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DraftKings NBA Picks – November 8th

What’s up everybody. Alex here, and these are my DraftKings NBA Picks for November 8th. Tonight is your classic Thursday night slate, with only four games to attack. As always, if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. @Hunta512.

Top Pick:

PG/SG: Steph Curry: (10,300)

Curry has been putting together an MVP like start to this season, averaging 51.3 DK PPG and shooting 53% from the field. Tonight, he is at home, in The Oracle, where is averaging 7.2 more DK PPG this season, facing a Bucks’ defense that has been at their weakest vs PGs. (2.53 opponent +/-)

Not only do they struggle vs the position, but they have allowed a league high 12.7 made 3PG. This contest is expected to be the highest scoring of the night, by a large 15.5 points. (240 O/U game total) Even if The Warriors run away with this game (GSW -6), The Chef should still turn out value, with massive upside if the game is tight throughout. Last, but certainly not least, Draymond Green (toe) will be out and in the 111 minutes Curry has logged without Green this year, he has seen a team high 9.4% usage bump and is scoring an insane 62.86 DK points per 36 minutes.

Value Picks:

C: Steve Adams: (5,800)

It’s rather puzzling that Adam’s price has dropped in each of his last four games. It’s not like he is hurt or hasn’t been productive (30.1 DK PPG) and just a week ago, Adams was priced at a season high $7,300, but is now at a season low, $5,800. Tonight, he gets a perfect matchup vs The Rockets, who have been dreadful at defending centers thus far.

They are currently rating as an opponent +/- of 8.6 points, which is the best possible matchup for a player on Thursday night. In the five previous games he has faced an opponent +/- of 7.0 points or greater, Adams is averaging 32.2 DK PPG. Don’t over think this one and roster Adams in all of your lineups on Thursday night.

PG: Isaiah Canaan: (3,900)

Canaan has played steady minutes since returning from the ankle injury, logging at least 30 minutes in each of his last three games. He has scored double digit real points and is averaging a respectable 22.3 DK PPG during this span. His matchup vs The Celtics is tough (#1 defense this season), but if there is any spot to attack them, its at PG.

Jamal Murray just scored a career high 48 points vs them on Monday and I am not saying Canaan is going to do anything of this significance, but it’s just an example to show you that guards can get it done in this matchup. In 30-35 minutes, Canaan should top 20 DK points, making him a viable punt for this smaller slate.

PG/SG: Dennis Schroder: (7,000)

At only $7,000, I am going right back to Schroder tonight. He scored 39.75 DK points with a team high 32.2% usage rate vs The Cavs last night and is now averaging 35.3 DK PPG when Russell Westbrook (ankle) is out of the lineup.

Chris Paul is a strong defender, but The Rockets have been weak overall, ranking 20th in defensive efficiency. Schroder is scoring 1.2 DK PPM when Westbrook is off the floor and in 30+ minutes of work, he should approach 40 DK points in this competitive game. (HOU -4)

Also Consider:

SF/PF: Giannis Antetokounmpo: (11,000)

This is a significant $1,600 price drop since Antetokounmpo’s last game. He is still the highest used player in the league (33.6%) and is averaging 54.9 DK PPG, which is right at what he needs for value tonight.

If this game can stay in reach for The Bucks (GSW -6), The Greek Freak should achieve at least five times value, vs this Warriors’ defense that should be much weaker with Green out.

SF/PF: Paul George: (8,900)

I really think last night was just a fluke and that George will get back to his way’s tonight with Westbrook still out. In all the minutes he has logged without him this season, George has seen a 3.4% usage rate increase.

As mentioned above, Houston is 20th in efficiency, and this game has shootout potential.  (214 O/U game total) I think we see 40+ DK points from George, with a ceiling above 50.

SF/PF: Tobias Harris: (7,000)

Just a soft price for how productive Harris has been this season. In 10 games, he is averaging 37.3 DK PPG in 33.2 MPG.

C: Deandre Ayton: (6,800)

The Celtics are stout in the paint (-4.09 opponent +/-), but Ayton has outproduced a $6,800 salary in eight of his ten games this season. (37.5 DK PPG) He also has been at his best when playing on his home floor. (3.1 more DK PPG)

C: Boban Marjanovic: (5,400)

Marjanovic has started the last two games and is averaging 31.1 DK PPG in his last three. The Blazers are also a slightly positive spot for centers this season. (1.89 opponent +/-) For a four game slate, there is a plethora of options at center, but Marjanovic is one of the strongest values at $5,400.

SF/PF: Jerami Grant: (4,900)

Since entering the starting five, Grant has been a reliable DFS value. (26.6 DK PPG) This is a $200 price cut from last night and with 30-35 minutes, Grant should get us five times value, even with this matchup vs The Rockets not rating well. (-2.78 opponent +/-)

PG/SG: Patrick Beverly: (3,800) 

Avery Bradley (ankle) being out last game, led to Beverley’s highest minute total of the season. (38.4) He is averaging 0.8 DK PPM and should have to play heavy minutes again, in this matchup against The Blazers, that requires his strong on ball defense vs Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum. Beverly and Canaan are very similar values tonight and don’t mind utilizing both in the same lineup.

*Please note most of these stats and rankings are from FantasyLabs.com

PLAY THIS LINEUP

 

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