What’s up everyone. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA sleeper picks for December 26th, 2016. Tonight we get a full slate with 11 games on tap. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 7:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter Hunta512.
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SF/PF: Nikola Mirotic: (3,900) Mirotic is starting to find his shot from outside and has now scored double digits in four straight games averaging 26.5 DK points in this span. He has been more aggressive in these games with a 22% usage rate which is a slight jump from his 19.9% season average. He is coming off one of his better games of the season, scoring 29.25 DK points vs The Spurs in a high 32 minutes off the bench. Tonight he takes on The Pacers who have struggled this season defending PFs, giving up the 4th most DK points to the position.
Their second unit has been especially weak with an opponent +/- of 3.55, which is the highest of this slate for all eligible SFs. His multiple position eligibility makes him very valuable tonight, with no clear values or top plays at SF, especially with the chance of LeBron James resting. Right now Fantasy Labs projects him with a 0-1% ownership which is crazy when considering how cheap he is. At $3,900 he is currently the best value at a weak SF position and is a necessary play, if trying to fit in multiple studs tonight.
PG: Shabazz Napier: (3,000) Starting PG Damian Lillard is listed as doubtful for tonight’s game vs The Raptors with a sprained ankle. C.J. McCollum will take over this offense, but Napier should draw the start at PG in place of Lillard. The third year man out of Connecticut has been effective when Lillard has been off the court this season, posting a 24.6% usage rate, with a 4.7 DK points +/-. He has just recently started being used more off the bench, averaging 13.5 DK points, in an average of 15 minutes over his last three games.
In a starting role he should play close to 30 minutes tonight vs The Raptors who give up the 12th most DK points to PGs. This season he is averaging just over 1.0 DK point per minute and with the added usage and minutes 25 DK points is a fair expectation. At $3,000 he will most likely be a popular play, but is a core play for me regardless of ownership on Monday night.
PG: Ty Lawson: (4,000) Even though he comes off the bench Lawson has been The Kings main PG over the last week. Over the past four games, Lawson is averaging 28 minutes a game compared to starting PG Darren Collison’s 22 minutes a night. Lawson has been a rejuvenated player and his great play off the bench has helped this Kings team win three straight over some respectable teams in The Jazz, Blazers, and Wolves. In these, wins he is averaging 30.4 DK points with a great 1.1 DK points per minute. On Monday night, he is in a great position to keep things going vs The Sixers who allow the 3rd most DK points to PGs this season.
SF Rudy Gay has missed the last six games and is questionable to play tonight, but even if he did suit up, I don’t think it will effect Lawson’s playing time or usage much. This really is just a case of Lawson out playing Collison and sooner or later Coach Joerger is going to have to make a decision on who should be this team’s starting PG. With so many other great guard value plays available he should come with a lower ownership and is a one of my favorite values of this 11 game slate.
Also Consdier: Jeremy Lamb (Bellinelli is doubtful), Jamal Crawford (terrific play, would become a core play if J.J. Redick is out), Raymond Felton (one of the best values of this slate), Austin Rivers (better if Redick out), Marresse Speights, Rajon Rondo (becoming a GPP play only, but still too cheap when considering his ceiling), Allen Crabbe (if Evan Turner is out), Jeremy Lin, Ricky Rubio, Kris Humphries (if starting and Dwight Howard remains out), Deandre Liggins (if Kyrie Irving is rested), Iman Shumpert (if LeBron or Irving is rested),Kyle Korver (if Howard out), Kenneth Faried (Jokic struggled last time they played The Clippers, which lead to more minutes for Faried, 33.75 DK points), Montrezl Harrell, Ryan Anderson, Brandon Knight, Elfird Payton (if Fournier out), Jodie Meeks (only if Fournier out), Mason Plumlee, and Dario Saric.