DraftKings NBA Picks – October 30th

What’s up everyone. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA picks for October 30th, 2017. Tonight we get a full slate with nine games to attack. Be sure to follow all of the injury news tonight, all the way up until the 7:30 PM EST lock, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. @Hunta512.

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Top Pick:

PF/C: Anthony Davis: (11,000) Davis wasn’t limited in anyway Saturday night, putting up an impressive line of 30 points, 14 rebounds, three blocks, two assists, and a steal in 36 minutes. (61 DK points) After this big win over The Cavs, Davis is at home again in a dream matchup vs The Magic. This Orlando team is playing well (4-2), but they are still have a very weak interior defense, currently presenting a very high opponent +/- of 8.86 points to starting PFs.

With his brief knee injury scare in the past, AD should be fresh and ready to go, especially with no game tomorrow. He should log 35+ minutes and score 60-65 DK points vs this Magic defense. His price tag has jumped up since his performance on Saturday, but at $11,100, he is still too cheap in this match-up. Even at this high of a price, Davis still rates as one of the strongest values of this slate, and is the best way to get exposure to this Pelicans team that has the highest implied team total of Monday night. (116.25 points)

Value Picks:

C: Aaron Baynes: (3,800) Baynes returned to the starting five Saturday and was a big part of this Celtics’ win over The Heat, scoring six points to go along with five rebounds, four blocks, one assist, and one steal in 24 minutes. (23.25 DK points) His minutes are never going to be that high, but he has been a solid fantasy player when he is on the floor, averaging 0.88 DK points per minute this season. After a successful start on Saturday, Baynes should stay in the starting lineup tonight, against a Spurs team that tends to always have a natural center on the floor.

Spurs starting center Pau Gasol has always been a horrible defender and nothing has changed this season, as this Spurs team has a very high opponent +/- of 10.56 points to starting centers. Barring really bad foul trouble, Baynes should see close to 25 minutes, and put up 20+ DK points in this spot. He doesn’t have much upside, but at this cheap salary, he is a very viable punt play that can be deployed in all formats tonight.

PG: T.J. McConnell: (4,400) McConnell has been making the most of rookie PG Markell Fultz being out (shoulder), as he is averaging 34.8 DK points off the bench in these first two games without Fultz. The rookie has no timetable for a return and McConnell should continue to play this six man role for the foreseeable future. He didn’t top 20 minutes in the first four games of the season, but with Fultz out of the rotation, he has logged 28 and 31 minutes in these last two outings.

It has only been two games, but with the extra playing time, he has seen his usage increase 2.5% and his assist percentage jump 6.4% , helping him score 1.1 DK points per minute, compared to the 0.59 average he was producing through the first four games. Tonight he is an excellent spot to keep this run going vs The Rockets, who have been putrid at defending PGs with Patrick Beverly gone to LA. (12.21 opponent +/-). Over 30 DK points might be hard to expect out of him for the third straight game, but if he continues to see close to 30 minutes off the bench, he has a great chance to score 25+ DK points vs this Houston squad.

PG/SG: Jamal Murray: (5,000) Heading into yesterday’s game vs The Nets, Murray was really struggling with his shot, shooting an ugly 27% from the field. He finally broke out of this slump, hitting 8/14 shots, including 2/3 from three, posting a season high 26 points in the win over The Nets on Sunday night. (39.25 DK points) Tonight he has a great chance to keep it up with this improved shooting, vs The Knicks who have allowed the 10th most DK points to opposing PGs and the 6th most three pointers made this season.

The Knicks just recently took PG Ramon Sessions out of their rotation, and Murray will mostly be matched up with 34 year old PG Jarret Jack, who has never been a good defender, especially when considering he tore his ACL less than a year ago. His minutes are hard to predict, but if he is scoring well, Murray should approach 30 minutes in this game. (0.84 DK points per minute) He is hard player to trust in cash games, but in GPPs, Murray is an excellent target that has huge upside vs this soft Knicks defense. (2-4% projected ownership via Fantasy Labs)

Also Consider:  Jarell Martin/Brandan Wright (if Marc Gasol is out), Tim Hardaway Jr., Marcus Smart, J.J. Barea/Yogi Ferrell (both in play if Dennis Smith Jr. is out), Harrison Barnes, Jonathon Simmons, Jakob Poeltl/Pascal Siakam (Ibaka and Valancuinas are both out. Both of these bigs are decent values, that would become even stronger if Lucas Nogueria was also ruled out), Trevor Ariza, Jarret Jack, Dejounte Murray, Rodney Hood, Jeff Teague, Steven Adams, Pau Gaol, Enes Kanter, and Ryan Anderson.

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