Welcome back everyone. Alex here, and these are my DraftKings NBA Playoff Picks for April 14th. For the second slate of the playoffs, we get another four games to attack. As always, if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Also, I recommend following me, because if anything changes with these plays below or if any injury news effects the slate, I try to address the situations I find important before tip off. @Hunta512.
PG: Russell Westbrook: (10,300)
All the studs of this playoff slate come with discounted price tags, but Westbrook is the best value of the group, competing in the highest O/U game total of the slate. This matchup between OKC and Portland has the highest O/U game total by six points (225 points) and it also presents the smallest spread of Sunday’s four games. (POR -3) In the 40 Thunder games this season that have come with a game total of 225 points or more, Westbrook has been a monster. (60.36 DK PPG)
Also, he has done great vs this Portland team across four meetings (58 DK PPG) and closed the regular season with three straight triple doubles. (64.25 DK PPG) The former MVP has an excellent chance of notching another on Sunday and I am expecting nothing less than 60 DK points from RW0.
PG: Damian Lillard: (8,400)
Opposite of Westbrook, Lillard is another prime value to attack in this slate high total. This is a $900 price cut since his last game and Dame Dollah has been a stud vs The Thunder this season. (57.3 DK PPG in four meetings)
Furthermore, he will be at home, where he has had a slight advantage this year (1.7 more DK PPG) and OKC is the second fastest team in basketball, compared to Portland, who ranks 16th in pace. Lillard has averaged 45.21 DK PPG in game totals of at least 225 points and has exceeded expectations by 2.69 when playing up in pace this season. He is an extremely strong combination of safety and upside at only $8,400.
SG/SF: Jaylen Brown: (4,400)
Brown or Gordon Hayward (below) will draw start in place of Marcus Smart (out, oblique) for game one, but either way, Brown is line for 30+ minutes of work vs The Pacers. He scores 0.9 DK PPM and is supplying 24.4 DK PPG in the 15 contests he has surpassed 30 minutes this season.
Indiana is tough on wing players, but The Celtics desperately need Brown with Smart sidelined and he hasn’t disappointed in this matchup this season. (28.8 DK PPG and 29 MPG in three meetings) With an expanded role, JB has a floor of around 20 DK points with a ceiling above 30 and is one of the strongest values of this four game slate.
C: Rudy Gobert: (7,700)
Gobert was priced at a season high $9,000 just a week ago and this is just a comical price for how well he has been playing. He has scored over 40 DK points in nine consecutive games (46.1 DK PPG in L9) and has recorded ten straight doubles doubles. Gobert’s numbers vs The Rockets aren’t appealing (31.5 DK PPG), but only one of these four meetings between the two clubs was decided by less than ten points.
In result, he only saw 24.2 MPG across those four games, but Gobert should absolutely play close to 35 minutes in this first tilt of the playoffs. (HOU -6.5) This Rocket’s defense has allowed the 3rd most points in the paint this year and Gobert is a near lock for a double double of 40+ DK points.
SF/PF: Giannis Antetokounmpo: (10,400)
This is the cheapest Giannis has been all season. His price has dropped $1,200 since his last game and he could easily provide over six times value at this low of a cost.
He is averaging 60.4 DK PPG in his last ten starts and scores 58.3 DK PPG at home this season. I prefer Westbrook in the better game environment (MIL -12.5), but The Greak Freak should also provide value.
SF/PF: Paul George: (9,200)
George missed the final game of the regular season with a sore shoulder and is listed as questionable, but this is the playoffs and I highly doubt he sits out game one vs The Blazers.
He has given this Portland defense fits this season (67.6 DK PPG in four meetings) and has been solid as of late. (48.8 DK PPG in L9) This is an extremely friendly price for him and PG13 is rating as a very strong high end value, that could be under owned, due to the questionable tag.
