Welcome back everyone. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA picks for October 26th, 2017. Tonight’s slate is a difficult slate with only five games to target. Be sure to follow all of the injury news tonight, all the way up until the 8:00 PM EST lock, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter.@Hunta512.
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PF/C: Demarcus Cousins: (11,600) It hasn’t officially happened, but I am expecting Anthony Davis to be out tonight, after he banged knees with a player and left Tuesday’s loss to The Pacers early. There is no structural damage, but his knee is apparently swelling, and I think it is fair to expect The Pelicans not to throw their franchise player who is known for being fragile back out there this soon. After he left Tuesday, to no surprise, Boogie took over, and dominated The Blazers for 39 points, 13 rebounds, three assists, three blocks and a steal in 39 minutes. (66.75 DK points) With AD out, Cousins took on a massive 43.4 usage rate, which is a huge 7.4 increase from his average rate so far this season.
The high usage led him to scoring an absurd 1.66 DK points per minute. If Davis is out tonight, like I am expecting, Cousins should see this kind of usage again vs his former team The Kings. This couldn’t be a better spot for him to be a monster again, with this Kings’ defense currently having a high opponent of 3.66 points, which is the best matchup for any PF or Center in action Thursday night. And I know some fantasy players don’t believe in narratives, but there is no doubt in my mind Cousins will want to have a huge game against this Kings team, especially on their home floor. This situation is something that needs to be watched all the way up until the 8:00 PM roster lock, with this game being a late game at 10:30 PM EST. If we have clarification that Davis is out, Cousins is someone you need to build around tonight, but if we don’t have any word I think he may be too risky for cash, but Is definitely someone you will want some shares of in GPPs. UPDATE: Davis is now “unlikely” to play. Fire up Boogie in all formats.
SF/PF: Harrison Barnes: (5,100) No matter the matchup, $5,100 is a ridiculous price for Barnes. He hasn’t ever been this cheap in a Mavs’ uniform and this is the cheapest we have seen him since May 28th of 2016, when he was still a member of The Warriors. At $5,100, he needs to score 25.5 DK points to meet value, which is something he has accomplished in every game this season, as he is averaging 27.7 DK points a night through the first week of the season. Yes, this matchup vs The Grizzlies is ugly (-2.44 opponent +/-), but Barnes just put up 27 DK points against them last night in 38 minutes of action.
His role is extremely safe, at 35.4 minutes a game, which leads this Mavs team. Barring bad foul trouble, which is unlikely, as he averages only one foul per 36 minutes, Barnes should log 35+ minutes and score 25-30 DK points tonight. At this discount, and multiple position eligibility, I believe Barnes is a core value for this five game slate. Also, it worth noting that PF Dirk Nowitzki could potentially be rested with this being the second night of a back to back set. This would funnel some more usage to Barnes, as he saw a 2.2% usage increase and averaged 31.35 DK points in the 27 full games he played without Dirk last season.
SG/SF: Evan Turner: (5,000) It took a while, but Head Coach Terry Stotts and The Blazers are finally giving Turner the minutes he deserves. He still comes off the bench, but over the last three games, he has played 31.6 minutes, versus the 25 minutes he saw in the season opener. The minutes have been a nice boost, with him averaging 26.75 DK points a game during this span.
His matchup vs The Clippers could obviously be better (-2.96 opponent +/-), but with 30+ minutes of action, it’s hard not seeing Turner shell out 25+ DK points tonight. His price has jumped to $5,000, but he is still slightly underpriced assuming that his new role continues. I think he is a viable option in all formats, that gives you a piece of this POR-LAC game, that is arguably the best game of the slate to target, with its slate high O/U of 213 points, and tight spread of 2.5 points.
PG/SG: Patrick Beverly: (5,200) Beverly has seen three blowouts to open this season, but is still averaging a great 30.1 DK points a game as a Clipper. Even with him not needing to play full minutes in two of these games, he has still averaging 30.6 minutes a night. Tonight in a strong game setting vs The Blazers, that shouldn’t result in a one sided affair (213 O/U, -2.5 POR), Beverly should approach 35 minutes.
The Blazers haven’t been allowing much to opposing PGs thus far, but PG Damian Lillard is one of the weakest PG defenders in the league, and I don’t think Beverly will have any trouble going against him tonight. He is never going to be a high usage player (19%), but Beverly will always fill up a stat sheet with assists, rebounds, and of course defensive stats. The situation and price is right for Beverly and he is one of the better values of this tough five game slate.
Also Consider: Justin Holiday/Jerian Grant (Zipser is out), Austin Rivers, Jameer Nelson, Malcom Brogdon (if active), John Collins (better if Ilyasova is out), Dennis Smith Jr., J.J. Barea, Cheick Diallo, Dwight Powell (if Dirk is ruled out), Marcus Smart (if active), Terry Rozier (if Smart is out), Kent Bazemore, Tareun Prince, and De’Aaron Fox.