What’s going on everyone. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA picks for November 15th, 2017. Wednesday night’s slate is a huge slate with 11 games to attack . Be sure to follow all of the injury news tonight, all the way up until the 7:30PM EST lock, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. @Hunta512.
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C: Joel Embiid: (8,600) Monday night, The Process was set free, as Embiid logged a career high 36 minutes in the win over The Clippers. It was no surprise that he absolutely dominated with the high playing time, scoring 32 points, to go along with a career high 16 rebounds, two assists, and a block. (57 DK points) If you disregard the blowout loss to The Warriors on Saturday night that limited his minutes, Embiid is averaging 34.1 minutes in his last two close games. Both of these games were island games, which is the exact type of situation he will be in tonight (-3 PHI), with no game last night and no game tomorrow for The Sixers. So far this season, Embiid has been leading this offense with a high 34.5% usage rate and is scoring an elite 1.46 DK points per minute.
If the Sixers were worried about how much he played on Monday, there is no question he would have been rested for tonight, but with no signs of any concern from this coaching staff, Embiid should log 30+ minutes tonight vs The Lakers. This Laker’s team has improved as a unit defensively, but they still are a very weak team inside, currently presenting a solid opponent +/- of 2.3 points to starting centers. Not only that, but they play at second the fastest pace and allow the fifth most total rebounds a game. Lakers starting center Brook Lopez is no match for Embiid, and with this new higher playing time, he should top 50 DK points again tonight. It’s hard to say if The Sixers letting Embiid off the leash is a smart move in the long run, but we are talking Fantasy here, and until he is priced closer to $10,000, Embiid is a player who needs to be considered every night he is playing in a non back to back situation.
PG/SG: Donovan Mitchell: (6,100) Mitchell shot poorly in his first game as a starter, but he has regained his groove in his last two starts, averaging 40.4 DK points a game. With starting center Rudy Gobert (knee) out of the lineup in these past two games, Mitchell has seen his usage sky rocket, posting a team high 33.9% usage rate. He is averaging 18.5 attempts with this high usage, and is scoring a great 1.31 DK points per minute. In his first game without Gobert, he only played 26 minutes due to foul trouble, but we saw last game that they want him out there as much as possible, with him leading this team with 35 minutes in the loss to The Wolves.
Tonight, him and The Jazz head to MSG to take on The Knicks, who have rated as an average match-up for SGs (0.51 opponent +/-), but have allowed the second most three pointers made and the most three pointers attempted per game this season. This game has a small spread of only three points, which should keep Mitchell around 35 minutes in this match-up. He should score 30-35 DK points with great upside, and is one of the better guard values of this 11 game slate.
SF/PF: OG Anunoby: (3,000) Anunoby drew his first career start with starting SF Norman Powell out with a hip injury last night, and he put up a solid line of 16 points, two rebounds, one assist, and a block in a total of 30 minutes. (23.5 DK points) The rookie out of Indiana is a very intriguing athlete who stands at 6’8” with a 7’2” wingspan. He can get it done on both ends of the floor and The Raptors are going to need him again tonight, with Powell on the doubtful side, after being spotted with crutches on Monday.
He is averaging 0.77 DK points per minute and if he sees roughly 30 minutes again, he should easily smash value at his bare minimum salary vs a Pelican defense that has allowed the 8th most DK points to opposing SFs. (2.02 opponent +/-) I am expecting over 20 DK points out of the rookie, with 30 DK point upside, depending on how many steals and blocks he can manage. He definitely will be a popular option, but the value he presents is just too good to ignore tonight.
PG: Kris Dunn: (4,900) In this big of a slate, I think Dunn is a player that will probably get way overlooked this evening. With starting SG Justin Holiday sitting tonight out (personal), Dunn will draw the start at the two guard spot vs The Thunder. He has only played in seven games this season, but he has flashed upside when he plays higher minutes, with him averaging 30 DK points in 29 minutes over his last three games. As a starter, and with this Bulls rotation getting tighter, Dunn should see 30-35 minutes on Wednesday night.
The match-up vs The Thunder is decent (0.92 opponent +/-), and I think we see him approach 30 DK points, as he is averaging 33 DK points per 36 minutes of action with Holiday off the court this season. He is averaging 2.1 steals a game this season and with the bump in minutes, he should rack up a few extra steals tonight, giving him a really nice ceiling for his cheaper price. I don’t think he is a necessary play in cash games, but in GPPs he is an excellent target, with his low expected ownership of 5-8%. (via Fantasy Labs)
Also Consider: Derick Favors (He was slightly disappointing Monday with only 25 DK points, but I think it is smart to go right back to him again, even at a higher cost. He only played 27 minutes last game, but they will need him to play more than that tonight, going against The Knicks who start two natural big men, in Porzinigs and Kanter), C.J. Miles (also benfited with Powell out last night, as he scored 32.25 DK points off the bench. Anunoby is the safer play and better value, but if you want to be different in GPPs, pivoting to Miles seems like a logical move), Jerami Grant (27.5 DK points in 34 minutes with Thunder starting center Steve Adams out Sunday. (ankle) He got the start at PF in this game and with Adams remaining doubtful, Grant should approach 35 minutes once again. Oh, and probably this means close to nothing, but he will be going against his brother Jerian who plays for The Bulls), Dario Saric, J.J. Redick, Mario Chalmers (nice value if Conley is out), Jordan Clarkson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Malik Monk, and Taj Gibson (if Dieng remains out).