DraftKings NBA Picks – October 23rd

Whats going on everyone. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA picks for October 23rd, 2017. Tonight we get a nice sized slate with eight games on tap. Be sure to follow all of the injury news tonight, all the way up until the 7:00 PM EST lock, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter.@Hunta512.

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Top Pick:

PG: Mike Conley: (7,700) Tonight Conley and The Grizzlies head to Houston to take on The Rockets. He struggled his last time out, shooting 3/14 from the field in the win over The Warriors Saturday night (23 DK points), but I think we see him rebound very nicely tonight in this great match-up. With PG Patrick Beverly traded to The Clippers and PG Chris Paul out (knee), James Harden and The Rockets have really struggled defending PGs, currently allowing a high opponent +/- of 5.95 points, which is the by far the best match-up for any PG in this slate, in terms of opponent +/-.

He should be very active playing up in pace vs this Rockets team, which is a 7.3 possession increase for Conley and The Grizzlies. Also this game has a solid total of 213 points. Last year, in the six games that Conley saw a possession increase of seven or more, with a total of at least 210 points, he scored an excellent 43.13 DK points a game. He currently is the highest rated player in my model and is a nice complementary play to either James Harden or Giannis Antetokounmpo.

Value Picks: 

PG: Mike James: (3,000) After tweeting last night that he “don’t want to be here’, Suns starting PG Eric Bledsoe will not be with the team tonight for their game vs The Kings. PG Tyler Ulis was the player who started when Bledsoe was out last season, but PG Mike James has had a bigger role with the team to start the season, and is expected to start for Bledsoe tonight. To this point in the season, James has done well with Bledsoe on the bench, seeing a 24.7% usage rate and a 28% assist percentage. In these minutes he has been scoring a productive 0.9 DK points per minute.

This isn’t a perfect spot against The Kings who have been the slowest team in The NBA this year, but we are talking about getting a starting PG, playing at home, at a bare minimum price tag. This Suns team also just fired their Head Coach, Earl Watson, so we don’t know what their rotations will be like, but I think it’s fair to expect 25+ minutes for James on Monday night. At only $3,000, James is a core play for me, that is necessary if you want to fit in multiple high end players.

PG/SG: Malcolm Delaney: (3,000) Delaney is expected to start at PG tonight with Dennis Schroder out with a bone bruise in his knee. In the three full games that Schroder missed last season, Delaney was solid as a starter, averaging 20.6 DK points a game. He isn’t the most productive player, but in the minutes he has played with Schroder off the court this season, Delaney is scoring 0.67 DK points per minute.

Tonight he should approach 30 minutes vs The Heat, who have been an average match-up so far for PGs this season (0.38 opponent +/-), but will be without their starting center Hassan Whiteside (knee), who is easily one of their best defensive players. Delaney should be able to grind out 20+ DK points in this game and is a viable punt in both cash games and GPPs. SG Marco Belinelli is also a nice value play at only $3.900. Last night with Schroder exiting the game early, Bellinelli put up 27 DK points in 30 minutes off the bench. (19.3% usage)

PF/C: John Collins (4,000) On top of Schroder, The Hawks will also be without their starting PF, Ersan Ilyasova. It has not been released who will start in his place, but Collins seems like the most likely candidate. The rookie out of Wake Forest has played well to start the season, averaging 23.5 DK points a game off the bench. He just had his best game yet, putting up a double double of 14 points and 13 rebounds last night vs The Nets. (32.75 DK points)

With Schroder and Ilysaova out of the picture tonight, there is a ton of usage to go around to this Hawks’ squad. It is a small sample size of only 29 minutes, but in those minutes, Collins is scoring 1.36 DK points per minute, averaging a 20.4% usage rate, and is scoring 48.9 DK points per 36 minutes. Even if he doesn’t join the starting lineup, Collins will likely see 20-25 minutes off the bench. He should have no issues exceeding five times value vs this Heat defense that should be a weaker unit overall with center Hassan Whiteside sidelined. (knee)

Also Consider: Marco Belinelli (above), Matthew Dellavedova (assuming he starts for the injured Malcom Brogdon), Kelly Olynyk (36.75 DK points last game with Whiteside out), Harrison Barnes, Frank Kaminsky, Eric Gordon, Jarell Martin, Kelly Oubre, Zach Randolph, and Mike Muscala.

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