Welcome back everybody. Alex here, and these are my DraftKings NBA Picks for November 26th. Tonight, we get a slate of seven games. As always, if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Also, I recommend following me, because if anything changes with these plays below or if any injury news effects the slate, I try to address the situations I find important before tip off. @Hunta512.
SF/PF: Kevin Durant: (10,600)
Following a down stretch, by his standards, Durant has been outstanding in his last two games. (67.3 DK PPG) His rates have been extremely high, with a 39.4% usage rate, 29.2% assist percentage, and 14.6% rebound percentage, helping him to 1.67 DK PPM. Steph Curry (groin) will remain out and Draymond Green (toe) is unlikely to make his return. Even if Green was back in the lineup, Durant would still be a usage monster sans Curry.
His matchup tonight vs The Magic is average (0.02 opponent +/-), however, they are a much more competitive team this season (have won four of their last six), which should keep this game close (GSW -8), and Durant’s minutes high. In 35-40 minutes of action, KD should exceed five times value and score right around 60 DK points on his home floor. With Anthony Davis (hip) coming back from an injury, I think Durant is the safest and strongest stud to target on Monday night.
C: Tristan Thompson: (6,100)
Thompson has notched a double double in each of his last three games. (42 DK PPG) He is coming off a season best 53 DK points in a win over The Rockets and he has led the team with a 23.4% rebound percentage in these past three. Additionally, his usage has been up to 19.4%, which is a solid 1.8% increase from his average for the year. Tonight, he will stay at home (2.6 more DK PPG in CLE this season), to face off against Karl-Anthony Towns and The Wolves.
Thompson is by far their best option to defend KAT and he should be able to tally another double double, in 30-35 minutes, vs this Minnesota club that ranks 21st in defensive efficiency, and 5th in most RPG allowed. (1.33 opponent +/-) Even at a season’s peak $6,100, Thompson is the best center value for this seven game slate.
PG/SG: Marcus Smart: (4,100)
With Jaylen Brown (back) out, Smart should slide into the starting five, with Gordon Hayward staying with the second unit. This is just a prediction of mine, but even with Al Horford (knee) out this past Friday, HC Brad Stevens elected to keep Hayward on the bench, instead of taking the easy route, and reinserting the former All-Star into the starting five. This was a clear sign that The Celtics are committed to keep Hayward with the second unit right now and Smart is the most likely player to start tonight vs The Pelicans in place of Brown.
He isn’t going to put up big scoring numbers playing next to Kyrie Irving, but Smart is averaging 0.82 DK PPM and he can fill up the stat sheet when given a decent amount of playing time. He should play roughly 30 minutes and in the eight games he has logged at least 25 minutes this season, Smart is producing 23.13 DK PPG. The matchup is also in his favor, with The Pelicans ranking 26th in defensive efficiency, 3rd in pace, and 5th in most steals allowed. (1.04 opponent +/-) Smart should top 25 DK points tonight and is a fine cheap target in this high total. (225 points, which is the second highest total of the night)
PG: Quinn Cook: (5,100)
Cook is averaging a solid 26 DK PPG in his last seven games and he should start again at point, after getting the nod on Saturday night. He is averaging 28.6 DK PPG in the seven contests without Curry and Green this season and Cook should see around 30 minutes tonight vs The Magic.
The matchup isn’t the best (0.81 opponent +/-), but D.J. Augustin isn’t the strongest individual defender and Cook is simply underpriced for the one DK PPM he is scoring without Curry and Green. We can expect 25-30 DK points, with a ceiling close to 40, making Cook one of the better mid-tier options of the night.
SF/PF: Giannis Antetokounmpo: (11,600)
The Greek Freak has put up over 30 real points and a double double in three straight games. (67 DK PPG) His matchup vs The Hornets is slightly positive (1.0 opponent +/-) and this contest has the highest O/U game total of tonight’s seven. (234.5 points) Giannis already has a 59 DK point outing vs The Hornets under his belt this season and he should be able to produce another near 60 DK point game.
PG: Kemba Walker: (9,400)
Walker is averaging 49 DK PPG at home this season and The Bucks are solid spot for PGs. (1.13 opponent +/-) He scored 55.5 DK points agaianst them earlier this year and in the three Hornets’ games that have had an O/U game total of 230 points or more this season, Walker is averaging 49.7 DK PPG.
C: Clint Capela: (7,900)
Capela has been very productive (53.6 DK PPG in his last four) and The Wizrads are an awesome spot (2.22 opponent +/-), especially if Dwight Howard (questionable, lower body) is out again.
C: Nikola Vucecvic: (7,800)
Outside of the huge blowout loss to The Nuggets (27 DK points), Vuc has been a beast over the last week and a half. (56.25 DK points) This game should stay decently close and in 35-40 minutes, Vuc should bully this Warriors’ frontcourt (1.69 opponent +/-), that should still be without Draymond Green.
PG/SG: Zach LaVine: (7,700)
LaVine has topped 40 DK points in three straight and he is at home (41.4 DK PPG), going against a bad defensive Spurs’ backcourt. (1.38 opponent +/-)
SG: Klay Thompson: (7,300)
Thompson continues be underpriced for his role without Curry. In these last five games, he is scoring 38.1 DK PPG on a 34.4% usage rate.
SF/PF: Nikola Mirotic: (6,900)
Mirotic is averaging 39 DK PPG this season, but is only $6,900, at home, vs a struggling Celtics’ frontcourt. (1.77 opponent +/-)
PG: Ricky Rubio: (6,500)
If Donavon Mitchell (rib) is out, Rubio should beat value at his current price. He scored 42.75 DK points vs The Kings without Mitchell last night and he is averaging 35.25 DK PPG in the three games the second year SG has missed this season.
SF/PF: Jabari Parker: (6,300)
Parker is a on serious roll right now (47 DK PPG) and he is rating as one of the strongest values of the night, vs this Spurs team that is 23rd in defensive efficiency. (2.1 opponent +/-)
SF/PF: Otto Porter Jr.: (5,700)
After a ugly start to the year, Porter has picked up his game in these last three (40.8 DK PPG), but he is a better overall play if Howard continues to sit.
PF/C: Al Horford: (5,400)
This is by far the cheapest Horford has been this year and he should be able to score near his season average (29.5 DK PPG), in this strong matchup vs The Pelicans. (2.36 opponent +/-)
SF/PF: Marvin Williams: (3,700)
Williams went off for a season high 41.75 DK points last night vs The Hawks and this type of score is obviously out of the question, but in this high of a total, Williams is certainly a viable punt at only $3,700.
PG: Ryan Arcidiacono: (3,600)
Arcidiacono has played a least 30 minutes in his past four (17.8 DK PPG) and he should continue to do so, in this excellent matchup vs The Spurs. (4.1 opponent +/-) He scores 0.7 DK PPM this season and the ceiling may be low, but he is a decent punt that could retain around 20 DK points.
*Please note most of these stats are from FantasyLabs.com