gravatar

DraftKings NBA Picks – November 20th

What’s up everyone. Alex here, and these are my DraftKings NBA Picks for November 20th. Tuesday is a smaller slate, with only four games. As always, if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Also, I recommend following me, because if anything changes with these plays below or if any injury news effects the slate, I try to address the situations I find important before tip off. @Hunta512.

Top Pick:

C: Nikola Vucevic: (8,300)

The Magic have won five of their last six games, with Vucevic putting the team on his back. Across these last six, the big man is scoring 50.1 DK PPG, behind a team high 29.7% usage rate and 21.4% rebound percentage. He is playing 32 MPG and has been producing an elite 1.5 DK PPM.

Even in an average matchup vs The Raptors (6th in defensive efficiency and 1.87 opponent +/-), Vuc should still exceed value at his current salary of $8,300, which is actually a $400 price cut since his 59 DK point explosion vs The Knicks on Sunday. At this cost, he only needs 41 DK points to reach five times value, which is something he has easily done over the last two weeks. He will be chalky, but I really don’t see how you can ignore Vucevic right now.

Value Picks:

PF/C: Montrezl Harrell: (6,600)

To no surprise, Harrell dominated The Hawks on Monday night, for 25 points, 11 rebounds, five steals, two blocks, and assist, in 32 minutes of work. (55.25 DK points) The Clippers have won seven of their last eight, with Harrell playing this bigger role off the bench. During this time, he is averaging 37.9 DK PPG. Last night’s matchup vs The Hawks was as good as it gets, but tonight is also a great spot for Harrell, going against The Wizards, who rank 27th in defensive efficiency, 8th in pace, and 3rd in most RPG allowed. (1.97 opponent +/-)

Furthermore, there is a good chance they are without Dwight Howard (sore lower body, questionable), which would make this matchup even stronger than the rankings suggest. This contest is expected to be the highest scoring game of the night (232 points), by a wide margin (11.5 points), while also staying very competitive. (LAC -1) In right around 30 minutes off the bench, Harrell should feast once again and score 35-40 DK points.

PG/SG: Trey Burke: (4,200)

In these last two games for The Knicks, Burke has been scoring 35.7 DK PPG off the bench. He has been gunning up 16.5 shots and is posting a team high 31.75% usage rate in these two. Burke is an absolute mess on defense, but his scoring is something that The Knicks have lacked from the PG position all season long.

Tonight, he should play 25-30 minutes and score at least 20 DK points vs The Blazers. (1.41 opponent +/-) Who knows how long this experiment will last, but at only $4,200, you have to keep riding Burke in this small of a slate.

SG/SF: Josh Richardson: (7,100)

J Rich was on his way to a huge night on Sunday (33 DK points in 24.5 minutes vs The Lakers), before getting ejected in the 4th quarter. If he can keep his composure tonight, Richardson should flourish, with both, Goran Dragic (knee) and Tyler Johnson (hamstring) out of the lineup. Johnson was the player that did most of the ball handling sans Dragic and with now with him also gone, Richardson should operate as The Heats’ primary playmaker tonight vs The Nets.

When both of these players have been off the court this season, Richardson has seen his assist rate increase 4.9%. Dwayne Wade will be back with the club, after missing seven games, but I don’t think this will effect Richardson’s role that much. Lastly, this Nets’ defense has been a group to attack this season, ranking as the 8th worst unit in the league. The price is fair, but the ceiling Richardson has in this situation is close to 50 DK points.

Also Consider:

SG/SF: Kawhi Leonard: (9,500)

Leonard was rested for The Raptors last game, but he will play tonight vs The Magic. Prior to sitting out, Leonard had one of his best showings in a Toronto uniform, scoring 62.25 DK points in Friday night’s overtime loss to The Celtics. He is averaging 44.9 DK PPG and he could see a big boost if Kyle Lowry (ankle) was forced to miss this tilt. In all the minutes Leonard has logged without Lowry, he has seen a team high DK point increase of 6.0 points and is scoring 50.3 DK points per 36 minutes of action.

