What’s up everyone. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA sleeper picks for December 29th, 2016. Tonight we get a decent slate with six games on tap. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 7:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter Hunta512.
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C: Enes Kanter: (5,100) Kanter has been terrific off the bench averaging 32.4 DK points over his last four games. He is finally seeing the playing time he deserves averaging 29.7 minutes a game in this span. The six man has taken full advantage of the boost in minutes and has seen his usage rise from 26.4% to 30.3% over the last week. He has been a popular play lately, but tonight I think his ownership should come down in this tough matchup vs The Grizzlies who allow the 5th fewest DK points to opposing centers this season.
But regardless of the tough matchup the high minutes should continue because they will need his size vs this Grizzlies team that usually has two natural big men on the floor at all times. He averages 1.17 DK points per minutes and, if he sees his new average of 29.7 minutes, he should continue to return value at this price. Even though his price has slightly increased to $5,100 he is still underpriced when factoring in these minutes and usage. At this price with a projected ownership of 5-8% he is one of my favorite GPP plays of Thursday night.
PG/SG: Brandon Knight: (4,200) After seeing his minutes cut back just a few weeks ago, Knight is now back to being The Suns six man, and has topped 25 DK points in four of his last five games. During this stretch he is averaging 17 points a night and shooting a high 53% from the field. His usage and assist rates haven’t changed much but his playing time has been more stable averaging 26.3 minutes and producing 1.1 DK points per minute in these past five games. Tonight he will look to continue the hot shooting vs The Raptors (13th) in the game with the highest O/U game total of the night at 223 points.
He should see his usual 25 minutes off the bench and I am expecting around 25 DK points with upside in this high scoring affair. If he remains hot he will easily return at least five times value and is a nice cheap way to get exposure to the highest total of the night in GPPs.
PG: Deron Williams: (5,900) Before Tuesday night’s blow out loss to The Rockets (18.75 DK points in 23 minutes), Williams was looking his old self averaging 37.3 DK points in his last four contests. He looks like he is back to full strength and has been much more aggressive with a high 30.4% usage rate and a 40.7% assist percentage which are nice jumps from his normal 24.8% usage and 37% assist percentage. Tonight he should get back on track vs The Lakers who allow the 14th most DK points to PGs, play at the 4th fastest pace, and have a high opponent +/- of 2.58 points to starting PGs.
In the month of December Williams has returned at least five times value in 73% of his games and tonight he should score 30+ DK points in this plus matchup. With no clear punt options tonight it seems like building a more balanced roster is the way to go and at $5,900 Williams is one of the safest mid tier targets that possesses upside.
Also Consider: Marcus Smart, Iman Shumpert, Norman Powell (great play if Caroll is rested), Steve Adams, Amir Johnson, Kelly Olynyk, Corey Jospeh, Dragan Bender, Jonas Valanciunas, Derick Favors, Seth Curry, Nick Young, Cody Zeller, T.J. Warren, Tyson Chandler, D’Angelo Russell, Dwight Powell (if Dirk or Salah Mejri are out), Jeremy Lamb, and Micheal Kidd-Gilchrist.