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DraftKings NBA Picks – November 13th

How’s it going everyone. Alex here, and these are my DraftKings NBA Picks for November 13th. Tonight is a very small slate, with only three games. As always, if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. @Hunta512.

Top Pick:

PG/SG: James Harden: (10,500)

After some down games, by his standards, Harden finally looked like himself since returning from the hamstring injury, scoring 40 points, to go along with nine assists, seven rebounds, a steal, and a block in the win over The Pacers on Sunday night. (65.75 DK points) This was the second straight game that Carmelo Anthony has been away from the team and in these two, Harden is posting a 41.4% usage rate.

He is in a tougher spot tonight, vs The Nuggets (5th in defensive efficiency and -1.75 opponent +/-), but with Anthony not expected to return to The Rockets, Harden is simply too cheap. In all the minutes he has played without Anthony, The Beard is scoring 1.4 DK PPM. This Rockets Nuggets matchup should stay tight from start to finish (DEN -4), and 35-40 minutes, Harden has a great chance of eclipsing five times value, even if the matchup isn’t perfect. Kevin Durant is the top overall play, but Harden is the better value, with The Warriors favored by 12.5 points.

Value Picks:

PG: Monte Morris: (3,700)

The second round pick out of Iowa State has been solid off the bench for The Nuggets as of late. (22.13 DK PPG in last four) His minutes have been trending up and he is now logging 25.3 MPG in these past three. He provides playmaking for their second unit and in Sunday’s loss to The Bucks, he dished out a career high 10 assists. The Rockets have some strong individual defenders, but overall, they are weak unit this season. (20th in efficiency)

There is no reason why Morris’ new role wouldn’t continue tonight, with Will Barton (groin) still out, and he has a decent chance of scoring 20+ DK points for the third straight game. In this small of slate, the value Morris and Miles Bridges (below) provide, make them feel like necessitates, if you want to get in a few high end players.

PF/C: Larry Nance Jr.: (5,200)

Nance was inserted into the starting lineup on Saturday, with Sam Dekker (ankle) still out. In 30.5 minutes vs The Bulls, he put up 30.5 DK points. He did most of this through intangibles, with him only scoring two real points. He went 1/8 from the field and you have to expect a better shooting night this evening, for a player who does most of his work in the paint.

The Cavs only lost this road game by one point, so Nance should continue to start tonight vs The Hornets. He has always been an effective fantasy player (1.06 DK PPM) and if he stays out of serious foul trouble, we can expect right around 30 minutes and at least 25 DK points from Nance.

C: Clint Capela: (6,400)

For the fourth game in a row, Capela remains underpriced for the way he is playing this year. At this current salary, he needs 32 DK points to reach value, which is something he has done in 10/12 games this season. (36.4 DK PPG)

He also has seen a small usage bump (1.7%) when Anthony has been off the floor. More importantly, this matchup vs The Nuggets is strong (4.95 opponent +/-) and in the last six games Capela has gone against an opponent +/- of 4.0 or more, he is averaging 40 DK PPG. His Vegas props have him projected for a double double and Capela is easily the best option at center for this small slate.

Also Consider:

SF/PF: Kevin Durant: (11,200)

Durant notched his first triple double of the season on Monday (71.25 DK points vs The Clippers) and The Warriors will be without Steph Curry (ankle) for a third straight game tonight. Like I said above, the blowout concerns are very real, but with only three games to utilize, KD’s ceiling is still something that can’t be overlooked. (57.8 DK points per 36 minutes without Curry)

C: Nikola Jokic: (9,400)

Jokic has been tough to predict on a game to game basis, but this matchup vs The Rockets is great (6.45 opponent +/-) and he is at home, where we all know he is a much better player. (12.2 more DK PPG in Denver this season)

PF/C: Draymond Green: (8,200)

There is definitely room for improvement tonight for Green vs The Hawks. They are the 6th worst rated defense, fastest team in the league, and have allowed the most RPG this season. Plus, Green is scoring 1.08 DK PPM when Curry is off the court. The large spread may keep most away, but there is a chance Green could get value, even in limited minutes.

SF: Taurean Prince: (6,100)

Prince finally got back to playing heavy minutes last game. In 34.5 minutes, he scored 37.25 DK points in the loss to The Lakers on Sunday night. If he can crack 30 minutes, Prince could return value at a reasonable cost.

PG: Quinn Cook: (5,500)

Cook looks like a great bounce back candidate on Tuesday. Last night, he still started, but didn’t play heavy minutes. (12.75 DK points in 22 minutes vs The Clippers) He will start again for Curry and if he can see close to 30 minutes, like he did in the first one Curry missed (41.75 DK points in 30 minutes vs The Nets on Saturday), Cook has nice upside vs this awful and fast Hawks’ team. (8.73 opponent +/-)

C: Alex Len: (4,400)

Len should start again with Dwayne Dedmon (personal) still away from the team. On Sunday, Len produced a 17/11 double double in 26.5 minutes vs The Lakers. The matchup is much weaker tonight vs The Warriors (-0.46 opponent +/-), but Len is still cheap and is the kind of risk we may be forced to take in this type of slate.

SF: Miles Bridges: (3,700)

Bridges should see a slight boost in minutes and usage with Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (ankle) out. After MKG only played five minutes in their last game, Bridges tallied 22.5 DK points in 24 minutes vs The Pistons. This was the second game in a row the rookie has scored 20+ DK points and he should continue this trend tonight vs The Cavs, who are the league’s worst rated defense.

C: Willy Hernangomez: (3,500)

Before Sunday, Hernangomez had scored over 20 DK points in three consecutive games. He may be one of the worst defenders in the league, but he still produces a great 1.3 DK PPM. In 15-20 minutes off the bench, Hernangomez could crush value vs this horrible Cavs’ defense.

*Please note most of these stats and rankings are from FantasyLabs.com

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