What’s going on everybody. Alex here, and I am back with my DraftKings NBA sleeper picks for February 3rd, 2017. Friday night’s slate is a full slate with nine games on tap. Be sure to follow all the injury news up until the 7:00 PM EST lock tonight, to see if any new injury news comes up. As always if any of these picks help you win or if you need any advice, let me know or on Twitter. Hunta512.
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SF/PF: Wilson Chandler: (5,900) With starting SF Danilo Gallinari out (groin), Chandler should see a bigger role in the offense tonight vs The Bucks. It isn’t confirmed who will start in place of Gallinari and even if it isn’t Chandler, he should still play 30+ minutes off the bench. He has been great in the four previous games Gallinari has missed this season, averaging 40.5 DK points in 33.7 minutes per game. In these games, he has posted a 26.2% usage rate with a high DK points +/- of 10.7 points.
Tonight, he is in the perfect spot playing against a Bucks defense, that gives up the most DK points to SFs, with a terrific opponent +/- of 4.62 points, which the highest mark of all the SFs available in this nine game slate. With the extra usage and minutes and this elite matchup, he should be able to return five times value, with huge upside. He is a safer play if he draws the start, but is still a strong option, even if he still comes off the bench.
C: Thon Maker: (3,000) The Bucks are finalizing a trade that will send center Miles Plumlee to The Hornets for centers Spencer Hawes and Roy Hibbert. With this deal obviously in the works, Plumlee didn’t see the court in The Bucks last game Wednesday night vs The Jazz, which led to Maker playing a season high 24 minutes in his second straight start. The 19 year old rookie was effective with the bump in minutes, scoring 12 points, to go along with five rebounds, three blocks, and a steal. (27.75 DK points) He wasn’t used much in the offense with a 18.9% usage rate, but he is currently averaging a solid 1.0 DK point per minute this season. With this trade being finalized, none of the players The Bucks acquired will be available to play tonight vs The Nuggets. With Plumlee out of the picture and John Henson having a very minimal role (didn’t play last game, DNP-CD), Maker should remain the starter and should approach 25 minutes again tonight.
This looks like a tough matchup with The Nuggets allowing the 4th fewest DK points to opposing centers this season, but they could be without their starting center Nikola Jokic, who is currently listed as questionable with a hip injury. Even if Jokic is in, I’m not scared of this defense that currently has a decent opponent +/- 1.31 vs starting centers. If he plays around 25 minutes again, he should score 20-25 DK points with upside if he approaches 30 minutes. He obviously has a very low floor, but at a bare minimum $3,000, he is a solid punt that gives you exposure to this Nuggets Bucks game that has the second highest total of the night at 221.5 points.
SG: Seth Curry: (5,800) Curry has been a beast averaging 40.1 DK points over his last three games. With PG Deron Williams still out (toe), Curry has been one of The Mavs primary scorers, with a 24.6% usage rate, which is a 5% increase from his usual 19.6%. He also has been a more effective play maker, averaging five assists a game, with a 22.7% assist percentage in these past three games. With Williams and J.J. Barea (calf) remaining out tonight, Curry should continue this great run vs The Blazers, who have struggled defending SGs this year, allowing the 2nd most DK points to position.
They have especially struggled playing against three point shooters like Curry, allowing their opponents to make a high 10 three pointers a game this season. He should play around 35 minutes and score close to 30 DK points with upside if he gets hot. Tonight, at $5,800, he is my favorite value at an ugly SG position.
Also Consider: Emmanuel Mudiay, D’Angelo Russell (still too cheap at $5,900, only projected to be owned between 5-8%, via Fantasy Labs), Ivac Zubac (if Randle is out), P.J. Tucker, Tarik Black, Greg Monroe, Loul Deng (has played 30+ minutes in two straight games), Dirk Nowitzki, Arron Affalo, Steve Adams, Rajon Rondo, Amir Johnson (if Kelly Olynyk is out), and Gary Harris (better If Will Barton is out).