gravatar

DraftKings NBA Picks – October 24th

What’s up my fellow NBA heads. Alex here, and these are my DraftKings picks for October 24th. Tonight, we get a full slate, with 11 games on tap. As always, if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. @Hunta512.

Top Pick:

PG/SG: Devin Booker: (8,300)

The Suns are at home tonight vs depleted The Lakers. This game has the highest O/U game total of this full slate (236.5) and it also comes with a tight spread of only 4.5 points, in favor of LA. This game should be a shootout, with both clubs ranking in the bottom eight in efficiency this year. Additionally, The Suns will be playing way up in pace, with The Lakers being the fastest team in the league, compared to Phoenix, who is surprisingly the slowest. This Laker’s defense resembles the horrible unit LeBron James led last season (2nd worst overall) and they are currently rating as a high 6.8 opponent +/- for Booker.

Lastly, in his last three meetings with The Lakers, he is scoring 48.3 DK PPG. Even with Deandre Ayton in the paint, Booker still is garner a massive 34.5% usage rate through three games. In his first home game of the year, he scored 52 DK points vs The Mavs, and we should expect a similar performance from D Book on Wednesday night.

Value Picks:

SF/PF: Kyle Kuzma: (6,900)

Kuzma flourished playing with the starters, sans Rajon Rondo and Brandon Ingram (both suspended), scoring 37 points, eight rebounds, and three assists in Monday’s OT loss to The Spurs. He saw a season high 25.3% usage rate and logged the most minutes on the team, at 45.1. They desperately need his scoring right now and he should play 35+ minutes until Ingram’s suspension is over.

He scored 1.2 DK PPM last game and tonight, he goes against The Suns, who are 23rd in defensive efficiency this season and dead last a year ago. (1.42 opponent +/-) Kuzma should get at least 35 DK points in this spot and he needs to be utilized, before his price tag gets out of hand.

PG/SG: Josh Hart: (5,800)

It was no surprise to see Hart bust out for his best game of the year, with Ingram and Rondo away from the team. In 38.4 minutes of action, he achieved a double double of 20 and 10 off the bench vs The Spurs on Monday. (41 DK points) That minute mark is obviously inflated due to overtime, but he logged 28.7 MPG in the first two, with this Lakers’ team at full strength.

He should absolutely see 30+ off the bench tonight vs The Suns, with this team still shorthanded. Hart has been arguably their most effective player thus far and his confidence is at an all-time high right now. His price also increased to a season’s peak, but he remains a strong value play in this great matchup vs The Suns. (1.02 opponent +/-)

C: Deandre Ayton: (7,300)

Outside of Ayton’s five personal foul horror show vs Nikola Jokic and The Nuggets (15.5 DK points this past Saturday), the rookie has been a force, averaging 46.25 and 33.6 MPG. He put up a double in each of those games, while also chipping in with at least one defensive stat. Tonight’s matchup vs The Lakers, doesn’t bring much foul trouble risk, with the low usage JaVale McGee opposite of Ayton.

They are a current opponent +/- of 1.52 points for starting centers, mostly behind them allowing the second most rebounds per game this season. (61 RPG) I don’t have enough games to statistically support this (only one home game), but being at home will also be a big plus for the rookie. Another double double and 40+ DK point game is in the cards for Ayton tonight.

Also Consider:

SF/PF: LeBron James: (11,100)

James took on a huge workload in the first game without Rondo and Ingram. With a season high 32.3% usage rate, he scored 67 DK points vs The Spurs. He averaged 1.5 DK PPM in the loss and in this competitive and high scoring matchup vs The Suns tonight, James should flirt with a triple double and top 60 DK points. (3.14 opponent +/-)

PG/SG: Victor Oladipo: (7,800)

Oladipo is averaging 38.4 DK PPG in his last three and is playing The Spurs, who look last at defending PGs without Dejounte Murray. They are the third worst rated defense and a current opponent +/- of 4.72 points. He should get us 40-45 DK points in this close game. (SA -2)

PG: Trae Young: (7,200)

Young hasn’t looked back after his down NBA debut (27.5 DK points vs The Knicks), scoring 40.5 and 60 DK points in his last two. His usage has been over 27% in each game and The Hawks are coming off a 22 point win over The Cavs. Tonight, he faces one of the worst defenses in The NBA, The Mavs, who are 27th in efficiency (4.19 opponent +/-) and still without starting SF Harrison Barnes. (hamstring) Expect the rookie to keep cooking tonight in his first home game as a Hawk.

C: Enes Kanter: (7,000)

41.1 DK PPG this season and 30+ minutes in his last three. Tonight, he goes against Hassan Whiteside and The Heat, which is a matchup that requires Kanter’s length. (1.91 opponent +/-) His price got cut $300, making Kanter a strong value.

PG: Lonzo Ball: (6,300)

Ball dropped 33.5 DK points in 32.5 minutes as the starting PG. The minutes are a little concerning, considering this game went to OT, but Ball has to play close to 30 minutes, as the team’s primary ball handler. He’s my least favorite of The Lakers I have listed, but absolutely still viable, given the situation.

SG/SF: Cedi Osman: (5,800)

Osman slowed down vs The Hawks in his last game (24.25 DK points), but he still played a high 39 minutes. Before this, he went over 40 DK points in back to back games. He should get back on track and get five times value tonight vs a weak Nets’ defense. (22nd in efficiency)

SF/PF: Robert Covington: (5,400)

Covington continued his strong play this season last night, scoring 34 DK points in a team high 44 minutes. Excluding OT, this would put him at 39 for the night, which is the exact amount he played in the game prior to this. Ben Simmons missing another game would be a boost (back, currently questionable), with Covington scoring 0.98 DK PPM without him last season, but either way, Covington is just too cheap at $5,400 (a $100 price drop from last night) for how well he’s been playing this season. (29.2 DK PPG)

PG/SG: Cameron Payne: (4,000)

After only playing one game, Kris Dunn is out for another 4-6 weeks. (MCL sprain) Payne hasn’t been anything special as the starter for Dunn (18.25 DK PPG), but he should play close to 30 minutes, keeping him in play.

PG/SG: T.J. McConnell: (4,000)

If Simmons is out again, McConnell becomes  viable, even as a bench player. Last night, without Simmons, Markelle Fultz started at point, but it was McConnell who played the more minutes. In the OT loss to The Pistons, he played 32 minutes vs Fultz’s 21. He scored 0.82 DK PPM when Simmons was off the court last year and in a safe role of around 25 minutes, McConnel should eclipse 20 DK points.

SG/SF: Damyean Dotson: (3,500)

Dotson has been solid off the bench in these last two games without Kevin Knox. (ankle, out with no timetable) He scored 20 DK points across 22 minutes vs The Celtics and then 30 DK points in 32 minutes vs The Bucks. He is at 0.95 DK PPM right now, putting him in punt conversation at this near minimum salary.

PLAY THIS LINEUP

 

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.