PG: John Wall: (9,000)

The Wizards are a disaster right now and if this was a normal sized slate, I would probably shy away, but with the lack of appealing options up top, Wall is in play at $9,000. He is scoring 42.9 DK PPG this season, which is right under what he needs at his current price, and who knows, but Wall could come out and get back to his normal ways tonight, after the apparent scene he made in practice on Monday. The Clippers are strong vs PGs (-0.86 opponent +/-), but Wall always has the chance of going off when he is on his home floor and rookie Trae Young just scored 53.25 DK points on them last night.

C: Hassan Whiteside: (8,000)

This matchup vs The Nets is great for centers (2.73 opponent +/-) and Whiteside is scoring 1.5 DK PPM without Dragic and Johnson. His floor is always shaky, but if Whiteside can find his way into close to 30 minutes, he should get a double double and over 40 DK points.

SF/PF: Tobias Harris: (7,600)

Harris is averaging 38.1 DK PPG this season and this up tempo matchup vs The Wizards is perfect for his skill set. (2.63 opponent +/-) He is a nice target either way, but if Danilo Gallinari couldn’t play (illness, questionable), Harris would take on a bigger role tonight. Last night, without Gallinari, Harris scored 42 DK points vs The Hawks.

PG/SG: D’Angelo Russell: (7,200)

This past Saturday, D Loading shined for 51.25 DK points vs The Clippers. He is now averaging 44.75 DK points in his last two and if he ends up playing over 30 minutes, which he has in back to back games, Russell has excellent upside vs this Heat defense, that struggles badly vs PGs. (4.46 opponent +/-)

PG/SG: Lou Williams: (6,200)

Last night, with Gallo sitting, Williams supplied 41.25 DK points in 30.2 minutes off the bench vs The Hawks. If Gallinari can’t go, Williams would become one of the best mid-tier plays of the slate, vs this terrible Wizards’ defense.

PF/C: Serge Ibaka: (6,000) 

Ibaka is just too cheap. He is averaging 32.9 DK PPG this season and has scored 35.5 DK PPG in his last three, but is only $6,000, going against a Magic club that struggles with PFs. (3.5 opponent +/-) Plus, he would see a small boost in his rates if Lowry was out. (1.5% usage increase and 1.1% assist bump without Lowry this season)

C: Jarrett Allen: (5,700)

The price is rising, but Allen has been tremendous, with two straight double doubles since returning from an illness. (41.1 DK PPG) Tonight, they will need Allen and his size to match up with Hassan Whiteside, who has been really weak at defending opposing centers this season. (2.47 opponent +/- and 8th most RPG allowed)

PG/SG: Spencer Dinwiddie: (5,500) 

Without Caris Levert (foot), Dinwiddie has picked up some slack. (34.6 DK PPG in his last three) Tonight, he will see close to 30 minutes vs a very weak defensive Miami backcourt. (3.12 opponent +/-)

PG/SG: Fred VanVleet: (4,900)

VanVleet started for Leonard on Saturday and scored 34.5 DK points across 29 minutes vs The Bulls. If Lowry was to sit, VanVleet would likely be the starting PG vs The Magic. He scores 0.9 DK PPM this season and with 30-35 minutes, he should be able to obtain 25+ DK points.

SF/PF: Jeff Green: (4,200)

Green was the player that started the second half after Howard exited in their last game. In 25 minutes, he produced 26.75 DK points vs a strong Blazers’ defense. Assuming Howard is out, Green should start at the four vs The Clippers. He has averaged 0.85 DK PPM this season and when he plays a decent amount, Green always has a chance of being an awesome value. (26.5 DK PPG in the last five he has played 25 minutes or more)

PF/C: Noah Vonelh: (3,900)

Just like with The Knicks relying on Burke off the bench, Vonelh also logged a high 34.2 minutes as a reserve in their last game. (21.25 DK points vs The Magic) There is plenty of uncertainty if this will happen again, but if he can play 25+, Vonelh has a decent shot to return value. He is averaging 0.95 DK PPM this season and has scored 25.1 DK PPG in the last five he has topped 25 minutes.

*Please note most of these stats and rankings are from FantasyLabs.com

PLAY THIS LINEUP

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.