What’s up everybody. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA sleeper picks for February 25th, 2017. Tonight we get a nice slate with seven games to attack. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 7:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know or on Twitter. Hunta512.
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SG: Gerald Henderson: (3,400) Henderson was great last night, scoring 20 points to go along with five rebounds in a win over The Wizards. (27.75 DK points) With Joel Embiid still out (knee) and both Nerlens Noel and Ersan Ilaysova traded, The Sixers played a tighter rotation that lead to Henderson playing 31 minutes, which is a sizable increase from his usual 24 minutes a night. He also posted a 24.4% usage rate which is a huge jump from his 17.8% season average.
I know it has only been one game, but with the increase in usage, he scored 0.9 DK points per minute vs his 0.7 DK point per minute average this season. Tonight with Embiid remaining out, he should play 30+ minutes again vs The Knicks who have a solid current opponent +/- of 1.15 points vs SGs. If the high usage continues, he should easily return five times value vs this weak Knicks defense. He doesn’t have huge upside, but he is just too cheap if his new role in this offense continues. At only $3,400, he is one of the better SG values of this slate that can be used in both cash game and GPPs.
SF: Denzel Valentine: (3,000) Valentine, out of nowhere, was terrific last night for The Bulls, scoring 36.25 DK points vs The Suns. He was expected to play more with SF Doug McDermott and PF Taj Gibson both traded to OKC, but no one was expecting the rookie to log 34 minutes off the bench. His usage didn’t rise (13.9%), but he was very active as a playmaker with a 18.5% assist percentage and, on defense, with three steals. It’s hard to say if these minutes will continue, but with PG Michael Carter-Williams already ruled out (knee), there’s a good chance he sees similar minutes tonight after his performance on Friday.
At a first glance his matchup tonight vs The Cavs is a difficult one with them ranking 11th vs SFs, but they have been weaker as of late with a high opponent +/- 2.76 points. This defense could also take a huge hit, if SF LeBron James was ruled out. (illness) Valentine isn’t the most productive fantasy player only scoring 0.6 DK points per minute this season, but if he plays starter like minutes again, it’s hard not seeing him returning value at his bare minimum salary. He definitely has a very low floor, but he is worth a shot in GPPs tonight as a pivot play off the very popular Patrick McCaw, who is expected to start for the injured Kevin Durant. (hand)
SG: Seth Curry: (5,000) Curry shined in his first game after veteran PG Deron Williams was waived, scoring 31 points, one assist, one rebound, and one steal last night vs The Wolves. (35.25 DK points) He was expected to be more of a PG with Williams gone, but instead he was very aggressive with his shot, taking 17 shots from the field, and leading this Mavs squad with a 28.1% usage rate. It’s hard to imagine him leading this team in usage going forward, but it is obvious that they want to rely on him more as a scorer with Williams out of the picture.
Also he saw a boost in playing time logging 37 minutes compared to the 30 minutes he has been playing over his last three games. Tonight he is in a nice spot to have another productive night going against The Pelicans who give up the 9th most DK points to SGs this year, with a current opponent +/- of 2.12 points. He should play around 35 minutes and score 25-30 DK points in this matchup with 35-40 point upside if he gets hot. At a reasonable $5,000, he is an excellent GPP play that could possibly get overlooked with some many punt plays available tonight. (5-8% projected ownership via Fantasy Labs)
Also Consider: Myles Turner, Rajon Rondo, Ian Clark/Patrick McCaw, Lou Williams, Terrence Ross, Kyle O’Quinn (both Noah and Porzingis are out), Richaun Holmes, Derrick Williams (if LeBron is out), Nikola Mirotic (33.5 DK points in 37 minutes last night), T.J. McConnell, Tim Frazier (He should play more minutes with E’Twaun Moore out), Andre Iguodola, and Caris LeVert.