Happy Friday everybody. Alex here, and these are my DraftKings NBA Picks for November 9th. For Friday night, we get seven games to target. As always, if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. @Hunta512.
SG/SF: Jimmy Butler: (8,600)
Assuming he isn’t being rested for “soreness”, which doesn’t seem like the case at the moment (no game last night or tomorrow), Butler is one of the better high end values of this seven game slate. On Wednesday, Butler logged a team high 43 minutes and turned out 48.25 DK points vs The Lakers. He filled up the stat sheet in all facets of the game and barring foul trouble, we should see roughly 40 minutes out of him tonight vs The Kings, who are the 8th worst rated defense in The NBA.
The Wolves are even weaker, ranking as the second worst unit, and this game should be very high scoring, hence it’s slate high O/U game total. (232 points, MIN -3) The Wolves have the highest the implied team total of the night (117 points) and in the last 11 games Butler’s club was projected for over 115 points, he scored 41.6 DK PPG. With no very high priced players on my radar tonight, I think a balanced roster, starting with Butler, is the optimal way to build a lineup on Friday.
PG/SG: Terry Rozier: (4,900)
We should see “Scary Terry” in full effect on Friday night, with Kyrie Irving being ruled out for personal reasons. In the 20 full games Irving sat last season, Rozier started and averaged 31.96 DK PPG. He led the team is assist percentage (24.6%) and also saw a 23.1% usage rate. We should see an even higher usage from Rozier this time around. In The Celtics’ past five games, Irving’s usage has been at a team high 28.7%, leaving a huge void for Rozier and the rest of his teammates to pick up. Rozier scored 0.96 DK PPM sans Irving last season and with possibly a little more usage coming his way, he should be producing right over one DK PPM tonight vs The Jazz.
This Utah defense isn’t the juggernaut we were all scared to attack last season, going from 1st in efficiency a year ago to 17th right now. PGs have had their way against Ricky Rubio and company (4.17 opponent +/-), and Rozier should have zero issues approaching 30 DK points, with 40-45 upside, depending on if he can notch a double double, which isn’t out of the question for such a strong rebounding guard like himself. He is without a doubt the best overall value of this slate and needs to be in all of your lineups on Friday night.
PG/SG: Derick Rose: (6,800)
If you didn’t already know by now, Rose has fully turned the clocks back this season. He isn’t throwing down athletic dunks, but he has been an extremely effective scorer who is getting it done on a nightly basis for The Wolves. He is fresh off a 43.75 DK point showing vs The Lakers on Wednesday and is averaging 36.3 DK PPG in the four full games Jeff Teague (knee) has missed this year.
In these contests, even with Jimmy Butler playing in three and Karl-Anthony Town play in all of four, Rose has led this offense with a high 32.5% usage rate. Tonight, with Teague already confirmed out, Rose will stay in this huge role, vs a bad Kings’ defense. The price tag has hit a peak, but Rose remains a strong value, that needs to be considered.
PF: Taj Gibson: (4,900)
Rose isn’t the only Minnesota veteran that has looked great as of late. In these past two games, Gibson has excelled with some extra playing time, scoring 38.5 DK PPG, in 34.7 MPG. This a huge increase from the 25.6 MPG he was logging in the first ten of the season.
He is scoring right under one DK PPM (0.97) and if the minutes stay over 30, Gibson has a solid shot of tallying a double double vs this Kings defense, that has given up the fourth most RPG. (2.6 opponent +/-) At this cheaper price, Gibson is a fine value, that will give you another share of this Wolves Kings matchup.
PG/SG: Victor Oladipo: (9,000)
Oladipo has been a beast recently. (53.1 DK PPG in his last four) With The Pacers struggling, he has taken matters into his own hands, posting a 33.6% usage rate in the last three games. Tonight, he faces a Heat team, that has been burnt by opposing PGs. (4.93 opponent +/-)
C: Karl-Anthony Towns: (8,900)
Towns has struggled in three of his last four road games, not cracking 40 DK points, but he has the best possible matchup for a Wolves’ starter. (3.04 opponent +/-) As I just mentioned, The Kings struggle on the glass, and Towns is a near lock for a double double in this spot. If you have the room, Towns is a fine spend.
SF/PF: Aaron Gordon: (7,500)
After a rough start, Gordon has been great in his last three games. (41.1 DK PPG) He should keep things rolling in a gorgeous spot vs The Wizards. So far, this team has been the third worst defense and the 7th fastest team. (9.77 opponent +/-) Lastly, Gordon will be at home, where he is scoring 2.7 more DK PPG.
PG: De’Aaron Fox: (6,900)
Outside of their 35 point loss to The Bucks, Fox is averaging 40.7 DK PPG and 33.5 MPG in his last six. Surprisingly, The Wolves have been at their best against PGs (-3.48 opponent +/-), but they are still the second worst defense as a whole. Fox’s price is correct, but he is still a decent target, given the game setting.
SG/SF: Buddy Hield: (6,700)
Similar to Fox, Hield has been much better with steady playing time. In his last five games, he is averaging 40.8 DK PPG and The Wolves have allowed the 6th most made 3PPG.
C: Willie Cauley-Stein: (6,600)
As always, Towns has been a weak defender this season (1.64 opponent +/-) and teams are getting the third most RPG vs this Wolves club. WCS should play over 30 to matchup with KAT and score 35-40 DK points. (33.6 DK PPG this season)
C: Dwight Howard: (6,000)
Howard hasn’t gotten over 30 DK points once this season, which would be five times value at his price for tonight, but he is in an excellent spot against his former team, The Magic. (4.79 opponent +/-) In the 11 instances Howard has faced The Magic, he is averaging 37.8 DK PPG.
PG/SG: Marcus Smart: (4,100)
Rozier is the projected starter, but we should still see a heavy dose of Smart off the bench. Gordon Hayward is obviously in the mix now, but he has been limited to 25 minutes a night and even though this is his former team, this is the second night of a back to back set, further limiting the SF’s playing time. In the four games Smart was active without Irving last season, he played 31.2 MPG. He will play 25-30 tonight and should top 20 DK points.
SG/SF: Wayne Ellington: (3,700)
With Goran Dragic (knee) and Dwayne Wade (personal) out, Ellington was an awesome value play on Wednesday, scoring 32.5 DK points across 37.1 minutes vs The Spurs. Both guards will remain away from the team on Friday, keeping Ellington as a starter vs The Pacers. (-1.26 opponent +/-) The matchup is ugly, but with a 30+ role, Ellington should find a way to surpass five times value. (0.86 DK PPM)
*Please note most of these stats and rankings are from FantasyLabs.com