C: Andre Drummond: (8,800)
He will be on the road (-7.7 DK PPG this season) and has been awful vs The Bucks (33.3 DK PPG in four meetings), but if Blake Griffin (questionable, knee) is forced to sit, Drummond will have to be considered. (52.36 DK PPG in seven W/O Griffin)
PG: Kyrie Irving: (8,100)
This is an absurd price for Irving at home. He scores 47.4 DK PPG at the Garden this season, which would be a 5.85 value return at his salary for Sunday.
Just two weeks ago, Uncle Drew scored 47 DK points vs this Pacers’ defense in a win and he is a safe bet for 40+ DK points.
PG: Chris Paul: (6,900)
Before getting hurt in the WCF last year and missing game seven of that series vs The Warriors, Paul was outstanding in The Rocket’s postseason run. (41 DK PPG in 13 games) He knows this is one of his final legitimate shots of winning a title and I am expecting another huge playoffs from CP3.
To start things off, we get him at only $6,900, which is the cheapest Paul has been in nine games. In his last six, he is averaging 40.7 DK PPG. With this game expected to be competitive throughout, Paul should produce five to seven times value.
C: Enes Kanter: (6,600)
Kanter has really been putting it together as The Blazers’ starting center (41.6 DK PPG in L6) and playing up in pace vs The Thunder always benefits opposing big men.
They will need his size to matchup with Steven Adams and in 30+ minutes, Kanter should generate a double double of 35+ DK points.
PF/C: Al Horford: (6,500)
Horford was huge for The Celtics last season in the playoffs (35.83 DK PPG in 15 games) and has been awesome in his past eight. (39.2 DK PPG)
He is always a better option at home (4.3 more DK PPG this season) and Horford should start the first round with a 35-40 DK point performance.
PG/SG: C.J. McCollum: (5,800)
McCollum (knee) won’t have a minutes limit in game one and he should produce close to his home average (34.3 DK PPG) vs The Thunder.
SF/PF: Gordon Hayward: (5,200)
After a rollercoaster of a season, Hayward was playing excellent basketball to end the year (30.2 DK PPG in L8) and has been very vocal about how he is ready for his first playoff run as a Celtic. Just this past Friday, in a huge road blowout win over the same Pacers he will face on Sunday, Hayward went 9/9 from the field and scored 30.5 DK points in only 26 minutes.
This was his fourth matchup of the year against Indy and he contributed 25.3 DK PPG vs the club this season. Starter or not, Hayward will log 30+ minutes with Smart out of the lineup and should achieve five times value.
SF/PF: Al-Farouq Aminu: (4,700)
Aminu is tough to predict, but has done very well vs The Thunder this season. (29.1 DK PPG in four meetings)
The Blazer only played four games, but in last year’s playoffs, Aminu was second on the team in DK PPG (33.94 DK PPG) and has 30+ DK point upside in this higher total.
C: Aaron Baynes: (4,200)
Baynes always presents a low floor, but he has been The Pacers’ kryptonite in their last two tilts vs Boston. (35.75 DK PPG)
Plus, when Smart has been off the floor, the big man has received a team high 1.4% usage increase. He’s hard to trust, but Baynes is a sneaky play that could surprise.
SF/PF: P.J. Tucker: (3,400)
Tucker never brings upside, but he should play 35+ minutes throughout the playoffs. Last year, with Trevor Ariza still in Houston, Tucker logged 32.9 MPG and scored 21.55 DK PPG during the postseason.
He is averaging 21.6 DK PPG at home this season and is an okay punt that could grind out 20 DK points.
SG/SF: Bruce Brown Jr.: (2,900)
For the playoffs, DraftKings puts some players under $3,000 and Brown is one of the only choices in this range that is guaranteed to see the playing time. He starts at SF for The Pistons and has logged 21.75 MPG and scored 15.43 DK PPG in his last four.
His ceiling is capped at around 20 DK points, but if you are trying to squeeze in multiple studs, Brown is viable.
*Please note some of these stats are from FantasyLabs.com