What’s going on everybody. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA sleeper picks for February 16th, 2017. Tonight we get an extremely small slate with only two games on tap. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 7:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know or on Twitter. Hunta512.
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PG/SG: Marcus Smart: (5,700) Smart has been tremendous in his last few games, averaging 38.9 DK points over his last four. He is coming off one of the best games of his career last night, scoring 21 points to go along with five rebounds, five assists, one block, and a career high eight steals vs The Sixers. (51.25 DK points) In these last four games, he has been much better with his shot selection and is posting a 20.5% usage rate which is a 2.2% increase from his season average.
Tonight with Bradley and Jaylen Brown (hip) remaining out, Smart should play 30-35 minutes vs The Bulls. (14th vs SGs) Together with this increased playing time and extra usage, he should score around 30 DK points with upside, if he keeps it up on the defensive end. Regardless of his ownership level, Smart is one of the strongest mid-tier targets of the night and can be used in all formats with confidence.
C: Cristiano Felicio: (3,600) Felicio has seen his role increase off the bench, averaging 24.3 minutes in his last three games. He has been solid in these games averaging 16.9 DK points a night. Even with SF Nikola Mirotic returning tonight (back), Felicio should still see close to 20 minutes tonight backing up Robin Lopez. This season he is scoring 0.84 DK points per minute and with a projection of 20 minutes he should hit value in this great matchup vs The Celtics.
Overall The Celtics look like a solid defense up front ranking 15th vs centers this season, but they have been allowing some big games to opposing big men as of late, with a current opponent +/- of 2.6 points to centers. I am not expecting a huge game out of him, but he has a shot of scoring 20 or more DK points vs this defense. He is a risky option, but I like taking a chance with him in GPPs tonight, with a very low expected ownership of 0-1%. (via Fantasy Labs)
PG: Rajon Rondo: (4,200) With only two games to attack tonight, you are going to need to take some risks in GPPs. I think Rondo is a great contrarian play that has upside with SG Dwayne Wade ruled out. In the seven games that Wade has missed this season, Rondo is averaging 21.6 DK points with a 20.6% usage rate and a 38.7% assist percentage. He has only been playing a little over 20 minutes per game recently, but he has had some great fantasy nights even in this small role. Just ten days ago in only 23 minutes he put up 32.5 DK points vs The Warriors. Also back at the end of January, he had back to back great games, scoring 36.75 DK points vs The Heat and 31.75 DK points vs The Sixers.
Tonight he takes on his former team, The Celtics, who have a high current opponent +/- of 4.12 points vs back up PGs. There really isn’t any bad blood between Rondo and The Celtics, but he is a player who always loves to put up big numbers against his former teams. In fact his last five games vs The Celtics he is averaging a terrific 37.9 DK points per game. He obviously had a bigger role on The Kings and Mavs than he does now with The Bulls, but this clearly shows you that he has some extra motivation when he is playing Boston. By no means is Rondo a safe play tonight, but he is a player I love targeting in GPPs with his significant upside at only $4,200.
Also Consider: Gerald Green (if he is active), Terry Rozier (if Green is out), Michael Carter-Williams, Kelly Olynyk (will be popular but is still a nice value), Myles Turner, Taj Gibson/Robin Lopez, Monta Ellis, Doug McDermott, Nikola Mirotic, and Al Jefferson.