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DraftKings NBA Picks – November 16th

Happy Friday everyone. Alex here, and these are my DraftKings NBA Picks for November 16th. Tonight, is a bigger slate, with eight games to target. As always, if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Also, I recommend following me, because if anything changes with these plays below or if any injury news effects the slate, I try to address the situations I find important before tip off. @Hunta512.

Top Pick:

C: Karl-Anthony Towns: (9,600)

In 34.4 minutes of work, KAT scored 53.5 DK points in the win over The Pelicans on Wednesday. His usage didn’t budge (28.9%) with Robert Covington and Dario Saric joining the team, and his minutes would have been closer to 40, if he didn’t pick up his 5th foul early in the 4th quarter. Tonight, he remains at home, where he is scoring an insane 9.4 more DK PPG, facing off against The Blazers. (1.68 opponent +/-)

They may be the 8th highest rated defense in The NBA, but this is by far the best game of the night to target, due it’s tight spread and high total. (POR -1 and 223 point O/U game total) This is tied for the third highest total of the slate, but the top two totals, both come with double digit spreads. Barring foul trouble, which is far less likely tonight, with Anthony Davis not on the other side, Towns should play 35-40 minutes and eclipse 50 DK points. As usual, if KAT is at home and reasonably priced, he is someone I will be using with confidence in all formats.

Value Picks:

SF: Kevin Knox: (4,300)

Knox drew the start on Wednesday and he will start again tonight vs The Pelicans. As a starter, he scored 24.25 DK points and logged 29 minutes, regardless of The Knicks losing by 25 points to The Thunder. The rookie is now averaging 21.6 DK PPG and 26.3 MPG across his last three (0.82 DK PPM) and has posted a 27.9% usage rate in these past two, which is a decent 2.8% increase from his season average. The Knicks clearly have no intentions of winning this season and their rotations can be very annoying, but you have to think with HC David Fizdale making an effort to start Knox, that they are going to try to let the rookie play at least 25 minutes a night to help his development.

This matchup vs The Pelicans is strong for starting SFs (2.72 opponent +/-) and there is potential for garbage time once again. (NO -10.5) I have Knox projected for 27 minutes, which should be enough for him to reach five times value, with upside for more. With no really clear cut punt plays tonight, I think Knox and his raw talent are worth considering at $4,300.

PG: Jeff Teague: (5,900)

Teague has seen a resurgence since returning from the knee injury and with Jimmy Butler being traded. (44.6 DK PPG in last two) Yes, Derick Rose (knee) sat the last game and is expected to be back tonight, but in the game prior to that, this back court was at full strength sans Butler, and Teague still dropped 47.25 DK points on The Nets.

The newcomers (Covington and Saric) bring depth, but I think HC Tom Thidobeau believes in Teague and he should still log roughly 35 minutes on a nightly basis. Damian Lillard has always been a weak defender (1.79 opponent +/-) and Teague should exceed five times value, with 40-45 DK point upside.

C: Jarrett Allen: (5,100)

Allen is questionable after missing the last two games with an illness, but unless he is hospitalized or something to that degree, you have to believe he will be ready to go tonight. He wasn’t needed for much in their loss to The Warriors last Sunday (19.75 DK points in 23 minutes), but before this, Allen was playing excellent, scoring 37.2 DK PPG in his prior three games. If deemed active, they will need him 25-30 minutes from him, to matchup with Dwight Howard.

Even with the former DPOY in town, The Wizards are still very weak defensively. (27th in efficiency) Not only that, but they also rank 9th in pace and are allowing the 4th most RPG. (1.46 opponent +/-) This is an ideal time for Allen to return and notch his 4th double double of the season.

Also Consider:

PF/C: Anthony Davis: (11,400)

The blowout concerns are very real vs The Knicks, but AD is averaging 63.2 DK PPG in his last four, is at home (8.9 more DK PPG), and The Knicks are the 5th worst rated defense in The NBA. I don’t see a reason to force him in your cash game lineup, but I am perfectly fine with attacking his ceiling in GPPs.

PG: John Wall: (9,500)

The Wizards proved me wrong on Wednesday, killing The Cavs by 24, which limited Wall and all of the starters. (21) Before this, Wall was on a roll, averaging 50.6 DK PPG in his last five. With The Wizards only favored by 6.5 points vs The Nets, Wall should get back to playing heavy minutes, vs a weak defense. (24th in efficiency and a 3.25 opponent +/-) Expect Wall to bounce back with 45-50 DK points.

PG/SG: Victor Oladipo: (9,300)

Oladipo has been on a serious tear recently. His usage has gone over 30% in five straight games and he has topped 50 DK points in five of his last six. Tonight, Dipo faces The Heat (2.36 opponent +/-), who he scored 52.75 DK points on, just a week ago.

PG: Kyrie Irving: (7,700)

Irving has put the team on his back in these last five games. (1.42 DK PPM a team high 29% usage rate) His minutes should be in upper 30s in this matchup vs The Eastern Conference’s best Raptors. (BOS -2) This is a big game for The Celtics and I could see Kyrie stepping up on home his home floor. 45-50 DK points is certainly possible, even if the matchup isn’t perfect. (1.3 opponent +/-)

C: Marc Gasol: (7,400)

Gasol’s minutes and numbers have been up recently (43.6 DK PPG and 37.3 MPG), helping The Grizzlies to win three of their last four. On Friday night, he plays against The Kings, who struggle inside. (3.22 opponent +/- and have allowed the second most RPG)

C: Jusuf Nurkic: (7,100)

Nurkic has scored 39.6 DK PPG in his last eight games. He just had his best showing of the season (54.5 DK points vs The Lakers) and this spot vs The Wolves is above average. (28th in efficiency and a 2.61 opponent +/-)

PG: De’Aaron Fox: (6,800)

Fox is averaging 40.3 DK PPG in his last three and The Grizzlies aren’t a terrible matchup right now. (1.1 opponent +/-)

SG/SF: Gordon Hayward: (5,400)

Hayward scored 28 DK points in the win over The Bulls on Wednesday and he doesn’t carry a minutes limit anymore. The Celtics are deep on the wings, so we can’t expect huge playing time, but Hayward should go over 30, which could lead to 30+ DK points. (1.15 DK PPM)

PF/C: Derick Favors: (4,500)

The Mavs blew out The Jazz on Wednesday (18.5 DK points in 21.5 minutes), but prior to this, Favors was playing very well. (30.6 DK PPG in last four) He now gets a tasty matchup vs The Sixers, who should be even weaker at defending PFs, with Saric and Covington out of town. (3.85 opponent +/-)

PG: Shelvin Mack: (4,200)

Mack is fresh off a 33.5 DK point game in a huge win over The Bucks and he is now producing 26.7 DK PPG across his last eight. He is seeing 27.8 MPG off the bench and just remains too cheap at only $4,200. He needs 21 DK points to meet value, which is something he has done in seven of his last eight.

PG: Ryan Arcidiacono: (4,100)

As The Bulls’ starting PG, Arcidiacono is averaging 24.1 DK PPG and 32.1 MPG. His minute stay around 30 no matter if the game is close or not and has a solid chance of returning five times value again, even vs a tough Bucks’ defense. (5th in efficiency)

*Please note most of these stats and rankings are from FantasyLabs.com

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