Welcome back everybody. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA sleeper picks for February 27th, 2017. Monday night’s slate is a full slate with seven games on tap. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 7:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know or on Twitter. Hunta512.
If you want help with NBA research for FanDuel and DraftKings check out the best fantasy tools out there at FantasyLabs.com
Want to win more money at DraftKings? Click here our FREE lineup generator tool….
C: Nerlens Noel: (5,300) Noel was solid in his Mavs debut Saturday night, scoring nine points, 10 rebounds, one block, and one steal vs The Pelicans. (24 DK points) He didn’t start, but he still played an encouraging 30 minutes off the bench in the win. Head Coach Rick Carlisle likes the way Dirk has been playing as The Mavs starting center, so Noel should still come off the bench tonight, but this isn’t a bad thing if he continues to play starter-like minutes. He was very effective playing with the second unit, posting a 19.9% usage rate, which is a 2% increase from his average in Philly this season. Tonight, he should play around 30 minutes again in a gorgeous matchup vs a Heat defense that has really struggled vs centers with a high current opponent +/- of 3.66 points.
So far this year he is scoring just over 1.0 DK point per minute and if he continues to see high minutes, he should have no issues returning value in this matchup. Noel has already had two productive games vs this defense this season, averaging 28 DK points in only 25.4 minutes, in his two previous games against The Heat when he was a member of The Sixers. This is definitely is not the best game of the night to target with its low O/U game total of 200 points, but Noel’s salary is just too low to ignore right now with the playing time he should see. He isn’t going to be this cheap for long and at $5,300 he is one of the strongest mid-tier plays of the night.
PG/SG: Lou Williams: (5,400) Williams has fit in perfectly with The Rockets, averaging 32.25 DK points in his first two games with the team. His usage has taken a slight hit, playing with a much more talented Rockets team, but he is still posting a very high 27.5% usage rate off the bench in these two games. Tonight he is in a good spot to continue his run with The Rockets taking on The Pacers who allow the 11th most DK points to opposing SGs this season.
Just like Noel, Williams has already exposed his opponent twice with his former team, averaging 33.5 DK points vs this Pacers defense this year. He should play 25-30 minutes and score 28-30 DK points, with upside, in this high scoring game that has a slate high O/U game total of 230.5 points. You are going to want some exposure to this game and right now with the lack of cheap values, it is going to be difficult to squeeze in James Harden at his $12,000 price. Williams seems like the most logical way to get to exposure to this Rockets team, with his safety and upside, at a reasonable $5,400.
PF/C: Skal Labissiere: (3,400) Labissiere’s role with The Kings is trending up with Demarcus Cousins out of town, scoring 20.25 DK points in 14 minutes vs The Nuggets Thursday and 27.25 DK points in 23 minutes vs The Hornets Saturday night. The 6’11” rookie out of Kentucky is a very athletic big man who can really stretch the floor for this Kings team. In these past two games he has posted some very impressive numbers, with a 25.1% usage rate and a team high 23.9% rebound percentage.
All of this has led to him scoring an elite 1.3 DK points per minute during this stretch. There is no reason why his role wouldn’t continue after these past two games and he should see around 20 minutes again tonight vs The Wolves. (13th vs PFs) With 20 minutes of playing time, he should hit value with the potential for more if his role increases for the third straight game. Labissiere is definitely a risky option with only two games of data to go off, but if the trends continue he is a sleeper that could really pay off in GPPs tonight. (0-1% projected ownership via Fantasy Labs)
Also Consider: Nene, Cory Joesph (if Lowry is out), Monta Ellis, Gerald Henderson, Dirk Nowitizki, Seth Curry, Jaylen Brown, Jae Crowder, Kelly Olynyk (really let me down last night, but he will break out of this slump soon), T.J. McConell, Tyus Jones, Kyle O’Quinn, Michael Beasley (should see a bump in usage with Middleton out), Derrick Williams (if LeBron is out), and Lance Thomas.