Welcome back people. Alex here, and these are my DraftKings NBA Picks for November 19th. Tonight, is a full slate, with nine games on tap. As always, if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Also, I recommend following me, because if anything changes with these plays below or if any injury news effects the slate, I try to address the situations I find important before tip off. @Hunta512.
PF/C: Anthony Davis: (11,600)
The price went up, but Davis is still far too cheap for how good he has been. Over his last six games, he is scoring a ridiculous 65.7 DK PPG. (30.1% usage rate) Plus, as I always like to point out, Davis will be at home, which has been a huge boost for him as a fantasy player. This season, he is scoring 64.6 DK PPG across seven home games vs 53.5 DK PPG in six road contests.
The season is still young, but these are the largest home/away splits Davis has ever had in his career and they are some of the highest in The NBA. His matchup is also solid, facing The Spurs, who are currently 17th in defensive efficiency. We should see another 60+ DK point showing and AD is the stud you want to build around for this nine game slate.
PG: Monte Morris: (4,100)
Morris moved back to the bench on Saturday, but ended up seeing his highest minute total of the season. (23.75 DK points in 34 minutes vs The Pelicans) The former second round pick is now averaging 24.9 DK PPG and 28.3 MPG in his last six. He is much more of a playmaker than starting PG Jamal Murray and its evident that this coaching staff wants Morris to play a big role going forward.
He scores 0.9 DK PPM this season and with 25-30 minutes a night, Morris will keep crushing value at cheap salaries this, on a regular basis. Tonight’s matchup isn’t perfect vs The Bucks (5th in defensive efficiency), but they are at their weakest vs PGs. (1.26 opponent +/-) Morris should top 20 DK points, with 30-35 point upside, if he ends up seeing the bulk of PG minutes over Murray again.
PG: De’Aaron Fox: (6,100)
Fox and The Kings got blown out by The Rockets on Saturday night (112-132), limiting Fox to only 25.3 minutes (26.25 DK points), but this is no reason for him to be priced this cheap. This is a significant $800 salary cut since that game and this is the cheapest Fox has been since opening night. He still produced 1.0 DK PPM in Saturday’s loss and prior to this, Fox was balling, averaging 41.8 DK PPG in his previous four.
His matchup vs The Thunder on Monday could obviously be better (0.65 opponent +/- and 3rd in efficiency), but this game only has a small spread of 2.5 points, and The Kings are at home, where Fox is averaging 38.2 DK PPG this season. At his current salary, 38.2 DK points would be a 6.3 value return. DrafKings simply made a mistake with Fox’s price and he needs to be in all of your lineups.
SG/SF: Tyreke Evans: (4,100)
If Evans starts for the injured Victor Oladipo (knee), he is a must play at only $4,100. This season, with Oladipo off the floor, Evans leads the team with a 30% usage rate and a 22.6% assist percentage, resulting in 1.13 DK PPM. He has yet to play over 25 minutes in a Pacers’ uniform, but you would have to expect roughly 30 minutes for Evans if he is in fact the starter. Even in only 25 minutes of work, Evans would still exceed value with these type of rates.
The Jazz are slowly getting better on defense (0.73 opponent +/-), but this is nothing that is going to keep me away from Evans at this low of a cost, particularly with this game being at home. (3.3 more DK PPG at home this season) It’s unheard of to see a player with this kind cost this little and I am expecting over 25 points from Evans, with a ceiling close to 40. (44 DK points in only 25 minutes vs The Heat this past Friday)
SF/PF: Paul George: (10,400)
Russell Westbrook is apparently healthy, but won’t play again tonight, due to personal reasons. This keeps PG13 in a massive role. In these past five games without Westbrook, George is averaging 55.9 DK PPG, on a team high 31.3% usage rate. He’s been really effective on the glass (three double doubles in these last five) and George should have no trouble producing over 50 DK points vs this 21st ranked Kings’ defense.
PG/SG: Jrue Holiday: (8,700)
Scoring 45.9 DK PPG in these past two and Elfird Payton (finger) is still out. Holidays price tag is very close to being correct, but he is a rather safe bet for 40+ DK points vs this Spurs’ backcourt. (2.1 opponent +/-)
PF/C: LaMarcus Aldridge: (8,000)
Aldridge popped off for 55.5 DK points last night in the big win over The Warriors and this matchup vs The Pelicans is strong for bigs. (2.96 opponent +/-) Aldridge rates as a great value at this price, but it’s important to remember how unpredictable he can be.
C: Steven Adams: (7,500)
Adams is on a nice run right now, averaging 40.3 DK PPG in his last five. They will need his size again tonight, in an awesome spot vs The Kings. (3.61 opponent +/-)
SF/PF: Nikola Mirotic: (7,100)
Mirotic showed no signs of being bothered by his ankle on Saturday night, scoring 44 DK points in 33.5 minutes vs The Nuggets. He is averaging right over 40 DK PPG this season and he should keep up with this average, tonight vs The Spurs. (1.55 opponent +/-)
C: Deandre Ayton: (6,400)
Ayton has been efficient in his first season as a pro (36.1 DK PPG) and tonight’s matchup vs The Sixers is great by the numbers (3.89 opponent +/-), but don’t forget the foul trouble concerns that come with defending Joel Embiid.
PF/C: Montrezl Harrell: (6,600)
Harrell has been taking full advantage of the extra playing time as of late (37.1 DK PPG in last five) and tonight he takes on The Hawks, who are 22nd in defensive efficiency, 1st in pace, and 1st in most RPG allowed. (2.03 opponent +/-) The Clippers have won four straight and Harrell should post a double double in this dream matchup.
SF/PF: T.J. Warren: (6,400)
Warren is back to playing a huge role for The Suns. In his last five he is averaging 39.75 DK PPG and playing 39.2 MPG. This matchup is also positive vs The Sixers. (2.6 opponent +/-)
PG/SG: Jeremy Lin: (4,200)
Lin’s production has been trending up over his last three games. (27.7 DK PPG) He has seen a 25.3% usage rate with the second unit and is a fine cheap way to get a share of this Hawks Clippers game, that has the highest total of the night. (203.5 points)
PG: Cory Joseph: (3,900)
Joseph will also see an uptick in minutes and usage with Oladipo out. He scored 21.75 DK points in 30 minutes last game with Oladipo only playing five minutes and he should log right around 30 again tonight vs The Jazz. Evans has a much higher ceiling, but Joseph is also a nice value that should achieve five times value
SF: Dorian Finney-Smith: (3,600)
With Wesley Matthews (hamstring) out last night, Finney-Smith drew the start and recorded 28.25 DK points in a team high 40.2 minutes vs The Warriors. For tonight, Matthews is doubftul, while also J.J. Barea (abs) and Dwight Powell (knee) are both questionable. Finney-Smith will start and is a really solid punt that should easily get five times value.
*Please note most of these stats and rankings are from FantasyLabs.com