Whats up people. Alex here, and these are my DraftKings NBA Picks for November 28th. Tonight is a full slate, with ten games on tap. As always, if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Also, I recommend following me, because if anything changes with these plays below or if any injury news effects the slate, I try to address the situations I find important before tip off. @Hunta512.
PF/C: Anthony Davis: (11,400)
Tonight’s Pelicans Wizards game is the highest O/U game total of Wednesday by a notable nine points. (241 points) These clubs both rank in the bottom five in defensive efficiency and top seven in pace this season. Davis (hip) returned from a one game absence on Monday night and showed no signs of injury, scoring 65.5 DK points in 37.14 minutes vs The Celtics.
He is now averaging 62.8 DK PPG in his past ten games and tonight, Davis will remain at home, where he is putting up 9.1 more DK PPG, compared to when he is on the road. Dwight Howard (lower body) will be out again and AD should eat this Wizards’ interior defense alive for 60+ DK points. (2.28 opponent +/-)
PF/C: Larry Nance Jr.: (5,300)
With David Nwaba (knee) out, Nance slid into the starting lineup for Monday’s game vs The Wolves. In 38 minutes of work, he supplied an excellent 37.5 DK points.
Nwaba will be away from the team again and in the two games Nance has seen 30+ minutes this season, he is averaging 34 DK PPG. He scores 1.1 DK PPM this season and in at least 30 minutes of action, Nance should smash value, despite being a tough spot vs The #1 ranked Thunder defense. (0.79 opponent +/-) The blowout concerns are worrisome (OKC -12.5), but at this low of a price, Nance is a cash game staple for this ten game slate.
PG/SG: Jrue Holiday: (8,400)
Holiday has produced two down games in his last two, but one he was playing against The Celtics (35.5 DK points), who decided to start Marcus Smart, one of the best wing defenders in the league, and the other, was without Davis (38.25 DK points vs The Wizards), which in recent history, has been a downgrade for Holiday. (-3.9 DK PPG W/O Davis this season) Tonight, He should get back on track in this dream environment vs The Wizards. (2.57 opponent +/-)
In the eight other contests this season, that have had an O/U game total of 235 points or more, Holiday is generating 45.2 DK PPG. He should get us at least 40 DK points, with a ceiling well over 50, and Holiday is one of the bets ways to get exposure to this slate high total.
PG/SG: Malik Monk: (3,300)
Monk has scored 22.9 DK PPG across his last three games. Just this past Sunday, he put up 33 DK points on The Hawks, which is the same club he will take on tonight. They are 7th worst rated defense and the fastest team in the association. (2.61 opponent +/-) He is playing right around 20 MPG in these last three, which may not seem like much, but Monk has been an extremely effective fantasy player this year. (1.3 DK PPM)
He only needs 16.5 DK points to reach five times value, which is certainly possible. In the 14 games he has logged 20+ minutes this year, Monk is scoring 31.3 DK PPG. The second year guard was priced over $4,000 all season long until just two weeks ago and is one of the better full punts to utilize tonight.
PG/SG: James Harden: (11,600)
If Chris Paul (leg) still can’t play, Harden becomes neck and neck with AD for the top overall play of the night. In these past two, without CP3, and Carmelo Anthony, The Beard has cooked up 77.5 DK PPG. He has played 42.8 MPG and taken on a 45.5% usage rate. If Paul does indeed sit, Harden should have another ridiculous fantasy night, vs this weak Dallas backcourt. (2.28 opponent +/-)
C: Nikola Vucevic: (8,300)
Vuc simply can’t be stopped right now. (64.6 DK PPG in last two) The Magic have finally realized he is their most important asset and in his last eight games, Vuc is logging 32.8 MPG, and posting a 29.5% usage rate. He should produce another 40+ DK point outing vs this Blazers’ defense. (1.8 opponent +/-) Oh, he would also an upgrade if Aaron Gordon (questionable, back) was out. In the one game without Gordon this season, Vuc scored 43.25 DK points in only 26.4 minutes. (3.8% usage and 4.1% rebound increases)
C: Clint Capela: (8,200)
Capela was great on Monday without CP3 (46.5 DK points vs The Wizards) and he is averaging 1.24 DK PPM with both Paul and Anthony off the floor. If Paul sits, Caplea needs to be considered. (DAL is a 2.02 opponent +/- for starting centers)
PF/C: Montrezl Harrell: (7,200)
Even as a reserve, Harrell is averaging 40 DK PPG in his last nine. Tonight, he goes against The Suns, who are second to last in defensive efficiency. (2.96 opponent +/-) His price has actually dropped $100, making Harrell a prime value for this full slate.
SF/PF: Nikola Mirotic: (6,900)
Even though Mirotic has been strong in his last two (37.5 DK PPG), DraftKings has kept his price under $7,000. He scored 40.75 DK points vs this same Wizards’ defense this past Saturday and should be able to approach a similar score tonight.
SF/PF: Jabari Parker: (6,600)
Parker has been consistent this past week. (45.13 DK PPG) His minutes and rates have all been up and this is a revenge game for him, vs The Bucks. (1.37 opponent +/-) Two Fridays ago, Parker scored 35 DK points vs this same team, in 33.5 minutes.
C: Tristan Thompson: (6,300)
Thompson has played 39 minutes in two straight games. He is averaging 45.4 DK PPG in those two and 41 DK PPG in his last four. The matchup is far from ideal vs Steve Adams and The Thunder (0.32 opponent +/-), but if this type of playing time continues, Thompson will inevitably notch his fifth straight double double.
SF/PF: Otto Porter Jr.: (5,900)
Porter is back to playing high minutes (35.5 MPG), which has resulted better fantasy scores. (38.4 DK PPG in his last four) He is another great value to target from this Wizards Pelicans tilt.
SG/SF: Eric Gordon: (5,800)
Even with a huge price bump, Gordon would be a primary play if CP3 was out. (41.75 DK PPG in these past two and The Mavs are a 2.52 opponent +/-)
SF/PF: Markieff Morris: (5,100)
Moving to the bench has been a blessing in disguise for Morris. (33.3 DK PPG in last four) He should continue to out produce his salary vs this soft Pelicans’ defense. (2.57 opponent +/-)
PG: Ryan Arcidiacono: (3,900)
Arcidiacono has been solid as of late (23.3 DK PPG in his last four), due to some very high playing time. (35.2 MPG) He plays a ton no matter if the game is close or not and he should be able to get over 20 DK points, even if this matchup vs The Bucks isn’t anything special. (1.14 opponent +/-)
SG/SF: Kyle Korver: (3,300)
Korver sees a big usage increase without Nwaba (6.5% bump) and it showed last game, with 30.5 DK points vs The Wolves. This was the second straight game he has topped 20 DK points and he has a decent shot of doing it again, even vs this strong Thunder defense. (1st in efficiency)
PF/C: Jarell Martin: (3,200)
Martin would be a core value if Gordon sits. In that one game he missed this season, Martin produced 24.75 DK points across 27.5 minutes. He scores 0.72 DK PPM and would have to log close to 30, in this solid spot vs The Blazers. (2.06 opponent +/-) UPDATE: To back track on my previous note, Jonathan Isaac is the play to target here if Gordon sits. Isaac wasn’t active in the first game Gordon was out this season. With him now healthy, and fresh off a season high 30 minutes (22.5 DK points), he should be in line to start and play right around 30 again tonight. He scores 0.9 DK PPM and would easily exceed value with a starting role.
*Please note most of these stats are from FantasyLabs.com