What’s going on everyone. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA sleeper picks for December 13th, 2016. Tuesday’s slate is a solid slate with seven games on tap. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 7:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter Hunta512.
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PF: Jarell Martin: (3,000) Starting center Marc Gasol will be rested for tonight’s vs The Cavs. Gasol is the key to this team and, without him, there is a ton of minutes and usage to go around to this roster. PF Zach Randolph is expected to start in his place and will see the biggest bump in usage, but his minutes are in serious risk with The Grizzlies being 14.5 point road underdogs to The Cavs. Tonight Martin will be the primary big off the bench and should see more minutes than he is used to, especially, if this game becomes blow out.
Just this last Saturday with Gasol playing, The Grizzlies lost by 21 points to The Warriors which lead to more playing time for Martin. He took full advantage of the opportunity scoring 25.75 DK points in only 17 minutes of action. Tonight with Gasol resting Martin should see at least 20 minutes depending on how this game turns out. Also with Randolph out of the second unit there is plenty of usage to go around to this second unit. He should score around 20 DK points with decent upside at a bare minimum price of $3,000. Martin is an elite value play and is a player I will be locking in to most of my lineups on Tuesday night.
PG/SG: Leandro Barbosa: (3,300) Surprisingly, The Suns have been relying on the 34 year old guard to be their six man for the past week. He is now averaging 23.3 DK points in 23.7 minutes over his last four games. In this stretch, he has posted a 23.8% usage rate and a 9.4% assist percentage averaging .98 DK points per minute off the bench. I expect the trend to continue tonight and he should see roughly 20-25 minutes vs The Knicks, who rank 12th vs SGs this season.
He is a risky play because he has to regress at some point, but if he can get 20+ DK points he could potentially be one of the best values at SG tonight on a DK point per dollar basis. His minutes are also seem very safe with T.J. Warren not expected to make his return this evening. I don’t think Barbosa will be highly owned at all and he is a nice GPP flier at an ugly SG position tonight.
C: Enes Kanter: (4,400) After SG Victor Oladipo exited Sunday’s game with a wrist injury, Kanter stepped up in the guard’s absence scoring 28.5 DK points in 25 minutes. With Oladipo out, there really isn’t anyone who can score in this backcourt besides Russell Westbrook, which lead to Head Coach Billy Donovan giving his bigs more minutes and offensive responsibilities. This season, when Oladipo is off the court, Kanter sees his usage rise 2.9% to a high 29% which is second on the team only to Westrbrook. Tonight he should play 20-25 minutes in one of the best game environments of the slate.
This Thunder-Blazers game has a high total of 219 points with a tight spread of three points. Kanter will always produce if he sees the minutes, averaging an elite 1.21 DK points per minute this season. With the slight bump in minutes expected tonight, he should easily return five to six times value in this high scoring game. This isn’t the best matchup vs The Blazers who rank 9th vs centers, but the matchup doesn’t scare me off Kanter at his current price. He doesn’t have the safest floor but his ceiling makes him worth the risk at a very affordable $4,400 tonight.
Also Consider: Steve Adams (his usage increased 4% last game with no Oladipo), Troy Daniels (will also soak up a lot of usage with Randolph moving to the starting lineup), Zach Randolph (risky with blow out concerns, but will easily hit value if he sees close to 30 mins), Semaj Christon, Jerian Grant (Rondo is out), P.J. Tucker, Robin Lopez, Deandre Liggins (starting for Irving, risky but only $3,000), Anthony Morrow, Iman Shumpert/J.R. Smith (Kyire Irving is out),Tyson Chandler, and Elfrid Payton.