Welcome back everyone. Alex here, and these are my DraftKings NBA Playoff Picks for April 16th. For Tuesday night, we get a solid three game slate to attack. As always, if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Also, I recommend following me, because if anything changes with these plays below or if any injury news effects the slate, I try to address the situations I find important before tip off. @Hunta512.
C: Nikola Jokic: (9,200)
After dropping game one to The Spurs, Jokic and The Nuggets have to win tonight if they want any shot of moving on to the second round. Even though it resulted in a loss, Jokic was productive in his playoff debut on Saturday (53.5 DK points in 36 minutes) and his price has only increased $200 since this triple double.
He will be at home again, which is huge news for The Joker (6.4 more DK PPG this season) and with so much on the line, I am expecting the big man to approach 40 minutes in game two. He is averaging 53.4 DK PPG in his last five home games and we can except nothing less than 50 DK points from Jokic tonight.
C: Enes Kanter: (7,000)
As I talked about in Sunday’s picks, Kanter has really been fitting in well as The Blazers’ starting center with Jusuf Nurkic (leg) out and Sunday, he was excellent in the game one win over The Thunder. (52 DK points in 34.2 minutes) Kanter is now contributing an outstanding 42.96 DK PPG in his last seven, which is an average that includes five games over 40 DK points.
The Thunder and their fast pace (2nd in pace and a 3.7 possession increase for POR) always creates a plus matchup for centers (1.72 opponent +/-) and Kanter is just mis priced at only $7,000. He should easily provide five times value and is the best point per dollar value of Tuesday night.
SG/SF: Will Barton: (4,700)
In these last two games, which have obviously both been very important, The Nuggets have relied on Barton more than ever. He has logged 32.27 MPG and supplied 33.13 DK PPG in these last two, compared to the 13.3 DK PPG and 22.77 MPG he was producing in his previous five. HC Mike Malone should continue to run out a very tight rotation and I am expecting 30+ minutes for Barton again on Tuesday.
He scores 0.86 DK PPM this season and 31.27 DK PPG in the last 12 he has received at least 30 minutes of work. Barton and Gary Harris (below) are both immense values from The Nuggets and I am very comfortable with utilizing both wings in the same lineup.
PF/C: Pascal Siakam: (7,100)
The Raptors also lost game one of their series on their home floor and are in a must win situation tonight vs The Magic. In his first ever playoff game, Siakiam was asked to log 42.19 minutes in Saturday’s shocking loss. The extra playing time obviously turned into a strong DK score (46.75 DK points) and Siakam should have to play 40+ minutes again, barring foul trouble.
He has produced 1.13 DK PPM over the last month and with a projection of 40 minutes, which could be modest, considering Toronto can’t afford to lose this game, Siakam should smash value at his current salary.
PG: Russell Westbrook: (10,300)
If you haven’t noticed yet, I like targeting players tonight that are trying to avoid going down two games to none in their series. Westbrook did his job in game one and posted a triple double (54 DK points) and should absolutely notch another one in game two.
He has been outstanding recently (61.6 DK PPG in L9) and with this contest having the highest total of the night (233 points) and smallest spread (POR -1), Westbrook is a very tough player to avoid.
SF/PF: Paul George: (9,000)
George recorded 48 DK points in game one, is scoring 50.2 DK PPG in his last six and a robust 63.7 DK PPG vs The Blazers this season.
Jokic and Westbrook are the better targets, but PG13 is certainly viable at this price, especially for GPPs, where he might get slightly overlooked.
PG: Damian Lillard: (8,700)
Lillard is a lock for 45+ DK points tonight.
He is averaging 46.1 DK PPG in his last three, 55.2 DK PPG vs The Thunder and 48 DK PPG when the spread is under five and the game total is above 230 points.
SF/PF: Kawhi Leonard: (8,100)
Leonard was a letdown in game one (36.5 DK points in 33 minutes), but we should expect a much better showing in game two. The Raptors can’t lose another game at home and Leonard should see closer to 40 minutes in this pivotal contest. Kyle Lowry’s scoreless game one got all the headlines, but if The Raptors somehow lose again tonight, all the blame will be on Leonard.
He is averaging 44.7 DK PPG at home and should eclipse 40 DK points in this crucial situation,
PG/SG: C.J. McCollum: (6,400)
The Blazers stayed true to saying McCollum wouldn’t have a minutes limit in game one and the 37 minutes resulted in 36 DK points vs The Thunder. He scores 2.0 more DK PPG at home this season and with this game having a very small spread of only one point, McCollum should play 35-40 minutes again.
In the five home games this season that have come with a spread under five and a total of 230 points or higher, McCollum has been awesome. (40.4 DK PPG)
PG/SG: Jamal Murray: (6,300)
Murray was a slight disappointment in game one (30.5 DK points), but should improve this evening.
This matchup vs The Spurs is great for PGs (1.84 opponent +/-) and prior to Saturday, Murray had scored over 40 DK points in each of his three previous meetings with San Antonio. (43.3 DK PPG)
C: Marc Gasol: (5,400)
For cash games, I think building around Kanter and Jokic is the best choice, but for GPPs, I like pivoting to cheaper at options at the position, like Gasol.
He played 31.57 minutes in game one (27.5 DK points) and if Gasol sees 30+ minutes again, which he should, we could see him return over six times value. (34.64 DK PPG in L7 with 30+ minutes)
PG/SG: Derick White: (5,000)
White never seems to get the minutes he deserves (27.45 in game one), but this is still too low of asking price for him.
He scored 27.25 DK points in game one and is producing 26.9 DK PPG in his past four.
Al-Farouq Aminu: (4,800)
Aminu saw a high 35.1 minutes in game one (23.75 DK points) and this type of playing time usually results in success for him.
He is averaging 28.1 DK PPG and 33.5 MPG vs The Thunder in five matchups this season and 30.3 DK PPG in his last four with at least 30 minutes.
SG: Gary Harris: (4,500)
Harris’ price went up $600 from his great game one showing (27.75 DK points), but he remains underpriced for tonight. He has logged 37.51 MPG in these last two and should have to play close to 40 minutes again in this very important game two.
In the six games he has been projected for 35+ minutes this season, Harris has supplied 27.1 DK PPG.
PG/SG: Patty Mills: (3,400)
Mills is the best full punt of this three game slate. He only scored 13 DK points in game one, but played 21.1 minutes. Before this, he had scored 19 DK PPG in his previous 14 with 20+ minutes.
The matchup isn’t ideal (DEN is a 0.14 opponent +/-), but Mills has a shot of 20+ DK points.
*Please note some of these stats are from FantasyLabs.com