Welcome back everyone. Alex here, and these are my DraftKings NBA Picks for November 267h. Tonight, we get a smaller slate, with only five games to attack. As always, if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Also, I recommend following me, because if anything changes with these plays below or if any injury news effects the slate, I try to address the situations I find important before tip off. @Hunta512.
C: Andre Drummond: (9,600)
Drummond has been a different animal at home this season. He is averaging 4.7 more real PPG and 4.4 more RPG in Detroit, resulting in 54.1 DK PPG, which is a massive + 12.7 DK point home/away split. Tonight, his home matchup vs The Knicks is perfect. Enes Kanter is one of the worst defenders in the league and this defense as a whole ranks as the 5th worst unit. (2.73 opponent +/-)
The price tag is up, but Drummond should be priced over $10,000 in this situation. He is averaging 58.5 DK PPG in his last two and should absolutely get over 50 again tonight.
C: Hassan Whiteside: (8,300)
Just like with Drummond, Whiteside has been a completely different player on his home floor this year. In 10 home games, Whiteside is scoring a whopping 14.3 more DK PPG in Miami this season. He struggled on Sunday vs The Raptors (12.75 DK points), but this was a very tough matchup overall (6th in defensive efficiency), and he got in early foul trouble, limiting his minutes. In Whiteside’s two prior starts, he was excellent (49.4 DK PPG), and he has posted a double double in eight of his last ten games. He should bounce back in a big way tonight, facing The Hawks at home. This season they are the 6th worst rated defense, fastest team in The NBA, and have allowed a league high 59.6 RPG. (3.29 opponent +/-)
This game has the highest O/U game total of the night (223 points) and in the nine Heat home games that have had a total of at least 215 points this season, Whiteside is producing 45.6 DK PPG. Finally, both guards, Goran Dragic (knee) and Tyler Johnson (hamstring), will be out, and when they have been off the court this year, Whiteside has received a team high 3.4% usage increase. Expect a minimum of 40 DK points, with a ceiling close to 60 from the big man on Tuesday night.
PG/SG: Trey Burke: (4,700)
Outside of his 11.5 DK point clunker vs The Pelicans last Friday, Burke has been a huge spark off the bench for The Knicks. Including that down outing, he is averaging 33.2 DK PPG in his last six, with a 29.2% usage rate. He is scoring 1.2 DK PPM during this run and tonight, he gets a solid matchup vs The Pistons. (1.71 opponent +/-)
He should play 25-30 minutes with the second unit and be able to get us at least five times value in this spot. The price tag hasn’t adjusted at all since his 29.25 DK points vs The Grizzlies this past Sunday and I think Burke is a nice value play, that could end up coming with a lower ownership. (5-8% projected ownership via Fantasy Labs)
PG: Darren Collison: (4,400)
Collison finally produced with Victor Oladipo (knee) out, scoring 36.25 DK points across 26.2 minutes in a blowout win over The Jazz on Monday night. Oladipo will remain sidelined this evening and when he is off the court, Collison is averaging 0.82 DK PPM, which is a 0.1 increase from his usual average. This is mostly due to his assist percentage jumping up 7.8%, to a team high 31%. He will be playing against The Suns, who rank 29th in defensive efficiency this season. (2.21 opponent +/-)
This is 1.8 possession increase for Collison and The Pacers, and in the 10 games this year, that he has seen a pace bump of 1.0 possessions or more, and an opponent +/- over 2.0, he is averaging 24.1 DK PPG. In right under 30 minutes of work, Collison should break 25 DK points, and he is one of the better cheap targets of this difficult slate.
SF/PF: Kawhi Leonard: (9,400)
Leonard scored 53 DK points vs The Heat on Sunday and if this game vs The Grizzlies can stay close (TOR -5), he has a great chance at reaching five times value. In the last ten contests that have been decided by 10 points or less, Leonard is averaging 46.7 DK PPG.
C: Marc Gasol: (8,900)
Quietly, Gasol has been one of the best fantasy players this month. He has supplied at least 40 DK points in seven consecutive games and is averaging 53.75 is his last five. The Raptors are a strong defense (6th in efficiency), but they have been soft inside (2.85 opponent +/-), and as I just stated, this game should be tight, which cpuls push Gasol to close to 40 minutes. It wouldn’t surprise me at all if we see another 50+ DK point night from him on Tuesday.
C: Nikola Jokic: (8,800)
Jokic has been a very tough player to read lately (36.7 DK PPG in his last four), but tonight, he is at home (9.3 more DK PPG in Denver), playing against The Lakers. (4.72 opponent +/-) In their first meeting of the season, Jokic scored 45.3 DK points in 32.5 minutes.
PG/SG: Devin Booker: (8,600)
Booker has put up at least 49 DK points in back to back games and he will be at home (42.3 DK PPG), going against a Pacers’ defense that will be without Oladipo.
PG: Mike Conley: (7,700)
Gasol isn’t the only Memphis player that has improved. After an up and down start to the season, Conley has been awesome in his last four games. (48.3 DK PPG) The matchup is slightly in his favor (1.41 opponent +/-) and Conley should score 35-40 DK points.
C: Enes Kanter: (6,800)
I prefer going with Drummond and Whiteside, but for GPPs, Kanter is defentiely in play. He will certainly come with a lower ownership (9-12% via Fantasy Labs) and this matchup is great vs The Pistons. (3.36 opponent +/-) In these past two, Kanter is averaging 51.25 DK PPG.
PF/C: Noah Vonleh: (5,600)
Vonleh only got 20 DK points on Sunday, but he still played 30 minutes, making this the fifth game in a row he has done so. He should continue to start and before this quiet night, he was averaging 38.4 DK PPG in his previous four. This matchup vs The Pistons is rating well (2.25 opponent +/-) and most people may be scared to go back to Vonleh after Sunday night. (9-12% projected ownership via Fantasy Labs)
PG/SG: Dwyane Wade: (5,300)
Wade went off for 52.75 DK points off the bench Sunday vs The Raptors. His usage was at 34.1% in this game and it should remain higher, without Dragic and Johnson. More importantly, this matchup vs The Hawks is perfect, with them ranking first in pace. (2.27 opponent +/-)
SG/SF: Bojan Bogdanonvic: (4,900)
Bogdanovic has been very consistent recently. He has logged over 30 minutes in four straight and is averaging 30.2 DK PPG in his last seven.
SG/SF: Reggie Bullock: (4,100)
In his last four games, Bullock is averaging 22.13 DK PPG and 34.5 MPG. If this was a normal sized slate, I wouldn’t consider Bullock, but with the lack of cheap options, he is in play, just based off his higher playing time, in a decent matchup. (NYK is a 1.37 opponent +/-)
*Please note most of these stats are from FantasyLabs.com