Welcome back everyone. Alex here, and these are my DraftKings NBA Playoff Picks for April 23rd. For Tuesday night, we get a nice four playoff game slate to attack. As always, if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter. Also, I recommend following me, because if anything changes with these plays below or if any injury news effects the slate, I try to address the situations I find important before tip off. @Hunta512.
C: Nikola Jokic: (9,400)
Trailing two games to one, The Nuggets needed to win game four on Saturday. Jokic usually has a tough time on the road, but he stepped when his team need him most, leading The Nuggets to a 117-103 win in game four, behind 58 DK points. This was a massive victory for them, as they now have home court advantage again, with the series all tied up at two games apiece.
Tonight, Jokic and company will be back at home for game five, which is huge news for the big man. (6.4 more DK PPG this season) They can’t afford to lose any more home games in this series and we should see a huge night from The Joker, possibly with a triple double. (53.5 DK PPG in L6 at home)
SG/SF: Caris LeVert: (5,900)
Following an excellent showing in game three (44.25 DK points in 27.46 minutes), HC Kenny Atkinson said he wanted LeVert to see more action and eventually inserted him into the starting lineup for game four. The Nets lost this game, but Atkinson stayed true to his word, with LeVert logging a season high 42 minutes, which resulted in 42.25 DK points. He was easily one of the best players on the court in this contest and should remain a starter for game five, which is an elimination game for The Nets. (down 1-3)
All of Brooklyn’s starters should see very high minutes in this must win and I am expecting LeVert to log 40+ minutes, barring foul trouble or an injury. He has scored an efficient 1.16 DK PPM over the last month and this matchup vs The Sixers has the highest O/U game total of Tuesday’s four game slate. (229.5 points) Even though his price has risen $400 since game three, LeVert is a tremendous value, that simply can’t be avoided.
SG/SF: Torrey Craig: (3,400)
With Will Barton really struggling, HC Mike Malone opted to start Craig at SF and it turned out to be a very smart move. Denver won this road game (117-103) and in 37 minutes of action, Craig produced a near double double of 36.5 DK points. Now, for game five, Craig should remain in the starting five after his efforts on Saturday and play 30+ minutes.
It’s hard to expect another DK score as high as game three (0.79 DK PPM over the last month), but this type of workload for a player this cheap is unheard of in these small playoff slates. In the 12 contests Craig has exceeded 30 minutes this season, he is supplying 27 DK PPG. At his current price point, this would be a 7.9 value return.
C: Enes Kanter: (6,100)
With 30.5 minutes, Kanter was solid in the game four win over The Thunder. (30 DK points) His price has dropped in each of the last three games and if Kanter sees 30 minutes again, he should end the night as one of the best values.
He has generated 1.23 DK PPM this season and with a 30 minute projection, Kanter should get us a double double of 35+ DK points, with obvious upside. (52 DK points in game one) His floor isn’t the safest, but at this low of a price, Kanter has to be considered.
PG: Russell Westbrook: (10,200)
I, for one, was shocked at the mediocre showing Westbrook had at home in game four (35.25 DK points in 40.1 minutes), but there is no doubt in my mind he will rebound with a better outing in game five, with The Thunder on the brink of elimination. (down 1-3)
He should see all the minutes he can handle and prior to Saturday’s let down, Westbrook was scoring 60.6 DK PPG in his previous 11. He and Damian Lillard can’t stand each other right now and even though there is a very slim chance OKC can win this series, Westbrook isn’t going down without a fight and I would be shocked if we saw anything less than 50 DK points from him on Tuesday.
C: Joel Embiid: (10,000)
After being listed as doubtful, Embiid suited up for game four and was magnificent in the win over The Nets. (77 DK points in 31 minutes)
Missing game three gave him some much needed rest and if Embiid can play around 30 minutes again tonight, he should embarrass this Nets’ defense for the second straight tilt. (4.38 opponent +/-)
PG: Damian Lillard: (8,800)
Lillard has been outstanding vs this Thunder club all season (52.6 DK PPG in eight meetings) and shouldn’t disappoint in this close out game at home.
His price has been cut $400 since Saturday and at this current salary, he needs 44 DK points to meet five times value, which is certainly obtainable. (45 DK PPG in L11)
SF/PF: Kawhi Leonard: (8,300)
On Sunday, Leonard was awesome in the game four win vs The Magic. (53 DK points)
Now, with a chance to close out this Orlando club and possibly gain some extra rest, I think The Klaw should exceed five times value and possibly have another 50+ DK point night.
PF/C: Pascal Siakam: (7,500)
Siakam had a down game by his recent standards on Sunday (28.5 DK points), but should get back on track at home.
Prior to game four, he was producing 44.7 DK PPG in the first three contests of this series.
PG/SG: C.J. McCollum: (7,300)
In this series vs The Thunder, McCollum has arguably been playing his best basketball of the season. (43.9 DK PPG in L4)
His salary for game five doesn’t reflect this in anyway and he is rating as one of the strongest values on the board, particularly with this contest being at home. (1.9 more DK PPG this season)
SF/PF: Tobias Harris: (6,800)
On Saturday, Harris played a whopping 43.26 minutes in the game four win. The extra playing time obviously translated to fantasy success (47 DK points) and now, in this close out situation, Harris should be asked to play close to 40 minutes again.
He has been great in the past two games of this series (52.75 DK PPG) and is clearly underpriced.
C: Jarrett Allen: (5,400)
If Ed Davis (questionable, ankle) is unable to suit up tonight, Allen should play heavy minutes to matchup with Embiid.
On Saturday, with Davis missing and Embiid back in the lineup for Philly, Allen saw 31.6 minutes (40 DK points), which is the most playing time he has seen in 26 games.
SG: Gary Harris: (5,100)
Harris is a solid mid-tier target at only $5,100.
So far in this series, he is scoring 27.8 DK PPG.
SF/PF: Al-Farouq Aminu: (4,700)
Aminu was very effective in the game four win on Saturday, with a near double double (19/9 and 36.25 DK points in 30.12 minutes) and should see similar minutes in tonight’s possible series clincher.
In eight matchups with The Thunder this year, Aminu is averaging 27.8 DK PPG.
SF/PF: Moe Harkless: (4,600)
I prefer Aminu’s floor and cieling, but Harkless is also a fine option.
He excelled in game four (39 DK points in 33.4 minutes) and this was his second game of 25+ DK points in this series.
C: Jakob Poeltl: (4,100)
If you don’t want to embrace Kanter’s unpredictability, dropping down to Poeltl is a fine alternative.
HC Greg Popovich has been more committed to him in these last two (24.75 DK PPG and 29.8 MPG) and if this continues, Poeltl should provide five to six times value. (0.97 DK PPM this season)
PG/SG: Bryn Forbes: (3,900)
Forbes has been a decent punt in the first round (19.1 DK PPG) and is projected for 29 minutes. (29.4 MPG in L4)
Outside of Craig, who is an anomaly, no other player under $4,000 is guaranteed for 25+ minutes.
*Please note some of these stats are from FantasyLabs.com