What’s up everyone. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA sleeper picks for December 31st, 2016. Saturday night’s slate is a solid slate with five games on tap. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 12:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know or on Twitter. Hunta512.
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PG: Michael Carter-Williams: (3,000) MCW played a season high 27 minutes last vs The Pacers after starting PG Rajon Rondo was benched in the second half. He was effective playing with the starters scoring 12 points, eight rebounds, one assist, and one block. (25 DK points) After last night’s loss, Coach Hoiberg said to the media that he hasn’t decided who will start at PG for tonight’s tilt vs The Bucks. Even though Carter-Williams didn’t lead this team to a win, it sounds very likely that he will enter the starting five with Rondo coming off the bench.
Even if he isn’t promoted to starting lineup, he should still play heavier minutes tonight off the bench. This is an average matchup for him with The Bucks ranking 14th vs PGs, but regardless of the matchup he is way too cheap when considering the minutes he will likely see. In the six games he has played in this season he is averaging 0.83 DK points per minute and with the 25-30 minutes I am expecting, he should easily crush value and score 20+ DK points. At a bare minimum price tag of $3,000 he is a core play for me tonight even if he still comes off the bench.
C: Greg Monroe: (4,600) Before last night’s disappointing effort vs The Wolves, Monroe was on fire averaging 31.7 DK points in his prior three games. During this stretch, he was dominate off the bench posting a high 25.2% usage rate averaging 1.3 DK points per minute. Tonight he is in a great position to bounce back vs The Bulls who allow the 5th most DK points to opposing centers this season with an opponent +/- 2.06 points.
His limited playing time of only around 20 minutes a night always makes him a risky option, but this a good spot for him to produce vs this Bulls defense that he has exposed twice already this season, averaging 28.6 DK points in these two games. At $4,600 he is not a recommended cash game, but is a perfect GPP target tonight that should come with a low ownership.
C: Montrezl Harrell: (5,000) Harrell was balling last night scoring a career high 29 points off the bench vs The Clippers. I don’t know if it was part of the game plan, but he was much more involved in the offense with a high 26.7% usage rate which is a huge jump from his usual 19.6% usage. The 30 minutes was also a pleasant surprise compared to the 24.8 minutes he has seen since starting center Clint Capela went down with a broken leg. Tonight he has a great chance to keep things going vs The Knicks who have been terrible defending centers, allowing the 2nd most DK points to centers with an opponent +/- 2.39 points which is the second highest mark of the night for all eligible centers.
This matchup would get even better for him if he entered the starting lineup after his performance last night with The Knicks having a ridiculous +/- of 4.29 points to opposing starting centers. His $5,000 price tag is fair and he could easily go back to being the player we have the seen the last few weeks. But if the idea is for him to see more minutes and to be utilized more on offense going forward, he will have no problem returning value in this great matchup vs this Knicks defense tonight.
Also Consider: Malcom Brogdon, Derick Favors, Nikola Mirotic, Deandre Liggins/Iman Shumpert (if Kyrie Irving is out), Enes Kanter, Michael Beasley, Patrick Beverly, Justin Holiday (great play if Courtney Lee is out), Raymond Felton/Jamal Crawford (if Chris Paul is out), and Jeremy Lamb (if Bellinelli remains out).