Happy Black Friday everyone. Alex here, and these are my DraftKings NBA Picks for November 23rd. Tonight, we get another huge slate, with 12 games on tap. As always, if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Also, I recommend following me, because if anything changes with these plays below or if any injury news effects the slate, I try to address the situations I find important before tip off. @Hunta512.
PF/C: Anthony Davis: (11,600)
On Wednesday night vs The Sixers, Davis scored a season low 12 real points, but still generated 59.5 DK points overall. He is now averaging 63.2 DK PPG in his last eight. Tonight, as usual, The Pelicans are playing in the highest O/U game total of the night (235.5 points), facing The Knicks at MSG. Davis isn’t going to be slowed down offensively in this matchup (2.9 opponent +/-) and I think we can expect 60+ DK points from him in this spot.
I always would rather roster him at home, but MSG is an arena Davis has dominated at in the past. In his last three matchups vs The Knicks in New York, AD is averaging a monstrous 73 DK PPG. The last time he was there, back in January, AD exploded for 83.75 DK points and just a week ago, he scored 76.75 DK points vs this same exact Knicks squad in New Orleans. Even at the highest price on the board, Davis is worth every penny on Friday night.
PG/SG: Trey Burke: (4,400)
Burke was brilliant on Wednesday, scoring 29 points, to go along with 11 assists, six rebounds, and two steals in the win over The Celtics. (31.5 DK points) He played a season high 31.5 minutes off the bench and posted a 32.2% usage rate in this game. In his last four, Burke is now averaging 39.6 DK PPG, with a 31.3% usage rate.
This is an elite 1.42 DK PPM and tonight, he is back at home, taking on The Pelicans, who are the 7th worst rated defense and play at the 4th fastest pace this season. (3.07 opponent +/-) In 25-30 minutes off the bench, Burke should easily get value at this soft price, with 35-40 DK point upside. At only $4,400, Burke is by far one of the best ways to get exposure to this slate high total.
PF/C: Noah Vonleh: (4,300)
It pains me to recommended two Knicks tonight, but it’s hard to overlook Burke and Vonleh at their prices, in this high scoring game vs The Pelicans. On Wednesday, Vonleh got the well-deserved start at PF vs The Celtics, and notched his second double double in a row vs the third best rated defense in The NBA. (41.5 DK points) He played 30.2 minutes in the win and starter or not, he has now cracked 30 minutes in three straight games. (35.9 DK PPG)
He has also been very effective from beyond the arc, knocking down 63% of his threes during this stretch. Coming off their first win in seven games, there is no reason why Vonleh would go back to bench tonight. As a starter, he should see 30+ minutes and score at least 25 DK points, with a ceiling over 40, in this strong matchup vs The Pelicans. (2.36 opponent +/-) Vonleh and Burke will be much more popular tonight, but I think we should continue to attack, as this may be the last time we see either priced under $5,000 on DraftKings.
SF: Cedi Osman: (4,300)
Osman was great in the first full game without J.R. Smith (wants to be traded), scoring 37.25 DK points in Wednesday night’s loss to The Lakers. He logged 42 minutes in this game and this was his second start in a row. With Smith not returning to this club, Osman will start again tonight and should play 35-40 minutes vs The Sixers.
In all the time he has played without Smith this season, Osman has received a team high DK point increase, of 2.2 points. He is averaging 0.8 DK PPM this season and in all the games he has played over 30 minutes, Osman is producing 24.9 DK PPG. In this slightly above average matchup vs The Sixers (1.81 opponent +/-), Osman should return value again on Friday night.
C: Joel Embiid: (10,600)
Nobody can stop Embiid right now. (58.2 DK PPG in last six) His usage hit 40.4% in Wednesday’s win over The Pelicans and he is now posting a 38.3% usage rate in his last four games. He stays at home tonight (3.1 more DK PPG) to face off against The Cavs, who are the worst rated defensive unit in The NBA. (1.18 opponent +/-)
C: Nikola Jokic: (9,400)
Jokic has failed to score over 40 DK points in two straight, but he is now back at home, after a three game road trip. He is scoring 9.0 more DK PPG in Denver this season and he is playing against a Magic defense that is a current opponent +/- of 3.25 points. The Joker should get back on track in this game and approach 50 DK points.
PG: Kyrie Irving: (9,100)
The Celtics are really struggling as a team right now, but Irving is doing everything he possibly can. (52.7 DK PPG in his last eight) His usage has hit 32.8% in his past four starts and it could be even higher tonight, with Al Horford (knee) sitting. Most importantly, Irving has a date with The Hawks, who are arguably the best matchup a PG could ask for this season. (26th in efficiency, 1st in pace, resulting in a 3.41 opponent +/-)
PG/SG: Jrue Holiday: (8,300)
Holiday has supplied 46.7 DK PPG in his last 13 and this is a great spot vs The Knicks. (28th in defensive efficiency)
PG/SG: Zach LaVine: (7,600)
LaVine bounced back with 40.75 DK points vs The Suns on Wednesday and he will now play The Heat (1.51 opponent +/-) at home, where LaVine is averaging 41.2 DK PPG.
SG/SF: Tim Hardaway Jr.: (7,200)
Before his 30.5 DK point night vs The Celtics, THJ had put up over 45 DK points in three straight games. He should get back on track tonight, playing against this Pelicans team that he scored 47.5 DK points vs last Friday.
SG: Klay Thompson: (6,700)
This price doesn’t make much sense for Thompson, considering that Draymond Green (toe) and Steph Curry (groin) are still out. In the five games without these two starters, Thompson is averaging 35.5 DK PPG.
PF/C: Dwayne Dedmon: (4,200)
Is a better play if Alex Len (back) is out again (25.75 DK points in 31.1 minutes vs The Raptors with Len out), but is still a solid value regardless. (26.9 DK PPG in last four) This matchup vs The Celtics looks ugly by the numbers (0.06 opponent +/-), but they won’t have Horford, which is a big deal to their defense.
PG/SG: Jeremy Lin: (3,800)
Lin popped off for 33.75 DK points vs The Raptors on Wednesday and he is scoring 25.2 DK PPG in his last five. Also, as I said above, The Celtics are a strong defense by their rankings (3rd in efficiency), but losing Horford should make them a below average unit.
PF/C: Kyle O’Quinn: (3,200)
KOQ would be an awesome punt play if both Domantas Sabonis (ankle) and Myles Turner (ankle) were out. He would likely start at the five and play at least 20 minutes vs The Spurs, which be more than enough for O’Quinn. (1.5 DK PPM this season) Veteran Thaddeus Young would also be worth a look. He has scored over 20 DK points in three straight with both of these bigs healthy and his usage/minutes would have to increase if one, or both, were forced to sit.
*Please note most of these stats are from FantasyLabs.com