What’s going on everybody. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA sleeper picks for February 25th, 2017. Tonight we get a decent slate with six games on tap. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 5:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know or on Twitter. Hunta512.
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PF: Jon Leuer: (4,800) Leuer has been playing huge minutes for The Pistons, averaging 37 minutes per game over his last three. This number is a little dramatic with him logging 41 minutes in an overtime win over The Hornets, but even if you eliminate his five overtime minutes, he is still averaging 35.3 minutes a night in regulation. The extra playing time has been a nice boost for him and he is averaging 29 DK points per game in these past three games.
Tonight, if continues to play heavy minutes, he should have no issues hitting five times value vs a Celtics defense, that gives up the 7th most DK points to PFs, with a high current opponent +/- of 2.47 points. With a projection of 35 minutes, he should put up 25-30 DK points with decent upside against this Celtics defense that is very vulnerable against opposing bigs. Even though he has been very productive, DraftKings has only increased his price $200 since his last game. He is underpriced at $4,800 and is one of the strongest overall values of this six game slate.
SG: E’Twaun Moore: (4,000) Moore missed last night’s tilt vs The Mavs due to personal reasons, but he should be a full go tonight vs The Thunder. He was disappointing in his first game since trade deadline, scoring 16.25 DK points vs The Rockets, but this was mostly because he only played 23 minutes, with The Pelicans getting blown out for most of the game. This obviously isn’t encouraging, but the reality is with Tyreke Evans, Langston Galloway, and Buddy Hield all gone and traded to The Kings, Moore is best guard behind on Jrue Holiday left on this Pelicans’ roster. If the game isn’t an absolute blowout, which it shouldn’t be with only a 6.5 point spread in favor of The Thunder, he should start and play 30+ minutes tonight.
By the numbers this isn’t a good matchup for him with The Thunder allowing 7th least DK points to SGs this year, but they are expected to be without their starting SG Victor Oladipo, who is GTD with back spasms. If he is out, he will be replaced by Alex Abrines who is a much better matchup for Moore. Even if Oladpio somehow played, it wouldn’t scare me off Moore, because of the high minutes I am expecting to play. Moore’s $4,000 salary is fair, but if the playing time is there, he has a great shot of scoring 20+ DK points tonight. The best part about rostering Moore is that everyone should be off him after he disappointed Thursday night. With a low expected ownership of 2-4% (via Fantasy Labs), Moore is one of my favorite SG targets of the night who can be used in all formats.
PF/C: Kelly Olynyk: (4,900) Olynyk was terrible in his last game only scoring 9.75 DK points in Friday night’s loss to The Raptors. He struggled in this game with foul trouble, which lead to him only logging 16 minutes total. Before this game, he was on a tear playing as The Celtics’ six man, returning at least five times value in seven straight games, and averaging a great 32.75 DK points in his last four. In those four games his minutes were also on the rise, averaging 28.5 minutes per game, which is huge bump from his 21.3 minute average this season.
Tonight if he can stay out of foul trouble, he should bounce back and play 25-30 minutes vs The Pistons. This a difficult matchup for him with The Pistons ranking 5th vs centers this year, but if he goes back to his normal role off the bench, he should hit value regardless of the matchup. Before Friday night, Olynyk was scoring a terrific 1.15 DK points per minutes in his last seven games, and assuming the minutes are back for him, he should score 25-30 DK points tonight. His ownership should be low (5-8% via Fantasy Labs) and at a reasonable $4,900, he is one best GPP targets of Sunday night.
Also Consider: Alex Abrines (only if Oladipo is out), Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, Andre Roberson, Jusuf Nurkic, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Marcus Smart (assuming Avery Bradley is out), Cory Joseph (if Lowry is out), Vince Carter (34.8 DK points in his two game vs The Nuggets this year), Enes Kanter, Tobias Harris, Juancho Hernangomez (if he starts for Kenneth Faried),Ish Smith, and P.J. Tucker.