Welcome back everybody. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA sleeper picks for February 13th, 2017. Tonight we get a huge slate with 11 games on tap. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 7:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know or on Twitter. Hunta512.
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PF/C: Frank Kaminsky: (5,700) $5,700 might be the highest price I have ever seen for Kaminsky, but he is still underpriced for the role he will have with starting center Cody Zeller out. (quad) Friday Kaminsky was excellent starting in place of the injured Zeller, putting up 45 DK points in 36 minutes vs The Clippers. This was the third time he has started for Zeller after centers Roy Hibbert and Spencer Hawes were traded, and overall in these three games, he is averaging 34.2 DK points in 33.6 minutes a night. In these games he is averaging just over 1.0 DK point per minute with a boost in all his rates; posting a 23.6% usage rate, 17.2 assist percentage, and a 11.4 rebound percentage.
Tonight he gets a dream match-up vs The Sixers who allow the most DK points to opposing centers this year, with a current opponent +/- of 3.13 points. This defense should be a mess with both Joel Embiid (meniscus) and Jahill Okafor (potential trade) out, and in a starting role, Kaminsky should score 30+ DK points in this matchup. He is a strong play in all formats tonight and may go under owned with a projected ownership of only 5-8%. (via Fantasy Labs)
C: Ed Davis: (3,000) Davis should see an expanded role tonight with starting center Mason Plumlee traded and newly acquired center Jusuf Nurkic not expected to be available. There is no official word of who will start at center, but Davis seems like the most likely candidate to the enter the starting five for tonight’s tilt vs The Hawks. Plumlee hasn’t missed a game this season, but with him off the floor, Davis is scoring a solid 27 DK points per 36 minutes of action. Even if he doesn’t start, he should still play at least 25 minutes tonight, with this team down to him and Meyers Leonard as the only true center available. This season Davis is scoring 0.76 DK points per minute and with the increased playing time that I am expecting, he has a great shot of returning five times value with 20-25 DK point upside.
This is a tougher matchup for him going against Dwight Howard and The Hawks, who rank 8th vs centers this year, but his bare minimum price tag makes him a viable play regardless of the matchup. Portland Head Coach Terry Stotts is very unpredictable with his starting lineups in these kind of situations, but if Davis the confirmed starter, he is a great value at only $3,000. Meyers Leonard is a very similar fantasy producer averaging 0.75 DK points per minute, and if he was the confirmed starter over Davis, he would become the better play at the same price.
SF: Andre Iguodala: (3,900) The Warriors are going to become a much tighter rotation tonight with SG Klay Thompson (heel) and PG Shaun Livingston (personal) both ruled out. Iguodala will still come off the bench, but he should approach 30 minutes tonight with both guards out. There hasn’t been any games this season that both of these players have missed, but in a sample size of 371 minutes, Iguodala is scoring 25.2 DK points per 36 minutes with them off the court. With Livingston gone from this second unit, he will be the primary ball handler off the bench. This an average matchup for him with The Nuggets giving up the 12th fewest DK points to SFs, but either way he should be very active in this fast-paced shootout.
Both of these teams rank in the top ten in pace this season and Vegas is currently giving this game a ridiculous O/U game total of 240 points, which is the highest total of the night by 19.5 points. You are going to need some exposure to this Warriors team that has an implied team total of 126.25 points, and outside their big three, Iguodala is my favorite value to attack. He is just too cheap at $3,900 and with the slight bump in minutes, he should have no problem scoring 20+ DK points tonight. He is a great option if you want to stack this game and I am comfortable with him in all formats on Monday night.
Also Consider: Ian Clark (if he starts), Nerlens Noel (terrific value), Dirk Nowitizki, Gerald Green (if he plays, Jaylen Brown is out), Terry Rozier (if Green is out), Marcus Smart, Steven Adams, Solmon Hill, P.J. Tucker, Al-Farouq Aminu, Tim Hardaway Jr. (Sefolosha is out again), Juancho Hernangomez (if Plumlee is inactive, Darrell Arthur is out), T.J. McConnell, Jameer Nelson, Andre Roberson, and Dario Saric.