What’s up guys. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA picks for November 22nd, 2017. Wednesday night’s slate is a huge slate with 14 games to target. Be sure to follow all of the injury news tonight, all the way up until the 7:00 PM EST lock, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter.@Hunta512.
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PF/C: Anthony Davis: (9,600) Even after his 61.25 DK point outburst on Monday, DraftKings has kept AD under $10,000 for the second straight game. He had some injury concerns going into that game, but he clearly showed he is just fine, as he logged a game high 45 minutes in the win over The Thunder. He isn’t going to see 45 minutes again, but he should play right around his 36.3 season average tonight. He will be facing off against The Spurs, who are a strong overall defense, but they have been a positive matchup for starting PFs so far this season. (1.05 opponent +/-)
At his current salary of $9,600, he needs to score 48 DK points to meet value, which is certainly a possibility, as he is averaging 55.4 DK points a game at home this season, which is a notable 8.4 DK point difference from when he is on the road. Going all in on Davis is always a tough pill to swallow because of his injury history, but at this price, he is a player I will be attacking in all formats on Wednesday night.
PF/C: Thon Maker: (3,300) Tonight, The Bucks are going to be extremely thin up front, with Greg Monroe gone and traded to Phoenix, PF Mirza Teletovic out with a knee injury, and now starting center John Henson out due to an eye injury. By Default, Maker will start with rookie D.J. Wilson backing him up. Maker isn’t a flashy player in anyway, but in this rare situation he should have to log close to 30 minutes, making him a viable option based on playing time alone. This season he is averaging 0.68 DK points per minute and with a projection of 30 minutes, Maker should be able to put up 20+ DK points vs this fast paced Suns team. (6.2 possession increase)
The return of Suns’ starting center Tyson Chandler makes this matchup tougher, but it also adds another true center to this Suns rotation, and there is no doubt The Bucks will need Maker out there a good amount, as he is the tallest player they have active tonight. There is some logic to fading him in GPPs just be to contrarian, but in cash games, he is a punt play that needs to be utilized.
PF/C: John Collins: (4,600) Collins is always a risk due to foul trouble, but tonight he is a value play that can’t be ignored with this Hawks front court so beat up. Backup center Mike Muscala will miss his ninth straight game with an ankle injury and they will also be without starting PF Luke Babbit. (back) After Babbit exited The Hawks’ last game, Collins drew the start at PF in the second half, and dropped 35.25 DK points in a season high 36 minutes. 19th overall pick out of Wake Forest is a tremendous athlete who has huge upside, if he can stay out of serious foul trouble. I suspect he will draw the start after his performance Monday night, but even if he still comes off the bench, he should play at least 25 minutes, which is more than enough time for him to out produce his current price tag.
This season he is scoring 1.06 DK points per minute and with 25-30 minutes of playing time, Collins should easily top five times value vs this Clippers defense that has really struggled as of late. Not only have they been poor at defending PFs (5.19 opponent +/-), but over their last three games they have allowed an average of 58 total rebounds a game, which is the second highest mark in the league during this stretch. Collins has an excellent chance of tallying a double-double in this spot and is a worthwhile risk at only $4,600.
SG/SF: Allen Crabbe: (4.600) With PG D’Angelo Russell out (knee), The Nets have been playing a tighter rotation, and as a starter, Crabbe has now logged at least 30 minutes in five straight contests. During this time he is averaging 27.1 DK points a game on a 18.6% usage rate, which is basically a point increase from his average for this year. Tonight, Russell will be out again keeping Crabbe as the starter SG vs the worst rated defense in the league, The Cavs. Crabbe’s matchup is absolutely gorgeous, currently sitting at an opponent +/- 9.08 points.
Plus, we all know Crabbe loves to chuck up his threes, and this is the perfect spot for him to get hot from down town, as this Cavs team allows the third most three pointers made and third most three pointers attempted per game this season. In 30+ minutes, Crabbe should produce 25-30 DK points and is my favorite SF value of this massive 14 game slate.
Also Consider: Kriss Dunn (37 DK points over his last three games and from the public eye this might be a tough spot vs The Jazz, but that is not the case with Rudy Gobert out.), Spencer Dinwiddie (another Net that needs to be considered vs this Cavs defense. His multiple position eligibility makes him a very flexible option), Eric Bledsoe (I don’t really care if you buy into narratives or not, Bledsoe is a player that has to be considered in his first game against his former team. On top of the revenge factor, the matchup is awesome against this fast Suns team, and Giannis has been ruled out, which should push Bledsoe’s usage way up), Malcolm Brogodon/Khris Middleton (both should also see big bumps in usage with The Greek Freak out. Brogdon most likely will start alongside Bledsoe), Rajon Rondo (as I predicted Monday, Rondo played higher minutes than expected at 31 in the win, with no game tomorrow, He should see right around 30 minutes again tonight), Willie Cauley-Stein (let us down Monday, but this is a nice bounce back spot vs The Lakers, who are currently sitting at an opponent +/- of 6.53 points), Mario Chalmers, Denzel Valentine, Gary Harris, Wilson Chandler, and Dennis Schroder.