DraftKings NBA Playoff Picks – April 19th

What’s up everybody. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA picks for April 18th, 2017. This playoff slate is a smaller slate with only three games to attack. Be sure to still follow all the injury news up until the 7:00 PM EST lock, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. @Hunta512.

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Top Pick:

PF/C: Draymond Green: (7,500) Green played a remarkable game on Sunday, scoring 19 points, 12 rebounds, nine assists, five blocks, and three steals in 37 minutes in The Warriors game one win over The Blazers. (66 DK points) This performance was reminder of how important Green is to this team’s success and that he is player who plays well in the biggest moments. Over the last three seasons, Green is averaging a great 40.2 DK points a game, in the playoffs. There is always going to a blowout risk when The Warriors play at home, and even though tonight’s 13 point spread is large, Green has done fine in similar situations this season, averaging 37 DK points in the 34 home games The Warriors have been the favored by ten or more points this season.

I think this game should remain close enough throughout that he should have to play close to 35 minutes, which is plenty of time for him to meet value (1.16 DK points per minute), against this Blazers defense that has given up the second most DK points to PFs this season. (1.31 opponent +/-)  If SF Kevin Durant misses this game (questionable, calf), Green would be relied on more offensively, with him seeing a 1.5% usage bump when Durant has been off the court this season. He was a steal at $6,900 on Sunday, but Green is still a good value at $7,500, and is one of the players I will have the most exposure to Wednesday night.

Value Picks:

SG/SF: Evan Turner: (4,800) Blazer Head Coach Terry Stotts was obviously pleased with the way Turner played in the final two games of the regular season, by giving him the start at SF for Sundays game vs The Warriors. Even though The Blazers didn’t win this game, Turner was great as a starter, showing The Blazers that maybe they didn’t make a mistake signing him this past off season, with him putting a nice stat line of 12 points, ten rebounds, four assists, and a steal in 36 minutes. (34.5 DK points)

I know it was only one game, but in this contest Turner scored 0.89 DK points per minute, which is a slight increase from his 0.77 DK point per minute average for the regular season. After playing well on Sunday and with center Jusuf Nurlkic remaining out (leg), Turner should start again and play 30-35 minutes and score 25-30 DK points tonight in game two. Durant’s status also is something to watch for Turner, because he would have an easier matchup and less of a burden on the defensive end if the star SF was ruled out.

SG: Andre Iguodala: (4,300) Iguodala was a disappointment on Sunday (11.5 DK points), but I think we need to ignore this because he is just simply under priced for the amount of minutes he should play off the bench. In game one he logged 32.7 minutes and he is now averaging 30.6 minutes over his last 39 playoff games with The Warriors. He is averaging 0.78 DK points per minute this season and with a projection of 30 minutes, he should be able to produce value at his current salary.

He may not be the flashiest player, but Iguodala is very important to this team, and there is no doubt in my mind he will be much more involved tonight, after only taking a single shot in game one. He would also have to play a bigger role if Durant was ruled out, with him scoring 28.65 DK points per 36 minutes with Durant off the floor this year. SF Matt Barnes is also questionable with a foot injury after missing Sundays’ game and both wing players were confirmed out, Iguodala would have to play a ton of minutes assuming this game stays decently close. (26.75 DK points in the one full game both Durant and Barnes missed this season) Even if both of these players end up suiting up, Iguodala is still a great value that can be targeted in all formats tonight.

C: Nene: (3,900) The veteran stepped in The Rockets game one win over The Thunder, scoring 23.25 DK points in only 19 minutes off the bench. It is the same story that it has been all year with Nene, as DraftKings keeps his price very low even though he is a very productive fantasy player. For the year he is scoring 1.04 DK points per minute, and he has now returned at least five times value in nine of his last 15 games.

He should put up 20+ DK points again, with this Thunder defense currently presenting an opponent +/- of 1.32 points to opposing centers. His upside is limited, but Nene is a cheap value I have relied on all season and I am going to continue to ride him tonight at this cheap $3,900 salary.

Also Consider: Marcin Gortat, Markieff Morris, Tim Hardaway Jr., Taurean Prince, David West, Matt Barnes (if he is active and Durant is out), Patrick McCaw (nice value if he is starting with Durant out), Shaun Livingston (if he is active), Ian Clark, Enes Kanter, Mike Muscala, Patrick Beverly, and Andre Roberson.

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