What’s up guys. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA picks for October 25th, 2017. Tonight we get a full slate with ten games to target. Be sure to follow all of the injury news tonight, all the way up until the 7:00PM EST lock, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter.@Hunta512.
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PG: Lonzo Ball: (7,000) After being embarrassed in his first career game, Ball has been impressive, posting a near triple double vs The Suns with 59.75 DK points, and then 37 DK points vs The Pelicans on Sunday. Tonight he is at home, facing off against John Wall and The Wizards. This game should be an extremely fun scoring fest, as both of these teams rank inside the top ten in pace this season, (LA 1st, WAS 7th) resulting in Vegas giving this game a high O/U game total of 226.5 points.
Wizards PG John Wall is an above average defender, but this Washington team has given up the seventh most DK points to PGs, and the expected fast pace outweighs any individual match-up Ball will see. This contest also should stay pretty close, as The Lakers are at home, and The Wizards are only 6.5 point favorites. Ball has played 37 and 36 minutes in his last two starts, and his playing time should stay right around this number again tonight. This is the perfect setting for Ball’s type of game and he should hit five times value with 40-45 DK point upside if he can record a double double or possibly a triple double.
PF/C: Jakob Poeltl: (4,500) Tonight, The Raptors are going to be very thin up front, with starting center Jonas Valanciunas (ankle) and his back up Lucas Nogueira out (ankle). Last game, Big Val was out and Nogueira drew the start at center, but it was the Austrian player, Poeltl, who got the most playing time. In the four point loss to The Spurs, The second year man out of Utah, recorded his first career double-double of 10 points and 12 rebounds, to go along with three blocks and a steal in 24 minutes off the bench. (33.5 DK points) This was his second straight strong performance, as he scored 14 points, five rebounds, a steal, and another three blocks in only 17 minutes of action vs The Sixers last Friday. (27.25 DK points)
We don’t have any official word from The Raptors, and probably won’t as this is a late game, but if I were to guess, Poeltl will start at center tonight vs The Warriors. This game has blowout written all over it with The Warriors being 12 point home favorites, but I think Poeltl will likely see 25-30 minutes regardless of how this game goes, as he is one of the younger players on this Raptors team. This season he is scoring a very efficient 1.14 DK points per minute and if he can keep it up with defensive stats, Poeltl has 30 DK point upside even vs this tough Warriors defense. I am writing this early in the day so it’s hard to guess his ownership (0-1% projected at the moment, via Fantasy Labs), but either way, I think Poeltl is a fine value play, that would become a terrific GPP option if he doesn’t garner much interest from the DFS community.
PF/C: Frank Kaminksy: (5,000) I cut back my exposure to Kaminksy Friday once I heard he wasn’t starting, but I shouldn’t have at all, because Frank The Tank still saw the playing time he deserved with Cody Zeller out, putting up 35 DK points in 33 minutes vs The Hawks. Zeller missed his second game on Monday, and even with another role off the bench, Kaminsky produced again, and is now averaging 31.4 DK points and 33.38 minutes in the two games Zeller has sat out this season.
Once again, Zeller has been ruled out for tonight’s tilt vs The Nuggets, which should keep Kaminsky in a 30-35-minute role off the bench. This is an awesome spot for him to continue this run, as The Nuggets currently present an opponent +/- of 2.2 points to back up bigs. In these full games with Zeller out, Kaminsky is scoring 0.92 DK points per minute, and he should come close to hitting six times value vs this Nuggets team tonight.
SG/SF: Kelly Oubre Jr.: (4,200) With Markieff Morris and Jason Smith dealing with injuries, Oubre has played well in a bigger role, scoring 26.6 DK points a game. He has started the last two games with Smith out (shoulder), and even though Smith is nearing his return and could suit up this evening, Wizards Head Coach Scott Brooks said Smith will come off the bench if he plays tonight vs The Lakers, keeping Oubre Jr. as a starter. As I stated above, this WAS-LAL game is an elite game to target with its high total and relatively close spread.
Oubre Jr., like all The Wizards’ players, should see a nice boost playing up in pace against this Lakers team that has played at the fastest pace in the league this year. As a starter, he should log 30-35 minutes, and top 20 DK points with decent upside if he can rack up a couple steals. Even though he put up 27 DK points his last time out, DraftKings has not moved his price at all, keeping him at a very reasonable $4,200. I really like him at this price and he is an easy way to get another share of this game with his multiple position eligibility.
Also Consider: P.J. Tucker (should start with Trevor Ariza out), Kelly Olynyk (Whiteside will be out again), Shabazz Muhammad (scored 20 DK points last night in 31 minutes as he started for Jimmy Butler. Butler has already been ruled out for tonight with an illness, keeping Muhammad in play at his bare minimum $3,000 salary), Domantas Sabonis (38.4 DK points over his last two games with Myles Turner out. Turner will once again be out and Sabonis is going against his former team, The Thunder), Nemanja Bjelica, Brook Lopez, Otto Porter Jr., Eric Gordon, and Spencer Dinwiddie (nice play if he starts for D’ Angelo Russell, who is now doubftul).