What’s up everybody. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA sleeper picks for December 12th, 2016. Monday’s slate is a decent slate with seven games to attack. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 7:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter Hunta512.
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PF/C: Ed Davis: (3,600) In Saturday’s post I speculated that Davis could enter the starting lineup after his productive night last Thursday. Davis did indeed get the start Saturday night over Meyers Leonard, and he scored 26.5 DK points in 34 minutes vs The Pacers. With Al-Farouq Aminu already ruled out again tonight, Davis should remain in the starting PF position tonight vs The Clippers. (7th vs PFs)
The Clippers are one of the better defenses in the league this season, but he should be able to produce if he sees playing time like he did on Saturday night. Davis should play 25-30 minutes again tonight and score 20+ DK points with his starting role. In these past two games he has been a different player producing 1.05 DK points per minute. He should easily return value at his cheap $3,600 price tag and he is one of my favorite values of this seven game slate.
PG/SG: Rodney Stuckey: (3,600) Tonight The Pacers will be without starting SG Monta Ellis who is dealing with a strained right groin. Glenn Robinson III is expected to start tonight, but I think Stuckey is the player who should benefit the most with Ellis sidelined. He has been much more effective as The Pacers six man lately, averaging 19.25 DK points over his last three games. He only averages 21 minutes a game this year, but should play closer to 30 minutes tonight with Ellis out.
This is a matchup that he could expose The Hornets’ weakness of ranking 21st vs SGs this season with an opponent +/- of 2.05. There is not much data or stats this season, but last year with Ellis off the floor, Stuckey posted a solid 22.8% usage rate. C.J. Miles should also benefit tonight (2.8% usage bump last season), but if choosing between the two bench players, I would side with Stuckey who contributes in more areas than just scoring. Both players should still come off the bench tonight, but if either were inserted into the starting lineup, I would have to side with the player starting, with both having very similar price tags.
PG: Patrick Beverly: (4,900) Beverly has been on a tear in his last three games, averaging 34.3 DK points a night. Tonight he gets a dream matchup against The Nets who are 23rd vs PGs this season and play at the fastest pace in the NBA. Beverly is a great defender and this is the perfect spot for him to rack up multiple steals against this Nets team that averages 16.9 turnovers a game this season. (3rd most) This Rockets-Nets game has the highest total of the slate at 229 points which is almost ten whole points higher than the second highest total.
You are going to need some exposure to this game and outside of the obvious play of James Harden, Beverly is my favorite play. He is underpriced for his recent production and just an average game, of say, 25 DK points would still put his production over five times value. Beverly has upside in this matchup and is a great value at his $4,900 price tag.
Also Consider: Deron Williams, C.J. Miles (above), Greg Monroe, Kelly Oubre, Eric Gordon, Myles Turner, Frank Kaminsky, Dorian Finney-Smith, Sam Dekker, Jamal Crawford (Austin Rivers is out), and Marcin Gortat.