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DraftKings NBA Playoff Picks – April 17th


Welcome back everyone. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA Playoff picks for April 17th, 2018. For Tuesday night, we get three playoff games to target. Be sure to follow all of the injury news tonight, all the way up until the 7:00PM EST lock, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. @Hunta512.

Top Pick:

PG: John Wall: (9,100)

Wall is arguably playing his best basketball of the season right now. He is averaging 63 DK PPG in his last three, which includes two road games, which is a great sign, as Wall has never been the best road player throughout his career. He has averaged a team high 32.2% usage rate in these last three games, which is 3.3% increase from his season average. He also has been a great distributor, throwing double digit assists in each of these games. Lastly, he has been a pest on the defensive end, averaging 3.3 steals per game. He is scoring an awesome 1.7 DK PPM right now and with The Wizards down 0-1 in this series, Wall should come out and have another big game.

I am expecting him to produce at least five times value and so does Vegas, with him currently having a Vegas prop score of 47.25 DK points (via Fantasy Labs), which would be a 5.2 value return at his current salary. He should be priced close or over $10,000 for game three and I think we must attack Wall tonight, while his price is still reasonable.

Value Picks:

PG: Rajon Rondo: (7,100)

His price went up $400, but I still believe Rondo is a strong value play at $7,100. As I expected, he came out and was huge for The Pelicans in their game one win, scoring six points, while also chipping in with a game high 17 assists, eight rebounds, and a steal. (42.5 DK points) He was out there to close the game and he played 39 minutes on Saturday, which is the most playing time he has seen in over a month. This Pelicans team may be on the top of the world after stealing game one, but there is no chance Rondo is satisfied. He has been here before and I am positive he will come out with the same intensity tonight. He easily could have a double double on Sunday and I think we see at least a double double tonight, with the possibility of a triple double from the vet.

He is scoring 1.06 DK PPM this season and with roughly 40 minutes, in this game that should be very competitive again (-6 POR), Rondo should score 40+ DK points, even if the matchup doesn’t rate in his favor. (1.14 opponent +/-) Even after his excellent game on Sunday night, it still looks like most people will be slightly scared off by his higher price tag, with Fantasy Labs only projecting him with an ownership level of 13-16%, which is decently low for a three game slate. Either way, high owned or not, I will be riding Playoff Rondo once again tonight.

SF/PF: Jayson Tatum: (6,300)

With The Celtics lacking wing players off their bench, outside of Marcus Morris, they went with a tighter rotation in game one, bringing Tatum up to 39.01 regulation minutes in his first ever playoff game. He showed no signs of nerves in anyway, putting up a double double of 19 points and ten rebounds, along with four assists, three steals, and a block in the win. (45 DK points) The 39 regulation minutes he played was the most minutes he has logged in 12 games. He is averaging 0.87 DK PPM this season and I am expecting him to play heavy minutes again tonight, with this game having a small spread of only two points.

Plus, if The Celtics elect to play mostly small ball once again, with starting center Aaron Baynes playing a smaller role (14.3 minutes in game one), Tatum will see more time as a PF, naturally helping his rebounding, as we saw in game one. He has a Vegas prop score of 31.25 DK points (via Fantasy Labs) and I think we see the rookie excel and exceed five times value again on Tuesday night. He is a viable play in all formats.

PF: Nikola Mirotic: (7,600)

No beard Mirotic continued his improved play on Ssaturday night, scoring 49.25 DK points in the game one win. He is now averaging 51.8 DK PPG and 36.4 MPG in his last five starts, and has managed a double double in four of those games. He is scoring an elite 1.42 DK PPM during this span and if this game stays close, as it should, Mirotic should log 35-40 minutes and score 40+ DK points for the sixth straight game.

Very much like with Rondo, his price has gone up and this is actually the highest Mirotic has been priced all season, but the upside is just too strong ignore right now if you ask me. I will be using Mirotic with full confidence in both cash games and GPPs on Tuesday night.

Also Consider:

Anthony Davis: He isn’t a must play, but AD is top overall play of the slate. He scored 66 DK points in game one and he has a Vegas prop score of 58.8 DK points. (via Fantasy Labs)

Damian Lillard: This is a must win for The Blazers and this is the best matchup a PG could ask for in this slate, with The Pelicans being the fastest team in the league and sitting at a current opponent +/- of 5.38 points. We should see a 50-60 DK points from Dame Dolla.

Jrue Holiday: 37.75 DK points in 39 minutes in the win on Saturday. He was huge for them at the end on defense and he has an excellent Vegas prop score of 41.12 DK points. (via Fantasy Labs)

Jaylen Brown: His minutes also went way up in game one. He logged 40.36 regulation minutes on Sunday, which is the most minutes he has played all season. If he sees this kind of time again, Brown will get us five to six times value.

Markieff Morris: 46.75 DK points in 37.57 minutes on Sunday. He is simply too cheap considering he should play similar minutes tonight.

Malcolm Brogdon: After being very limited in his first two games back, he played 32.26 minutes in the overtime loss on Sunday. We can’t expect another overtime game, but he should log close to 25 minutes off the bench and score 20+ DK points.

Mike Scott: 16.75 DK points in 26.57 minutes in game one. Lacks upside, but has a chance of getting 20+ with this type of playing time.

Evan Turner: 24.25 DK points and 30.13 minutes on Saturday. He should play similar minutes if Mo Harkless is out. Harkless has been upgraded to questionable. If he plays, I wouldn’t consider Turner.

Ian Clark: 24.42 minutes and 16.75 DK points. Viable punt at only $3,500.

Serge Ibaka: 46 DK points on Saturday and has scored 30+ in seven of his last eight games.

Al Horford: I am not expecting another 50+ game, but Horford should top 40 DK points. He played 39 minutes Sunday and this matchup is awesome vs The Bucks.
PLAY THIS LINEUP

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