How’s it going everybody. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA sleeper picks for February 28th, 2017. Tonight we get a nice slate with six games to attack. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 7:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know or on Twitter. Hunta512.
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PF: Nikola Mirotic: (5,000) With Taj Gibson and Doug McDermott traded to OKC, Mirotic has flourished as The Bulls’ six man, scoring 33.5 DK points vs The Suns and 34.5 DK points vs The Cavs. His minutes have been up, averaging 30.5 minutes per game, even when the five minutes he played in overtime last Friday are excluded. His rates haven’t changed much; this is just a matter of how many minutes he is playing. Barring foul trouble, he should play 25-30 minutes again tonight vs The Nuggets.
Surprisingly this defense ranks 11th vs PFs this season, but he should benefit from playing up in pace against this Denver squad that plays at the sixth fastest pace compared to The Bulls who are the 8th slowest team this year. His salary has jumped up $900, but he is still a nice value at $5,000. If the minutes continue, he should score 25-30 DK points, with upside, in this great game environment that has an O/U game total of 222 points and a tight spread of only three points in favor of The Bulls.
C: Ivica Zubac: (3,600) Zubac played excellent in his first game after The All Star Break, putting up 27.5 DK points in 27 minutes vs The Thunder, but struggled Sunday vs The Spurs only scoring 8.5 DK points in 18 minutes. He got into foul trouble early and it wasn’t a surprise the rookie had a bad game against a stout Spurs defense. I think we see him bounce back nicely tonight vs The Hornets, who give up the 14th most DK points to centers, with a current opponent +/- of 1.55 points.
Like I said in last Friday’s post, The Lakers should play Zubac more after new Lakers’ president of basketball operations Magic Johnson said “I think he has really established himself as a quality backup center, and I would like to see him get even more minutes”. If he can stay out of foul trouble he should play roughly 25 minutes off the bench and score 20-25 DK points tonight. Right now it looks like the general public is going to avoid playing him after his game against The Spurs, with Fantasy Labs only projecting him to be owned somewhere between 2-4%. Zubac isn’t a recommended cash game play, but he is some I love rostering in GPPs with his expected low ownership.
SG: Jeremy Lamb: (3,400) Lamb came out of nowhere Sunday night, scoring 19 points, six rebounds, and two assists in a season high 37 minutes off the bench vs The Clippers. (28.5 DK points) The minutes are obviously inflated with this game going to overtime, but this might be a sign that they want to go with Lamb as their primary guard off the bench going forward. There is clearly a ton of risk here, with him not topping 20 minutes in his eight previous games, but if Head Coach Steve Clifford rides his hot hand and plays him more, he will be an immense value at this price.
The matchup is great for him going against a terrible Lakers defense that allows the 12th most DK points to SGs this year. He will always produce if he is on the court, scoring 1.02 DK points per minute this season and if he plays, say 20-25 minutes, he should return five times value vs this Lakers defense. He does present a very low floor, but at only $3,400 he is worth a flier tonight with the lack of clear values at SG.
Also Consider: Alan Williams/Alex Len (obviously a very tough matchup vs Marc Gasol and The Grizzlies, but one of these two should do well with Tyson Chandler out of the rotation), Brandon Ingram, Marvin Williams (if he is active, currently questionable), Marcus Morris, Jordan Clarkson, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (would have to play a ton if both Williams and Cody Zeller were out), Jon Leuer. and Trey Burke (if Wall is out).