly out for the next two games with a sore knee. They will also be without starting SF Danilo Gallinari who is nursing a hip injury. Moving into the starting five may hurt his usage, but overall Williams will need to play more than he is used to, and he should see 30+ minutes tonight. This season is averaging right above 1.0 DK points per minute, and in all the time he has seen with these two starters on the bench, he is scoring 36.69 DK points per 36 minutes of action.

This matchup is ugly vs The Thunder who rank second in defensive efficiency (-1.42 opponent +/-), but there is a chance this unit takes a hit, if starting center Steve Adams sits this one out. (questionable, ankle) Either way, there really wouldn’t be any matchup that would hold me back from rostering Williams in starting a role. He is one of the most underrated pure scorers in the league and Head Coach Doc Rivers should rely on him heavily with this team down two starters. He should approach 30 DK points and is one the strongest values on the board, that should be considered in all formats.

SF/PF: Wesley Johnson: (3,700) Johnson was solid starting place of Gallinari, scoring 12 points, six rebounds, two assists, a block, and a steal in 33 minutes on Tuesday night. (26 DK points) As previously mentioned, Gallinari will be out again tonight, keeping Johnson in the starting five. His usage will always be capped, but with Beverly also out, The Clippers should play a pretty tight rotation, and Johnson will likely see 35+ minutes in this game vs The Thunder.

The matchup is tough (-2.96 opponent +/-), but we aren’t targeting Johnson because of any matchup, this recommendation is purely off the minutes he will play. He scored 0.77 DK points per minute last game, and with a projection of 35 minutes, Johnson should produce 20+ DK points, making him one of the better punt options of the slate.

SG/SF: Evan Turner: (4,200) Tonight The Blazers are at home taking on one of everyone’s favorite defenses to pick on in NBA DFS, The Nets. They currently have a high implied team total of 114.75 points, and if Turner can see 30+ minutes off the bench, which is something he has done in three of his last four games, he has an excellent chance to produce close to six times value. Not only does this Nets squad rank in the bottom ten in defensive efficiency and struggle vs SFs (6.22 opponent +/-), but they play at the fastest pace in The NBA, which is huge for Turner’s type of game.

Playing this Nets team is a 4.5 possession increase for The Blazers, and over the last two seasons when Turner has seen a possession increase of at least 3.0, he is scoring 24.3 DK points, which is 3.84 +/- of his projected score. (via Fantasy Labs) You are going to want some exposure to this Blazers team, and outside of the obvious stud in Damian Lillard, I think Turner is fine target at his cheap salary.

Also Consider: Daniel Theis (Only if Horford is out. 23.25 DK points in 22 minutes last game, would see similar playing time if Horford sits another out, and would mostly avoid Hornets starting Center Dwight Howard because he comes off the bench), Marcus Smart (if Horford or Tatum are out, would most likely start if Tatum is out), Marcus Morris (should start again, would also see a boost if Tatum or Horford are out), Terry Rozier (Like him a lot for GPPs if Tatum is out. Tatum last game left early and Rozier put up 27 DK points in 28 minutes off the bench. If Tatum sat, it would most likely push Smart to the starting five, giving Rozier the keys to being the main scorer in the second unit), Alex Len (absolutely sucked last game, but is worth a GPP play with Chandler out again), Marquese Chriss, Terrence Ross (only $3,500 and is playing 25+ minutes on the team with the highest total of the night), DeMarre Caroll (bump up if Hollis-Jefferson is out again), Donovan Mitchell (couldn’t buy a bucket last game, 3/21 from the field, but the high usage should continue, and nobody is going to want to play him after the let down on Tuesday), Jerami Grant/Patrick Patterson (if Adams is out), Kriss Dunn, and Avery Bradley.

 

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.