DraftKings NBA Sleeper Picks – December 30th

What’s going on everyone. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA sleeper picks for December 30th, 2016. Tonight we get a full slate with nine games on tap. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 7:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know on Twitter Hunta512.

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PG: Tyler Johnson: (5,400) Starting PG Goran Dragic played in last night’s game vs The Hornets, but Head Coach Erik Spoelstra said afterwards that Dragic “probably shouldn’t have been out there” with the back injury he is dealing with. As of right now he is listed as questionable for tonight’s game vs The Celtics, but I think he is much more on the doubtful side after hearing his Head Coach’s comments. I am expecting him to be out but even if he did play he would most likely be limted tonight. In last night’s loss even with Dragic out there playing 32 minutes, Johnson took over with his starting PG hurting, scoring 18 points, seven rebounds, five assists, two steals, and a block in 28 minutes off the bench. (40.75 DK points)

He led this offense with a high 27.1% usage rate and a 45.5% assist percentage. These numbers are little dramatic but when Dragic and SG Dion Waiters are off the court this season, Johnson sees his usage increase 3.3% to 23.7% and is averaging 32.3 DK points per 36 minutes. Tonight with Dragic in or out, he will most likely still come off the bench vs The Celtics. This seems like a very tough spot for him with The Celtics giving up the 4th fewest DK points to PGs, but they are very vulnerable defending PGs off the bench with an opponent +/- of 2.31 points. At a price $5,400 he is a nice GPP play even if Dragic is playing but becomes one of the best values of the night if the PG is ruled out.

C: Joakim Noah: (4,600) In Wednesday night’s game vs The Hawks, Knicks Head Coach Jeff Hornacek let Noah off his lease, and he played a season high 38 minutes in the loss. In those minutes he scored 14 points to go with 16 rebounds, three assists, two steals, and a block in a tough matchup vs Dwight Howard and The Hawks.  (45.5 DK points) His minutes have been inconsistent this season but he has now played 30, 22, 28, and 38 minutes in his last four games.

This is an obvious sign that he is fully healthy and I think we see this trend continue tonight in a tremendous matchup vs The Pelicans who allow the 4th most DK points to centers this season. Noah obviously isn’t the most gifted offensive player but he is great rebounder and defender who is averaging just under 1.0 DK point per minute this year. Tonight he should play around 25-30 minutes with the potential for even more after his great showing on Wednesday night. At a price of $4,600 he only needs roughly 25 DK points to return value which seems like a very possible task vs this Pelicans defense.

SF/PF: Tobias Harris: (6,000) Harris has flourished in his new six man role averaging 38.5 DK points in his last three games playing off the bench. He has been great leading this second unit with a 25.5% usage rate, 12.5% assist percentage, and 17% rebound percentage which are nice bumps from his usual 22.3 % usage, 8.8% assist percentage, and 8.9% rebound percentage. His minutes have still been high averaging 30.6 minutes a night in this span with an elite 1.2 DK points per minute.

Tonight he should see roughly 30 minutes again in a tough matchup vs The Hawks who rank 4th against SFs this season. But even though by the numbers this is a difficult matchup for him I think he will still produce playing against their second unit. His price has increased to $6,000 but he is still slightly underpriced when considering his recent production playing as The Piston’s six man. At a low projected ownership of 5-8% Harris is one of my favorite GPP plays of this nine game slate.

Also Consider: Josh Richardson (if Dragic is out), Sam Dekker (if you think this game becomes a blow out), Marcus Smart (expected to draw the start for Bradley), T.J. McConnell (core play), Nik Stauskas, Allen Crabbe, Sheldon McCellan (if Beal out), Jamal Crawford/Austin Rivers, Raymond Felton (only if starting for Chris Paul), James Johnson, Shabazz Muhammad, Robert Covington, Ricky Rubio, Sean Kilpatrick, Greg Monroe, Patrick Beverly, Dwight Powell (better if Dirk is out, Bogut already confirmed out), and Mason Plumlee.

Alex Hunter / Author

Alex is an experienced and successful daily fantasy sports player that has been competing since DFS began. He specializes in picks for NBA, NFL and PGA. He has been writing for TheSportsGeek.com since 2016. During this time, his picks have won many of his readers big prizes and have helped him become a trusted name in the DFS industry. Not only does he give in depth picks on The SportsGeek.com, but Alex is also an active and reliable Twitter source who gives out updates about his picks and is always there for questions or advice. @Hunta512